Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elena Rybakina v Elina Svitolina

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elena Rybakina (Local)

Prediction 68.66%1.46fair odd
EV -0.448%
Edge -0.309%
Kelly -0.995%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.53%68.54%68.54%70.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.381.391.4575.19%72.24%71.94%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Elina Svitolina (Visit)

Prediction 31.34%3.19fair odd
EV +1.87%
Edge +0.574%
Kelly +0.829%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.04%31.46%31.46%34.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.013.043.2537.04%33.23%32.89%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elena Rybakina (Local): 68.66%; Elina Svitolina (Visit): 31.34%. For Elina Svitolina (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.19. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.69%E -6.53%K -26.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +1.87%E +0.574%K +0.829%G +0.015%6.0%2026-03-14 01:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.69%E -6.53%K -26.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +1.87%E +0.574%K +0.829%G +0.015%6.0%2026-03-14 01:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.69%E -6.53%K -26.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +1.87%E +0.574%K +0.829%G +0.015%6.0%2026-03-14 01:10
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +0.298%E +0.093%K +0.135%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 01:10
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.63%E -4.87%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.298%E +0.093%K +0.135%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 00:52
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%EV -3.19%E -2.27%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%EV -1.27%E -0.403%K -0.590%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-14 01:00
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.96%EV -8.00%E -5.97%K -23.53%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.04%EV -2.21%E -0.708%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 01:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.84%E -0.915%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 01:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.84%E -0.915%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 01:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.84%E -0.915%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 01:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.84%E -0.915%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 01:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.57%E -3.29%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.84%E -0.915%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:04
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.84%E -0.915%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 01:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.63%E -4.87%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.84%E -0.915%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 00:57
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.63%E -4.87%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.84%E -0.915%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 01:00
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.63%E -4.87%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.84%E -0.915%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 01:00
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.69%E -6.53%K -26.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.84%E -0.915%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 01:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.40%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:00
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.40%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.40%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.40%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:09
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.40%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.40%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:09
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.40%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:09
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.40%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:10
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.40%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.40%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.40%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:10
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.40%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:09
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.40%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.72%E -1.55%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 00:59
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.88%EV -6.63%E -4.87%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.12%EV -5.66%E -1.88%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 01:05
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 00:59
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 01:06
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 01:00
Bet Right🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.57%E -3.29%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 01:07
Codere (IT)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 00:59
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 01:04
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 01:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 01:00
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.94%E -4.34%K -16.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 01:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.94%E -4.34%K -16.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 01:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.63%E -4.87%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 01:09
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.94%E -4.34%K -16.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 01:10
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.63%E -4.87%K -18.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 01:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.63%E -4.87%K -18.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 01:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.63%E -4.87%K -18.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 01:00
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.10%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 00:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.63%E -4.87%K -18.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.10%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 01:00
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.63%E -4.87%K -18.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.10%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 01:00
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -1.82%E -1.27%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -9.73%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 01:09
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.63%E -4.87%K -18.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.73%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 00:57
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.67%E -3.74%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 01:00
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.67%E -3.74%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 01:00
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -6.63%E -4.87%K -18.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -10.67%E -3.74%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 01:09
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.96%EV -0.448%E -0.309%K -0.995%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.04%EV -11.93%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 01:04
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.13%E -0.788%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 01:10
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.51%E -1.77%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 01:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 01:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.51%E -1.77%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.81%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 01:10
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -2.51%E -1.77%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -15.37%E -5.69%K -9.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 01:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-03-14 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-03-14 01:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-03-14 01:10
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-14 01:10
Novig1.43I 69.93%NM 68.91%3.17I 31.55%NM 31.09%1.5%2026-03-14 01:10
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-03-14 01:10