La escuela de los momios

Elena Rybakina v Elina Svitolina

Inicio: 2026-03-14 02:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Elena Rybakina (Local)

Predicción 68.66%1.46momio equitativo
EV -0.448%
Ventaja -0.309%
Kelly -0.995%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.53%68.54%68.54%70.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.381.391.4575.19%72.24%71.94%68.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Elina Svitolina (Visitante)

Predicción 31.34%3.19momio equitativo
EV +1.87%
Ventaja +0.574%
Kelly +0.829%
Crecimiento +0.015%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.04%31.46%31.46%34.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.013.043.2537.04%33.23%32.89%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.69%E -6.53%K -26.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +1.87%E +0.574%K +0.829%G +0.015%6.0%2026-03-14 01:09
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.69%E -6.53%K -26.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +1.87%E +0.574%K +0.829%G +0.015%6.0%2026-03-14 01:10
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -8.69%E -6.53%K -26.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +1.87%E +0.574%K +0.829%G +0.015%6.0%2026-03-14 01:10
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +0.298%E +0.093%K +0.135%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 01:10
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.63%E -4.87%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.298%E +0.093%K +0.135%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 00:52
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%EV -3.19%E -2.27%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%EV -1.27%E -0.403%K -0.590%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-14 01:00
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.96%EV -8.00%E -5.97%K -23.53%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.04%EV -2.21%E -0.708%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 01:09
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.84%E -0.915%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 01:10
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.84%E -0.915%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 01:10
Winamax (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.84%E -0.915%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 01:00
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.84%E -0.915%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 01:09
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.57%E -3.29%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.84%E -0.915%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:04
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.84%E -0.915%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 01:10
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.63%E -4.87%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.84%E -0.915%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 00:57
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.63%E -4.87%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.84%E -0.915%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 01:00
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.63%E -4.87%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.84%E -0.915%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 01:00
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -8.69%E -6.53%K -26.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -2.84%E -0.915%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 01:00
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.40%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:00
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.40%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:09
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.40%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:10
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.40%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:09
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.40%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.40%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:09
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.40%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:09
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.40%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:10
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.40%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:10
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.40%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:09
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.40%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:10
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.40%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:09
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.40%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 01:10
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.72%E -1.55%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 00:59
GTbets1.36I 73.53%NM 68.88%EV -6.63%E -4.87%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.12%EV -5.66%E -1.88%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 01:05
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 00:59
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 01:06
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 01:00
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.57%E -3.29%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 01:07
Codere (IT)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 00:59
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 01:04
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 01:09
Winamax (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 01:00
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.94%E -4.34%K -16.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 01:00
Betr (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.94%E -4.34%K -16.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 01:00
NetBet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.63%E -4.87%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 01:09
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.94%E -4.34%K -16.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 01:10
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.63%E -4.87%K -18.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 01:09
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.63%E -4.87%K -18.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 01:00
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.63%E -4.87%K -18.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 01:00
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.10%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 00:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.63%E -4.87%K -18.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.10%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 01:00
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.63%E -4.87%K -18.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.10%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 01:00
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -1.82%E -1.27%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -9.73%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 01:09
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.63%E -4.87%K -18.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.73%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 00:57
Ladbrokes (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.67%E -3.74%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 01:00
Neds1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.25%E -3.81%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.67%E -3.74%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 01:00
Fliff1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -6.63%E -4.87%K -18.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -10.67%E -3.74%K -5.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 01:09
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.96%EV -0.448%E -0.309%K -0.995%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.04%EV -11.93%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-14 01:04
Coolbet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.13%E -0.788%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 01:10
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.51%E -1.77%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 01:10
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.88%E -2.77%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 01:10
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.51%E -1.77%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.81%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 01:10
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -2.51%E -1.77%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -15.37%E -5.69%K -9.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 01:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-03-14 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-03-14 01:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-03-14 01:10
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-14 01:10
Novig1.43I 69.93%NM 68.91%3.17I 31.55%NM 31.09%1.5%2026-03-14 01:10
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-03-14 01:10