Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Diane Parry v Venus Williams

Início: 2026-03-05 22:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Diane Parry (Local)

Previsão 75.58%1.32odd justa
EV -3.26%
Vantagem -2.55%
Kelly -11.64%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
74.07%75.70%75.58%77.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.221.251.251.2881.97%79.90%80.00%78.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Venus Williams (Visitante)

Previsão 24.42%4.09odd justa
EV +7.21%
Vantagem +1.64%
Kelly +2.13%
Crescimento +0.154%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.39

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.16%24.30%24.42%25.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.873.804.3927.78%25.82%26.32%22.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Diane Parry (Local): 75.58%; Venus Williams (Visitante): 24.42%. Para Venus Williams (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.09. 9 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.39, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.21%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.84%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 22.16%EV +7.21%E +1.64%K +2.13%G +0.154%2.8%2026-03-05 21:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -7.04%E -5.72%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV +4.28%E +1.00%K +1.31%G +0.056%4.7%2026-03-05 21:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -7.04%E -5.72%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV +4.28%E +1.00%K +1.31%G +0.056%4.7%2026-03-05 21:55
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.80%E -6.39%K -35.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.79%E +0.893%K +1.17%G +0.044%5.5%2026-03-05 21:55
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.80%E -6.39%K -35.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.79%E +0.893%K +1.17%G +0.044%5.5%2026-03-05 21:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +2.57%E +0.613%K +0.804%G +0.021%3.8%2026-03-05 21:40
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.80%E -6.39%K -35.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +2.57%E +0.613%K +0.804%G +0.021%5.8%2026-03-05 21:25
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.28%E -5.07%K -26.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.132%E +0.032%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:53
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.28%E -5.07%K -26.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.132%E +0.032%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:55
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.31%E -0.578%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.31%E -0.578%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:25
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.31%E -0.578%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:10
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.31%E -0.578%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:29
PlayUp🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.28%E -5.07%K -26.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.31%E -0.578%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 21:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.28%E -5.07%K -26.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.31%E -0.578%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 21:40
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.80%E -6.39%K -35.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.31%E -0.578%K -0.770%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.80%E -6.39%K -35.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.31%E -0.578%K -0.770%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.28%E -5.07%K -26.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -3.53%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 21:45
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.77%E -3.79%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 21:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.63%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.37%EV -5.24%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 21:49
GTbets🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 21:53
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.77%E -3.79%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -7.04%E -5.72%K -30.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-05 21:39
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV -6.95%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:35
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
LeoVegas🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:10
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 21:50
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 21:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 21:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 21:55
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 21:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 21:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 21:55
Fliff🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.80%E -6.39%K -35.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-05 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:10
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:55
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.09%EV -3.26%E -2.55%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.91%EV -10.61%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 21:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -4.77%E -3.79%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -10.86%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 21:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -4.77%E -3.79%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -10.86%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 21:55
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.77%E -3.79%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 21:09
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 21:09
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 21:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -7.04%E -5.72%K -30.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-05 21:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%0.2%2026-03-05 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-03-05 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-03-05 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-03-05 21:55
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 78.52%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.48%1.9%2026-03-05 21:55
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%3.0%2026-03-05 21:55