La escuela de los momios

Diane Parry v Venus Williams

Inicio: 2026-03-05 22:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Diane Parry (Local)

Predicción 75.58%1.32momio equitativo
EV -3.26%
Ventaja -2.55%
Kelly -11.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.07%75.70%75.58%77.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.251.251.2881.97%79.90%80.00%78.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Venus Williams (Visitante)

Predicción 24.42%4.09momio equitativo
EV +7.21%
Ventaja +1.64%
Kelly +2.13%
Crecimiento +0.154%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.39

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.16%24.30%24.42%25.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.873.804.3927.78%25.82%26.32%22.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 77.84%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 22.16%EV +7.21%E +1.64%K +2.13%G +0.154%2.8%2026-03-05 21:55
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -7.04%E -5.72%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV +4.28%E +1.00%K +1.31%G +0.056%4.7%2026-03-05 21:55
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -7.04%E -5.72%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV +4.28%E +1.00%K +1.31%G +0.056%4.7%2026-03-05 21:55
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.80%E -6.39%K -35.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.79%E +0.893%K +1.17%G +0.044%5.5%2026-03-05 21:55
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.80%E -6.39%K -35.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.79%E +0.893%K +1.17%G +0.044%5.5%2026-03-05 21:45
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +2.57%E +0.613%K +0.804%G +0.021%3.8%2026-03-05 21:40
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.80%E -6.39%K -35.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +2.57%E +0.613%K +0.804%G +0.021%5.8%2026-03-05 21:25
Bet Right1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.28%E -5.07%K -26.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.132%E +0.032%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:53
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.28%E -5.07%K -26.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.132%E +0.032%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:55
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.31%E -0.578%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:14
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.31%E -0.578%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:25
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.31%E -0.578%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:10
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.31%E -0.578%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:29
PlayUp1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.28%E -5.07%K -26.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.31%E -0.578%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 21:55
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.28%E -5.07%K -26.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.31%E -0.578%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 21:40
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.80%E -6.39%K -35.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.31%E -0.578%K -0.770%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:55
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.80%E -6.39%K -35.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.31%E -0.578%K -0.770%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:54
Betr (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.28%E -5.07%K -26.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -3.53%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 21:45
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.77%E -3.79%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:54
Codere (IT)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 21:25
Unibet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.63%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.37%EV -5.24%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 21:49
GTbets1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 21:53
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.77%E -3.79%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:55
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -7.04%E -5.72%K -30.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-05 21:39
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV -6.95%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:35
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
LeoVegas1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:10
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 21:50
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 21:50
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 21:08
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 21:55
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 21:55
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 21:55
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 21:55
Fliff1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.80%E -6.39%K -35.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-05 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:10
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:55
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 74.09%EV -3.26%E -2.55%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.91%EV -10.61%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 21:55
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -4.77%E -3.79%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -10.86%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 21:55
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -4.77%E -3.79%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -10.86%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 21:55
Caesars1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.77%E -3.79%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 21:09
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 21:09
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 21:10
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -7.04%E -5.72%K -30.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-05 21:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%0.2%2026-03-05 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-03-05 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-03-05 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-03-05 21:55
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 78.52%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.48%1.9%2026-03-05 21:55
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%3.0%2026-03-05 21:55