L’École des cotes

Diane Parry v Venus Williams

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-05 22:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Diane Parry (Local)

Prévision 75.58%1.32cote équitable
EV -3.26%
Avantage -2.55%
Kelly -11.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.07%75.70%75.58%77.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.251.251.2881.97%79.90%80.00%78.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Venus Williams (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.42%4.09cote équitable
EV +7.21%
Avantage +1.64%
Kelly +2.13%
Croissance +0.154%

avec la cote maximale 4.39

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.16%24.30%24.42%25.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.873.804.3927.78%25.82%26.32%22.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 77.84%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 22.16%EV +7.21%E +1.64%K +2.13%G +0.154%2.8%2026-03-05 21:55
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -7.04%E -5.72%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV +4.28%E +1.00%K +1.31%G +0.056%4.7%2026-03-05 21:55
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -7.04%E -5.72%K -30.61%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV +4.28%E +1.00%K +1.31%G +0.056%4.7%2026-03-05 21:55
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.80%E -6.39%K -35.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.79%E +0.893%K +1.17%G +0.044%5.5%2026-03-05 21:55
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -7.80%E -6.39%K -35.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +3.79%E +0.893%K +1.17%G +0.044%5.5%2026-03-05 21:45
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +2.57%E +0.613%K +0.804%G +0.021%3.8%2026-03-05 21:40
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.80%E -6.39%K -35.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +2.57%E +0.613%K +0.804%G +0.021%5.8%2026-03-05 21:25
Bet Right1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.28%E -5.07%K -26.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.132%E +0.032%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:53
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.28%E -5.07%K -26.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.132%E +0.032%K +0.042%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:55
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.31%E -0.578%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:14
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.31%E -0.578%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:25
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.31%E -0.578%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:10
BetUS1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.31%E -0.578%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:29
PlayUp1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.28%E -5.07%K -26.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.31%E -0.578%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 21:55
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.28%E -5.07%K -26.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.31%E -0.578%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 21:40
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.80%E -6.39%K -35.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.31%E -0.578%K -0.770%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:55
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.80%E -6.39%K -35.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.31%E -0.578%K -0.770%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:54
Betr (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.28%E -5.07%K -26.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -3.53%E -0.894%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 21:45
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.77%E -3.79%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:54
Codere (IT)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.75%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 21:25
Unibet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.63%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.37%EV -5.24%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 21:49
GTbets1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 21:53
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.77%E -3.79%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 21:55
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -7.04%E -5.72%K -30.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -5.97%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-05 21:39
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV -6.95%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 21:35
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
LeoVegas1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:10
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 21:55
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 21:50
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.20%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 21:50
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.02%E -3.16%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 21:08
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 21:55
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 21:55
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 21:55
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 21:55
Fliff1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.80%E -6.39%K -35.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.42%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-05 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:10
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.64%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 21:55
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 74.09%EV -3.26%E -2.55%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.91%EV -10.61%E -2.90%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 21:55
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -4.77%E -3.79%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -10.86%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 21:55
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -4.77%E -3.79%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -10.86%E -2.97%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 21:55
Caesars1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.77%E -3.79%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 21:09
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 21:09
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.53%E -4.42%K -22.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 21:10
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -7.04%E -5.72%K -30.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -12.08%E -3.36%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-05 21:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%0.2%2026-03-05 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-03-05 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-03-05 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-03-05 21:55
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 78.52%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.48%1.9%2026-03-05 21:55
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%3.0%2026-03-05 21:55