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Diana Shnaider v Sorana Cirstea
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Diana Shnaider (Local)
Prediction 42.06%2.38fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.03%42.13%42.11%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.252.3147.62%44.60%44.44%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sorana Cirstea (Visit)
Prediction 57.94%1.73fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -3.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%57.87%57.89%58.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.641.641.6963.69%61.15%60.98%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Diana Shnaider (Local): 42.06%; Sorana Cirstea (Visit): 57.94%. For Sorana Cirstea (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.69, with an expected value of -2.08%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.66%E -1.58%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.26%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.82%E -2.30%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.26%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.40%E -2.66%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 20:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.26%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.40%E -2.66%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.26%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.56%E -3.41%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 20:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.26%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.26%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.26%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 20:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.26%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.29%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.26%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.29%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 20:51 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.69%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.56%E -3.41%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 20:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.98%E -3.03%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.98%E -3.03%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.98%E -3.03%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.98%E -3.03%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.98%E -3.03%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.98%E -3.03%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.98%E -3.03%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.98%E -3.03%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 20:46 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.98%E -3.03%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 20:51 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.98%E -3.03%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.98%E -3.03%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.98%E -3.03%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.98%E -3.03%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -4.53%E -1.99%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.95%E -2.19%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.98%E -3.03%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -4.95%E -2.19%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 20:43 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.40%E -2.66%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.40%E -2.66%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.40%E -2.66%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 20:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.40%E -2.66%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.98%E -3.03%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.56%E -3.41%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.56%E -3.41%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 20:46 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 20:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.29%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.29%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.29%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 20:46 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -5.79%E -2.58%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -2.08%E -1.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 20:51 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -5.79%E -2.58%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -2.08%E -1.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.21%E -2.78%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.82%E -2.30%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -6.21%E -2.78%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.71%E -4.17%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -6.21%E -2.78%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.71%E -4.17%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -7.05%E -3.19%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -3.82%E -2.30%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.24%E -1.94%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.40%E -2.66%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -5.56%E -3.41%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.71%E -4.17%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.71%E -4.17%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.71%E -4.17%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.29%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.40%E -2.66%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.29%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 20:48 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-06 20:51 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.24%E -1.94%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.24%E -1.94%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 20:51 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.24%E -1.94%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 20:51 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.40%E -2.66%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.40%E -2.66%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 0.8% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-03-06 20:51 |
| Novig◎ | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89% | 2.8% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |