Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Diana Shnaider v Sorana Cirstea

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-06 20:55 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Diana Shnaider (Local)

Prévision 42.06%2.38cote équitable
EV -2.84%
Avantage -1.23%
Kelly -2.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.03%42.13%42.11%44.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.242.252.3147.62%44.60%44.44%43.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sorana Cirstea (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.94%1.73cote équitable
EV -2.08%
Avantage -1.23%
Kelly -3.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.70%57.87%57.89%58.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.571.641.641.6963.69%61.15%60.98%59.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Diana Shnaider (Local) : 42.06% ; Sorana Cirstea (Visiteur) : 57.94%. Pour Sorana Cirstea (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.73. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.69, pour une espérance de -2.08% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.66%E -1.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-06 20:45
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -2.84%E -1.23%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 20:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.26%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.82%E -2.30%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 20:45
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.26%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.40%E -2.66%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 20:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.26%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.40%E -2.66%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 20:50
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -3.26%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -5.56%E -3.41%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 20:33
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.26%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 20:50
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.26%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 20:45
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.26%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 20:44
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.26%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.29%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 20:50
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.26%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.29%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 20:51
Unibet (UK)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -3.69%E -1.61%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.56%E -3.41%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 20:40
GTbets🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.98%E -3.03%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 20:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.98%E -3.03%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 20:50
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.98%E -3.03%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 20:50
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.98%E -3.03%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 20:50
LeoVegas🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.98%E -3.03%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.98%E -3.03%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 20:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.98%E -3.03%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 20:50
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.98%E -3.03%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 20:46
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.98%E -3.03%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 20:51
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.98%E -3.03%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 20:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.98%E -3.03%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 20:50
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.98%E -3.03%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 20:50
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.98%E -3.03%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 20:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -4.53%E -1.99%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 20:45
Bet Right🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.95%E -2.19%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.98%E -3.03%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 20:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.75%EV -4.95%E -2.19%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 20:43
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.40%E -2.66%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 20:45
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.40%E -2.66%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 20:45
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.40%E -2.66%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 20:34
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.40%E -2.66%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 20:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.98%E -3.03%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 20:45
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.56%E -3.41%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 20:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.56%E -3.41%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 20:46
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 20:39
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 20:45
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.29%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 20:50
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.29%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 20:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.29%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 20:46
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -5.79%E -2.58%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -2.08%E -1.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 20:51
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -5.79%E -2.58%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -2.08%E -1.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 20:50
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.21%E -2.78%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.82%E -2.30%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 20:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -6.21%E -2.78%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.71%E -4.17%K -11.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 20:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -6.21%E -2.78%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -6.71%E -4.17%K -11.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 20:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -7.05%E -3.19%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -3.82%E -2.30%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 20:45
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.24%E -1.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 20:45
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.40%E -2.66%K -6.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 20:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -5.56%E -3.41%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 20:50
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.71%E -4.17%K -11.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 20:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.71%E -4.17%K -11.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 20:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.71%E -4.17%K -11.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 20:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.29%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 20:50
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.40%E -2.66%K -6.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 20:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.29%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 20:48
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -9.57%E -4.45%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-06 20:51
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.24%E -1.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 20:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.24%E -1.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 20:51
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.24%E -1.94%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 20:51
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.40%E -2.66%K -6.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 20:45
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.40%E -2.66%K -6.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 20:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%0.8%2026-03-06 20:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-03-06 20:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-03-06 20:50
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-03-06 20:51
Novig2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%2.8%2026-03-06 20:50
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%3.0%2026-03-06 20:50