Language:English
Dayana Yastremska v Shuai Zhang
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dayana Yastremska (Local)
Prediction 49.64%2.01fair odd
EV -0.221%
Edge -0.110%
Kelly -0.218%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.23%49.36%49.61%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.911.912.0154.64%52.33%52.36%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shuai Zhang (Visit)
Prediction 50.36%1.99fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -3.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%50.64%50.39%52.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.871.871.9255.87%53.52%53.48%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dayana Yastremska (Local): 49.64%; Shuai Zhang (Visit): 50.36%. For Dayana Yastremska (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.014. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.010, with an expected value of -0.221%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -0.221%E -0.110%K -0.218%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -8.35%E -4.59%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 05:08 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.717%E -0.358%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.84%E -4.29%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -0.717%E -0.358%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -8.85%E -4.89%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 05:08 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -0.717%E -0.358%K -0.717%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -9.86%E -5.51%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -1.21%E -0.610%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -7.34%E -3.99%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -1.21%E -0.610%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -7.34%E -3.99%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.36%EV -2.21%E -1.12%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%EV -3.31%E -1.72%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -2.70%E -1.38%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.20%E -1.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.20%E -1.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 05:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.20%E -1.64%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 05:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 05:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.69%E -2.44%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.82%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.69%E -2.44%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 05:06 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.33%E -3.40%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.33%E -3.40%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 05:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 05:07 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.67%E -3.55%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -4.82%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 05:07 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.17%E -3.83%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.17%E -3.83%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 05:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -7.17%E -3.83%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.84%E -4.29%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-05 05:08 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.16%E -5.00%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.16%E -5.00%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.16%E -5.00%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 05:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -9.16%E -5.00%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 05:07 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -9.16%E -5.00%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 05:07 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.16%E -5.00%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.84%E -4.29%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-05 05:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-05 05:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30% | 3.7% | 2026-03-05 05:07 |