La escuela de los momios

Dayana Yastremska v Shuai Zhang

Inicio: 2026-03-05 05:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Dayana Yastremska (Local)

Predicción 49.64%2.01momio equitativo
EV -0.221%
Ventaja -0.110%
Kelly -0.218%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.01

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.23%49.36%49.61%51.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.911.912.0154.64%52.33%52.36%49.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shuai Zhang (Visitante)

Predicción 50.36%1.99momio equitativo
EV -3.31%
Ventaja -1.72%
Kelly -3.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.93%50.64%50.39%52.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.791.871.871.9255.87%53.52%53.48%52.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV -0.221%E -0.110%K -0.218%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -8.35%E -4.59%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 05:08
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.717%E -0.358%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.84%E -4.29%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 05:10
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -0.717%E -0.358%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -8.85%E -4.89%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-05 05:08
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -0.717%E -0.358%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -9.86%E -5.51%K -12.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 05:10
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -1.21%E -0.610%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -7.34%E -3.99%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 05:10
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -1.21%E -0.610%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -7.34%E -3.99%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 05:10
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 49.36%EV -2.21%E -1.12%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%EV -3.31%E -1.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-05 05:10
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -2.70%E -1.38%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-05 05:10
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.20%E -1.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 05:10
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.20%E -1.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 05:00
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.20%E -1.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 05:10
Unibet (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 05:04
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 05:10
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 05:10
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 05:10
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 05:10
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 05:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 05:10
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 05:10
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 05:10
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 05:04
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 05:10
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 05:10
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 05:10
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 05:10
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.69%E -2.44%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.82%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 05:10
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.69%E -2.44%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 05:10
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 05:06
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 05:10
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 05:10
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 05:10
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-05 05:10
Unibet (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.33%E -3.40%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 05:10
Codere (IT)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.33%E -3.40%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 05:00
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 05:10
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 05:10
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 05:07
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 05:10
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 05:10
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 05:10
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 05:10
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 05:10
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.67%E -3.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -4.82%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-05 05:07
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.17%E -3.83%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 05:10
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.17%E -3.83%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 05:04
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -7.17%E -3.83%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 05:10
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-05 05:10
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 05:10
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 05:10
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.84%E -3.70%K -8.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-05 05:10
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -7.84%E -4.29%K -9.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-05 05:08
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.16%E -5.00%K -11.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 05:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.16%E -5.00%K -11.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 05:10
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.16%E -5.00%K -11.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 05:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -9.16%E -5.00%K -11.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 05:07
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -9.16%E -5.00%K -11.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -5.33%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 05:07
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.16%E -5.00%K -11.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.84%E -4.29%K -9.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-05 05:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-03-05 05:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-03-05 05:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-03-05 05:10
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-05 05:10
Novig1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%3.7%2026-03-05 05:07