语言:简体中文
Aryna Sabalenka v Himeno Sakatsume
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Aryna Sabalenka (主队)
预测 95.03%1.05公平赔率
EV -3.06%
优势 -3.00%
Kelly -153.22%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.02
博彩公司预测分布
90.83%94.82%95.00%98.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.001.011.011.02100.00%98.99%99.01%98.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
Himeno Sakatsume (客队)
预测 4.97%20.14公平赔率
EV +178.04%
优势 +3.18%
Kelly +3.24%
增长率 +5.76%
假设最高赔率为 56.00
博彩公司预测分布
1.75%5.18%5.00%9.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
10.0020.5217.0056.0010.00%4.87%5.88%1.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Aryna Sabalenka (主队)：95.03%；Himeno Sakatsume (客队)：4.97%。 对于“Himeno Sakatsume (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为20.14。 当时有13家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为56.00，对应+178.04%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (40 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 98.25%EV -4.97%E -4.97%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 56.00I 1.79%NM 1.75%EV +178.04%E +3.18%K +3.24%G +5.76% | 1.8% | 2026-03-06 21:16 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.97%E -4.97%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +103.57%E +2.53%K +2.59%G +2.68% | 2.4% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.20%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000% | 35.00I 2.86%NM 2.80%EV +73.78%E +2.11%K +2.17%G +1.60% | 1.9% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -4.97%E -4.97%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +68.81%E +2.02%K +2.09%G +1.43% | 2.9% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -4.97%E -4.97%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +68.81%E +2.02%K +2.09%G +1.43% | 2.9% | 2026-03-06 21:16 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +43.99%E +1.52%K +1.57%G +0.691% | 2.5% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.52%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.48%EV +39.02%E +1.39%K +1.45%G +0.564% | 2.6% | 2026-03-06 21:16 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.38%EV -3.06%E -3.00%K -153.22%G +0.000% | 27.13I 3.69%NM 3.62%EV +34.70%E +1.28%K +1.33%G +0.461% | 1.7% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +29.09%E +1.12%K +1.16%G +0.339% | 2.9% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +29.09%E +1.12%K +1.16%G +0.339% | 2.9% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -3.06%E -3.00%K -153.22%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +4.27%E +0.203%K +0.213%G +0.009% | 2.8% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.97%E -4.97%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +4.27%E +0.203%K +0.213%G +0.009% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 21:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.97%E -4.97%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +4.27%E +0.203%K +0.213%G +0.009% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -5.66%E -0.298%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 21:11 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -5.66%E -0.298%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 21:11 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -5.66%E -0.298%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 21:07 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -4.97%E -4.97%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -5.66%E -0.298%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -4.97%E -4.97%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -5.66%E -0.298%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -10.63%E -0.591%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.06%E -3.00%K -153.22%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -15.59%E -0.917%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 21:12 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.06%E -3.00%K -153.22%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -15.59%E -0.917%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 21:12 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -15.59%E -0.917%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -15.59%E -0.917%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -15.59%E -0.917%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -15.59%E -0.917%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.88%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.12%EV -23.04%E -1.49%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.88%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.12%EV -23.04%E -1.49%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.06%E -3.00%K -153.22%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -25.52%E -1.70%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 21:11 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.06%E -3.00%K -153.22%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -25.52%E -1.70%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 21:11 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.06%E -3.00%K -153.22%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -25.52%E -1.70%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 21:13 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.06%E -3.00%K -153.22%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -25.52%E -1.70%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 21:13 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -25.52%E -1.70%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 21:11 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -25.52%E -1.70%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 21:11 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.06%E -3.00%K -153.22%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -35.45%E -2.73%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 21:06 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -35.45%E -2.73%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -35.45%E -2.73%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 21:13 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 92.86%EV -4.97%E -4.97%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -35.45%E -2.73%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 21:16 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -37.94%E -3.03%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 21:13 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -3.06%E -3.00%K -153.22%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -45.38%E -4.13%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 21:12 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -50.35%E -5.03%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 21:12 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.88% | 32.00I 3.13%NM 3.12% | 0.2% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.63% | 42.00I 2.38%NM 2.37% | 0.4% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.20% | 54.95I 1.82%NM 1.80% | 0.8% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02% | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.99% | 32.26I 3.10%NM 3.01% | 3.1% | 2026-03-06 21:15 |