The School of Odds

Aryna Sabalenka v Himeno Sakatsume

Matchstart: 2026-03-06 21:17 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

40 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Hemma)

Prognos 95.03%1.05rättvist odds
EV -3.06%
Fördel -3.00%
Kelly -153.22%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.02

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
90.83%94.82%95.00%98.25%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.001.011.011.02100.00%98.99%99.01%98.04%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Himeno Sakatsume (Borta)

Prognos 4.97%20.14rättvist odds
EV +178.04%
Fördel +3.18%
Kelly +3.24%
Tillväxt +5.76%

med antagandet om högsta odds 56.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
1.75%5.18%5.00%9.17%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
10.0020.5217.0056.0010.00%4.87%5.88%1.79%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (40 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel1.00I 100.00%NM 98.25%EV -4.97%E -4.97%K +0.000%G +0.000%56.00I 1.79%NM 1.75%EV +178.04%E +3.18%K +3.24%G +5.76%1.8%2026-03-06 21:16
Paddy Power1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.97%E -4.97%K +0.000%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +103.57%E +2.53%K +2.59%G +2.68%2.4%2026-03-06 21:15
DraftKings1.01I 99.01%NM 97.20%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000%35.00I 2.86%NM 2.80%EV +73.78%E +2.11%K +2.17%G +1.60%1.9%2026-03-06 21:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -4.97%E -4.97%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +68.81%E +2.02%K +2.09%G +1.43%2.9%2026-03-06 21:15
Coral1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -4.97%E -4.97%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +68.81%E +2.02%K +2.09%G +1.43%2.9%2026-03-06 21:16
Winamax (DE)1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +43.99%E +1.52%K +1.57%G +0.691%2.5%2026-03-06 21:15
Winamax (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 96.52%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.48%EV +39.02%E +1.39%K +1.45%G +0.564%2.6%2026-03-06 21:16
Pinnacle1.02I 98.04%NM 96.38%EV -3.06%E -3.00%K -153.22%G +0.000%27.13I 3.69%NM 3.62%EV +34.70%E +1.28%K +1.33%G +0.461%1.7%2026-03-06 21:15
BetMGM1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +29.09%E +1.12%K +1.16%G +0.339%2.9%2026-03-06 21:15
theScore Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +29.09%E +1.12%K +1.16%G +0.339%2.9%2026-03-06 21:15
BoyleSports1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -3.06%E -3.00%K -153.22%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +4.27%E +0.203%K +0.213%G +0.009%2.8%2026-03-06 21:15
Fanatics1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.97%E -4.97%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +4.27%E +0.203%K +0.213%G +0.009%4.8%2026-03-06 21:14
888sport (SE)1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.97%E -4.97%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +4.27%E +0.203%K +0.213%G +0.009%4.8%2026-03-06 21:15
Neds1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -5.66%E -0.298%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 21:11
Ladbrokes (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -5.66%E -0.298%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 21:11
Unibet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV -5.66%E -0.298%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 21:07
PointsBet (AU)1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -4.97%E -4.97%K +0.000%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -5.66%E -0.298%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 21:15
Betway1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -4.97%E -4.97%K +0.000%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -5.66%E -0.298%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 21:15
Casumo1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV -10.63%E -0.591%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 21:15
LowVig.ag1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.06%E -3.00%K -153.22%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -15.59%E -0.917%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 21:12
BetOnline.ag1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -3.06%E -3.00%K -153.22%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV -15.59%E -0.917%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 21:12
Coolbet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -15.59%E -0.917%K -0.975%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 21:15
888sport1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -15.59%E -0.917%K -0.975%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 21:15
Unibet (NL)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -15.59%E -0.917%K -0.975%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 21:15
Mr Green (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -15.59%E -0.917%K -0.975%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 21:15
NordicBet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.88%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.12%EV -23.04%E -1.49%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 21:15
Betsson1.01I 99.01%NM 93.88%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.12%EV -23.04%E -1.49%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 21:15
LeoVegas1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.06%E -3.00%K -153.22%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -25.52%E -1.70%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 21:11
LeoVegas (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.06%E -3.00%K -153.22%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -25.52%E -1.70%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 21:11
Unibet (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.06%E -3.00%K -153.22%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -25.52%E -1.70%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 21:13
Hard Rock Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.06%E -3.00%K -153.22%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -25.52%E -1.70%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 21:13
SportsBet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -25.52%E -1.70%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 21:11
PlayUp1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -25.52%E -1.70%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 21:11
William Hill1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.06%E -3.00%K -153.22%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -35.45%E -2.73%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 21:06
Codere (IT)1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -35.45%E -2.73%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 21:15
LiveScore Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -35.45%E -2.73%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 21:13
Bet Victor1.00I 100.00%NM 92.86%EV -4.97%E -4.97%K +0.000%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -35.45%E -2.73%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 21:16
Virgin Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -37.94%E -3.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 21:13
Tipico (DE)1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -3.06%E -3.00%K -153.22%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -45.38%E -4.13%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 21:12
Betclic (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -4.01%E -3.97%K -401.47%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -50.35%E -5.03%K -5.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 21:12
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.88%32.00I 3.13%NM 3.12%0.2%2026-03-06 21:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.63%42.00I 2.38%NM 2.37%0.4%2026-03-06 21:15
Smarkets1.01I 99.01%NM 98.20%54.95I 1.82%NM 1.80%0.8%2026-03-06 21:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.09%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.91%1.0%2026-03-06 21:15
Matchbook1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%1.0%2026-03-06 21:15
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 96.99%32.26I 3.10%NM 3.01%3.1%2026-03-06 21:15