Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.66
assuming max odds 1.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Antonia Ruzic (Local): 29.64%; Qinwen Zheng (Visit): 70.36%. For Antonia Ruzic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.48%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -25.90%E -10.36%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +5.54%E +3.69%K +11.08%G +0.614% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -18.49%E -6.72%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV +2.02%E +1.39%K +4.49%G +0.091% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 00:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -21.45%E -8.10%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV +2.02%E +1.39%K +4.49%G +0.091% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -15.52%E -5.45%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV +1.32%E +0.915%K +3.00%G +0.039% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -14.04%E -4.84%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -0.089%E -0.063%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -21.45%E -8.10%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -1.50%E -1.07%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.11%E -2.62%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.61%E -2.63%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -9.60%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -3.61%E -2.63%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 00:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.11%E -2.62%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -15.52%E -5.45%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 23:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.60%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.01%E -3.71%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.60%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.01%E -3.71%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.60%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.01%E -3.71%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.60%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.01%E -3.71%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.01%E -3.71%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.01%E -3.71%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -0.112%E -0.033%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -0.112%E -0.033%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 23:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.59I 27.86%NM 27.03%EV +6.41%E +1.79%K +2.47%G +0.159% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.97%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.777%E +0.229%K +0.324%G +0.003% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 23:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.705%E -0.210%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.19%E -0.663%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.67%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.67%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.67%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.67%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 00:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -12.56%E -4.26%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 00:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +0.777%E +0.229%K +0.324%G +0.003% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.13%E -5.40%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.13%E -5.40%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.13%E -5.40%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 00:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV +1.37%E +0.401%K +0.566%G +0.008% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -7.83%E -5.98%K -25.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 00:03 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -0.705%E -0.210%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.83%E -5.98%K -25.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 23:41 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +6.71%E +1.86%K +2.58%G +0.173% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -8.53%E -6.56%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 23:48 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +5.22%E +1.47%K +2.05%G +0.107% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -8.53%E -6.56%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 23:51 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +3.74%E +1.07%K +1.50%G +0.056% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.53%E -6.56%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +2.26%E +0.655%K +0.922%G +0.021% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -8.53%E -6.56%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 23:51 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +2.26%E +0.655%K +0.922%G +0.021% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -8.53%E -6.56%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.777%E +0.229%K +0.324%G +0.003% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.53%E -6.56%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 23:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -2.19%E -0.663%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.53%E -6.56%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 23:51 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -2.19%E -0.663%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.53%E -6.56%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 23:51 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -2.19%E -0.663%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.53%E -6.56%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -3.67%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -8.53%E -6.56%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 00:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.53%E -6.56%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 00:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +6.71%E +1.86%K +2.58%G +0.173% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -9.24%E -7.16%K -31.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +6.71%E +1.86%K +2.58%G +0.173% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -9.24%E -7.16%K -31.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 23:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV +0.777%E +0.229%K +0.324%G +0.003% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -9.24%E -7.16%K -31.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.46%EV +8.48%E +2.32%K +3.19%G +0.271% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.54%EV -12.05%E -9.64%K -48.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 23:54 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 0.4% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 1.3% | 2026-03-08 00:05 |
| Novig◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 00:04 |