L’École des cotes

Antonia Ruzic v Qinwen Zheng

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 00:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Antonia Ruzic (Local)

Prévision 29.64%3.37cote équitable
EV +8.48%
Avantage +2.32%
Kelly +3.19%
Croissance +0.271%

avec la cote maximale 3.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.46%30.09%29.36%37.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.503.183.153.6640.00%31.40%31.75%27.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Qinwen Zheng (Visiteur)

Prévision 70.36%1.42cote équitable
EV +5.54%
Avantage +3.69%
Kelly +11.08%
Croissance +0.614%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.50%69.91%70.64%74.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.341.331.5080.00%74.57%75.19%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -25.90%E -10.36%K -17.27%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +5.54%E +3.69%K +11.08%G +0.614%6.7%2026-03-08 00:04
NordicBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -18.49%E -6.72%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV +2.02%E +1.39%K +4.49%G +0.091%5.3%2026-03-08 00:00
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -21.45%E -8.10%K -13.00%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV +2.02%E +1.39%K +4.49%G +0.091%6.7%2026-03-08 00:04
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -15.52%E -5.45%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV +1.32%E +0.915%K +3.00%G +0.039%4.5%2026-03-08 00:04
Hard Rock Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -14.04%E -4.84%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -0.089%E -0.063%K -0.213%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 00:04
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -21.45%E -8.10%K -13.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -1.50%E -1.07%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 00:04
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -8.11%E -2.62%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.61%E -2.63%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 00:04
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -9.60%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -3.61%E -2.63%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 00:04
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 00:04
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 00:04
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 00:04
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 00:04
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 00:04
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 00:04
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 00:04
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.63%E -2.11%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 00:00
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.11%E -2.62%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 00:04
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 00:04
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 00:04
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -15.52%E -5.45%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -4.31%E -3.17%K -11.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 23:59
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.60%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.01%E -3.71%K -14.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 00:04
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.60%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.01%E -3.71%K -14.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 00:04
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.60%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.01%E -3.71%K -14.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 00:04
Bally Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -9.60%E -3.15%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -5.01%E -3.71%K -14.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 00:04
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.01%E -3.71%K -14.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 00:04
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.01%E -3.71%K -14.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 00:04
LowVig.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -0.112%E -0.033%K -0.047%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 23:54
BetOnline.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -0.112%E -0.033%K -0.047%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 23:55
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 00:04
Pinnacle3.59I 27.86%NM 27.03%EV +6.41%E +1.79%K +2.47%G +0.159%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.97%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 23:54
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV +0.777%E +0.229%K +0.324%G +0.003%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 23:59
1xBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.705%E -0.210%K -0.300%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 23:54
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.19%E -0.663%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 23:54
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.67%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 23:54
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.67%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 00:04
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.67%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 00:04
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.67%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 00:04
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 00:00
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 00:04
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -12.56%E -4.26%K -6.44%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 00:05
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +0.777%E +0.229%K +0.324%G +0.003%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -7.13%E -5.40%K -22.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:04
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.13%E -5.40%K -22.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 00:04
Fliff3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.08%E -3.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.13%E -5.40%K -22.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 00:05
DraftKings3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV +1.37%E +0.401%K +0.566%G +0.008%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -7.83%E -5.98%K -25.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 00:03
Codere (IT)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -0.705%E -0.210%K -0.300%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.83%E -5.98%K -25.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 23:41
BetRivers3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +6.71%E +1.86%K +2.58%G +0.173%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -8.53%E -6.56%K -28.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 23:48
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV +5.22%E +1.47%K +2.05%G +0.107%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -8.53%E -6.56%K -28.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 23:51
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +3.74%E +1.07%K +1.50%G +0.056%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.53%E -6.56%K -28.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 23:54
Betr (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +2.26%E +0.655%K +0.922%G +0.021%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -8.53%E -6.56%K -28.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 23:51
Unibet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +2.26%E +0.655%K +0.922%G +0.021%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -8.53%E -6.56%K -28.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 23:54
Everygame3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.777%E +0.229%K +0.324%G +0.003%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.53%E -6.56%K -28.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 23:50
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -2.19%E -0.663%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.53%E -6.56%K -28.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 23:51
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -2.19%E -0.663%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.53%E -6.56%K -28.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 23:51
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -2.19%E -0.663%K -0.951%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.53%E -6.56%K -28.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 00:04
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -3.67%E -1.13%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -8.53%E -6.56%K -28.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 00:05
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.15%E -1.61%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.53%E -6.56%K -28.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 00:00
GTbets3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +6.71%E +1.86%K +2.58%G +0.173%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -9.24%E -7.16%K -31.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:54
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +6.71%E +1.86%K +2.58%G +0.173%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -9.24%E -7.16%K -31.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:50
NetBet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV +0.777%E +0.229%K +0.324%G +0.003%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -9.24%E -7.16%K -31.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 23:54
SportsBet3.66I 27.32%NM 25.46%EV +8.48%E +2.32%K +3.19%G +0.271%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.54%EV -12.05%E -9.64%K -48.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 23:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%0.4%2026-03-08 00:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-03-08 00:04
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-03-08 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-03-08 00:05
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%1.3%2026-03-08 00:05
Novig3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%6.3%2026-03-08 00:04