Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Marta Kostyuk v Liudmila Samsonova

2026-09-17 23:00 UTC — WTA Guadalajara Open

Testa a testa

61 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Marta Kostyuk (Casa)

Previsione 74.86%1.34quota equa
EV -0.431%
Vantaggio -0.324%
Kelly -1.31%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
72.94%74.90%74.78%76.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.211.261.271.3382.64%79.06%78.74%75.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Liudmila Samsonova (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.14%3.98quota equa
EV +2.30%
Vantaggio +0.566%
Kelly +0.751%
Crescita +0.017%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.07

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.81%25.10%25.22%27.06%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.453.723.754.0728.99%26.89%26.67%24.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Marta Kostyuk (Casa): 74.86%; Liudmila Samsonova (Trasferta): 25.14%. Per Liudmila Samsonova (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.98. 4 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 4.07, con un valore atteso positivo del +2.30%.

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 76.07%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.93%EV +2.30%E +0.566%K +0.751%G +0.017%2.7%2026-09-17 08:40
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.545%E +0.136%K +0.182%G +0.001%5.0%2026-09-17 08:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV +0.294%E +0.074%K +0.098%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-17 08:46
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV +0.294%E +0.074%K +0.098%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-17 08:46
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.97%E -0.505%K -0.679%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-17 08:33
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.97%E -0.505%K -0.679%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 08:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -1.97%E -0.505%K -0.679%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-17 08:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -1.97%E -0.505%K -0.679%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-17 08:26
Bet Right🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.23%E -0.838%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 09:01
Fanatics🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.23%E -0.838%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 09:15
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.23%E -0.838%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-17 08:26
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-17 09:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-17 08:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.67%E -7.10%K -39.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-17 08:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -9.41%E -7.78%K -44.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-17 08:35
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -5.24%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-17 08:35
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-17 08:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 07:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 07:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 07:25
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 07:25
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 07:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 07:25
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 07:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 07:25
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 07:25
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 07:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 07:26
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 07:25
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 07:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 07:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 07:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-17 08:36
Betr (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-17 08:35
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-17 06:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.55%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.45%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-17 08:35
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-17 07:36
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-17 07:14
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 04:35
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -7.17%E -5.78%K -29.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.25%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-17 08:31
ReBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -7.17%E -5.78%K -29.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.25%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-17 08:30
GTbets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.19%EV -0.431%E -0.324%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.81%EV -8.76%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-17 07:25
DraftKings🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.52%EV -2.68%E -2.06%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.48%EV -9.26%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-17 06:50
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 07:31
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 07:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 07:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 07:30
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-17 07:10
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 06:50
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 08:31
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-17 08:34
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-17 08:34
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-17 07:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-17 07:16
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -7.17%E -5.78%K -29.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-17 07:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -12.02%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-17 04:35
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.02%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-17 04:30
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.02%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-17 04:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.15%EV -8.67%E -7.10%K -39.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -12.02%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-17 08:25
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.28%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 07:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.28%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 07:16
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-09-17 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-09-17 09:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-09-17 09:01
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-09-17 09:01
Novig1.29I 77.52%NM 76.76%4.26I 23.47%NM 23.24%1.0%2026-09-17 09:05
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%3.8%2026-09-17 08:55
Arbitraggio (1 combinazione) +0.24%GTbets 1.33 (75.4%) / Pinnacle 4.07 (24.6%)Mostra dettagli
Marta Kostyuk (Casa)Liudmila Samsonova (Trasferta)Margine
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.4%)Pinnacle🎯 4.07 (24.6%)+0.243%