Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Marta Kostyuk v Liudmila Samsonova

2026-09-17 23:00 UTC — WTA Guadalajara Open

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Marta Kostyuk (Local)

Prévision 74.86%1.34cote équitable
EV -0.431%
Avantage -0.324%
Kelly -1.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.94%74.90%74.78%76.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.211.261.271.3382.64%79.06%78.74%75.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Liudmila Samsonova (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.14%3.98cote équitable
EV +2.30%
Avantage +0.566%
Kelly +0.751%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 4.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.81%25.10%25.22%27.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.453.723.754.0728.99%26.89%26.67%24.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Marta Kostyuk (Local) : 74.86% ; Liudmila Samsonova (Visiteur) : 25.14%. Pour Liudmila Samsonova (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.98. 4 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.07, pour une espérance positive de +2.30%.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 76.07%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.93%EV +2.30%E +0.566%K +0.751%G +0.017%2.7%2026-09-17 08:40
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.545%E +0.136%K +0.182%G +0.001%5.0%2026-09-17 08:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV +0.294%E +0.074%K +0.098%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-17 08:46
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV +0.294%E +0.074%K +0.098%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-17 08:46
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.97%E -0.505%K -0.679%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-17 08:33
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.97%E -0.505%K -0.679%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 08:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -1.97%E -0.505%K -0.679%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-17 08:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -1.97%E -0.505%K -0.679%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-17 08:26
Bet Right🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.23%E -0.838%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 09:01
Fanatics🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.23%E -0.838%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 09:15
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.23%E -0.838%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-17 08:26
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-17 09:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-17 08:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.67%E -7.10%K -39.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-17 08:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -9.41%E -7.78%K -44.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -4.48%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-17 08:35
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%EV -5.24%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-17 08:35
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-17 08:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 07:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 07:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 07:25
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 07:25
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 07:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 07:25
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 07:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 07:25
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 07:25
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 07:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 07:26
Grosvenor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 07:25
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 07:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 07:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-17 07:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-17 08:36
Betr (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-17 08:35
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-17 06:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.55%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.45%EV -6.49%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-17 08:35
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-17 07:36
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.92%E -3.88%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-17 07:14
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 04:35
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -7.17%E -5.78%K -29.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.25%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-17 08:31
ReBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -7.17%E -5.78%K -29.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.25%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-17 08:30
GTbets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.19%EV -0.431%E -0.324%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.81%EV -8.76%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-17 07:25
DraftKings🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.52%EV -2.68%E -2.06%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.48%EV -9.26%E -2.56%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-17 06:50
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 07:31
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 07:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 07:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 07:30
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-17 07:10
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 06:50
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 08:31
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-17 08:34
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-17 08:34
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-17 07:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-17 07:16
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -7.17%E -5.78%K -29.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-17 07:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.43%E -2.66%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -12.02%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-17 04:35
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.02%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-17 04:30
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.42%E -5.14%K -25.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.02%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-17 04:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.15%EV -8.67%E -7.10%K -39.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -12.02%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-17 08:25
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.28%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 07:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.28%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 07:16
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-09-17 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-09-17 09:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-09-17 09:01
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-09-17 09:01
Novig1.29I 77.52%NM 76.76%4.26I 23.47%NM 23.24%1.0%2026-09-17 09:05
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%3.8%2026-09-17 08:55
Arbitrage (1 combinaison) +0.24%GTbets 1.33 (75.4%) / Pinnacle 4.07 (24.6%)Afficher les détails
Marta Kostyuk (Local)Liudmila Samsonova (Visiteur)Marge
GTbets🎯 1.33 (75.4%)Pinnacle🎯 4.07 (24.6%)+0.243%