Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Diane Parry v Peyton Stearns

2026-09-15 19:00 UTC — WTA Guadalajara Open

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Diane Parry (Local)

Prediction 54.77%1.83fair odd
EV -4.15%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -5.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.32%54.92%54.67%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.711.711.7560.98%58.58%58.48%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Peyton Stearns (Visit)

Prediction 45.23%2.21fair odd
EV -0.494%
Edge -0.224%
Kelly -0.411%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%45.08%45.33%45.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.082.102.2051.28%47.97%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Diane Parry (Local): 54.77%; Peyton Stearns (Visit): 45.23%. For Peyton Stearns (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.20, with an expected value of -0.494%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.15%E -2.37%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 21:05
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.70%E -2.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.11%E -1.94%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 21:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.70%E -2.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 21:35
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.25%E -3.03%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.11%E -1.94%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 21:06
GTbets🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.25%E -3.03%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.11%E -1.94%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 21:06
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.25%E -3.03%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.56%E -2.16%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 21:06
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.25%E -3.03%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 21:05
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.25%E -3.03%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 21:05
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.25%E -3.03%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 21:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.25%E -3.03%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 21:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.25%E -3.03%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 21:05
NordicBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.25%E -3.03%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.92%E -2.85%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 21:01
Betsson🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.25%E -3.03%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.92%E -2.85%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 21:06
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.80%E -3.37%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -4.56%E -2.16%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 01:16
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.80%E -3.37%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 00:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.80%E -3.37%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 21:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -5.80%E -3.37%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -6.83%E -3.31%K -6.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 23:20
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.34%E -3.71%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 21:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -6.34%E -3.71%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.11%E -1.94%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 01:40
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.34%E -3.71%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 21:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.34%E -3.71%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 23:35
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.34%E -3.71%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 21:06
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.89%E -4.05%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 01:16
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.89%E -4.05%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 23:50
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.89%E -4.05%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 21:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.89%E -4.05%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 23:45
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.89%E -4.05%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 23:14
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.99%E -4.75%K -11.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -2.76%E -1.28%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 21:11
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.53%E -5.11%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 21:05
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.53%E -5.11%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.02%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 21:06
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -8.53%E -5.11%K -12.74%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.63%EV -9.99%E -5.02%K -10.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 21:05
ReBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -8.53%E -5.11%K -12.74%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.63%EV -9.99%E -5.02%K -10.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 21:05
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.63%E -5.84%K -14.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -0.494%E -0.224%K -0.411%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 21:06
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.44%EV -10.18%E -6.21%K -15.90%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.56%EV -11.35%E -5.79%K -11.82%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 21:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.32%EV -10.18%E -6.21%K -15.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.68%EV -11.80%E -6.05%K -12.42%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 21:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 54.32%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.68%12.3%2026-09-13 21:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 45.65%1.52I 65.79%NM 54.35%21.0%2026-09-14 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 45.65%1.52I 65.79%NM 54.35%21.0%2026-09-14 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 45.65%1.52I 65.79%NM 54.35%21.0%2026-09-14 00:20