Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Diane Parry v Peyton Stearns

Kickoff: 2026-09-15 23:15 UTC

Final: Diane Parry 0–2 Peyton Stearns

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Diane Parry (Local)

Prediction 52.93%1.89fair odd
EV +3.22%
Edge +1.65%
Kelly +3.39%
Growth +0.109%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.68%52.74%52.88%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.801.801.9558.82%55.44%55.56%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Peyton Stearns (Visit)

Prediction 47.07%2.12fair odd
EV +0.252%
Edge +0.118%
Kelly +0.223%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%47.26%47.12%51.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.991.992.1354.05%50.35%50.25%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Diane Parry (Local): 52.93%; Peyton Stearns (Visit): 47.07%. For Diane Parry (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.22%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +3.22%E +1.65%K +3.39%G +0.109%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -12.93%E -6.99%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 16:50
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +3.22%E +1.65%K +3.39%G +0.109%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -12.93%E -6.99%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 16:51
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +3.22%E +1.65%K +3.39%G +0.109%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -12.93%E -6.99%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +3.22%E +1.65%K +3.39%G +0.109%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -12.93%E -6.99%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 16:50
GTbets🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -0.485%E -0.258%K -0.551%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -9.16%E -4.75%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.01%E -0.542%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.99%E -6.41%K -13.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 23:05
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.01%E -0.542%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.99%E -6.41%K -13.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 20:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -2.60%E -1.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 22:55
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 22:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 22:46
ReBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.81%E -3.44%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 22:46
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.81%E -3.44%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 22:50
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.28%E -3.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.28%E -3.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 22:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.28%E -3.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 22:46
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.28%E -3.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 22:46
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.28%E -3.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 22:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.28%E -3.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 22:46
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.28%E -3.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 22:46
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.28%E -3.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 22:50
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.28%E -3.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 22:46
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.28%E -3.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 22:46
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.28%E -3.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 22:50
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.28%E -3.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 22:50
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -4.19%E -2.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 22:56
Unibet (UK)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.19%E -2.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 22:50
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV +0.252%E +0.118%K +0.223%G +0.001%2.5%2026-09-15 22:56
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 22:59
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 22:56
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 22:50
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 22:50
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 22:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 22:50
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.81%E -3.44%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 22:55
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.81%E -3.44%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.25%E -2.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.98%E -1.95%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 22:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.89%EV -5.25%E -2.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.11%EV -5.40%E -2.68%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 23:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.78%E -3.25%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.10%E -1.01%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 23:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.78%E -3.25%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.10%E -1.01%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 23:05
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.78%E -3.25%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.81%E -3.44%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.78%E -3.25%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.81%E -3.44%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 23:05
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.31%E -3.56%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.16%E -0.553%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 22:50
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.31%E -3.56%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 22:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.31%E -3.56%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 22:59
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.31%E -3.56%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.84%E -3.88%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.10%E -1.01%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 22:51
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.84%E -3.88%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.57%E -1.24%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 22:55
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.84%E -3.88%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 22:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -6.84%E -3.88%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -9.63%E -5.02%K -10.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 22:50
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 22:50
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 22:55
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.22%E -4.22%K -8.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-15 22:55
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.22%E -4.22%K -8.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-15 22:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.22%E -4.22%K -8.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-15 22:55
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.22%E -4.22%K -8.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-15 22:55
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.42%E -4.87%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 22:50
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.42%E -4.87%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 22:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.95%E -5.21%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-15 22:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -10.01%E -5.89%K -14.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.22%E -4.22%K -8.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-15 22:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-09-15 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-09-15 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-09-15 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-09-15 23:05
ProphetX◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.52%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.48%1.3%2026-09-15 23:05
Smarkets◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%2.0%2026-09-15 23:05
Novig◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%2.1%2026-09-15 23:05