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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Diane Parry v Peyton Stearns

Inicio: 2026-09-15 23:15 UTC

Final: Diane Parry 0–2 Peyton Stearns

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Diane Parry (Local)

Predicción 52.93%1.89momio equitativo
EV +3.22%
Ventaja +1.65%
Kelly +3.39%
Crecimiento +0.109%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.68%52.74%52.88%54.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.701.801.801.9558.82%55.44%55.56%51.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Peyton Stearns (Visitante)

Predicción 47.07%2.12momio equitativo
EV +0.252%
Ventaja +0.118%
Kelly +0.223%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.74%47.26%47.12%51.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.851.991.992.1354.05%50.35%50.25%46.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Diane Parry (Local): 52.93%; Peyton Stearns (Visitante): 47.07%. Para Diane Parry (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.89. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.95, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.22%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +3.22%E +1.65%K +3.39%G +0.109%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -12.93%E -6.99%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 16:50
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +3.22%E +1.65%K +3.39%G +0.109%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -12.93%E -6.99%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 16:51
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +3.22%E +1.65%K +3.39%G +0.109%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -12.93%E -6.99%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +3.22%E +1.65%K +3.39%G +0.109%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -12.93%E -6.99%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 16:50
GTbets🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -0.485%E -0.258%K -0.551%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -9.16%E -4.75%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.01%E -0.542%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.99%E -6.41%K -13.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 23:05
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.01%E -0.542%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -11.99%E -6.41%K -13.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-15 20:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -2.60%E -1.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 22:55
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 22:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.13%E -1.71%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-15 22:46
ReBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 22:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.81%E -3.44%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 22:46
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.81%E -3.44%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-15 22:50
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.28%E -3.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.28%E -3.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 22:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.28%E -3.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 22:46
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.28%E -3.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 22:46
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.28%E -3.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 22:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.28%E -3.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 22:46
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.28%E -3.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 22:46
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.28%E -3.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 22:50
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.28%E -3.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 22:46
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.28%E -3.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 22:46
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.28%E -3.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 22:50
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.66%E -2.01%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.28%E -3.69%K -7.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-15 22:50
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -4.19%E -2.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-15 22:56
Unibet (UK)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.19%E -2.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 22:50
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV +0.252%E +0.118%K +0.223%G +0.001%2.5%2026-09-15 22:56
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 22:59
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.93%E -2.44%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 22:56
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 22:50
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 22:50
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 22:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 22:50
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.81%E -3.44%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 22:55
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.72%E -2.62%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.81%E -3.44%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-15 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.25%E -2.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.98%E -1.95%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 22:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.89%EV -5.25%E -2.93%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.11%EV -5.40%E -2.68%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 23:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.78%E -3.25%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.10%E -1.01%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 23:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.78%E -3.25%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.10%E -1.01%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 23:05
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.78%E -3.25%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.81%E -3.44%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.78%E -3.25%K -7.41%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.81%E -3.44%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-15 23:05
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.31%E -3.56%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.16%E -0.553%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 22:50
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.31%E -3.56%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 22:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.31%E -3.56%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 22:59
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.31%E -3.56%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.84%E -3.88%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.10%E -1.01%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 22:51
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.84%E -3.88%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -2.57%E -1.24%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 22:55
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.84%E -3.88%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 22:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -6.84%E -3.88%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -9.63%E -5.02%K -10.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-15 22:50
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 22:50
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.51%E -1.71%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 22:55
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.22%E -4.22%K -8.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-15 22:55
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.22%E -4.22%K -8.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-15 22:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.22%E -4.22%K -8.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-15 22:55
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.37%E -4.21%K -9.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.22%E -4.22%K -8.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-15 22:55
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.42%E -4.87%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 22:50
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.42%E -4.87%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 22:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.95%E -5.21%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -5.87%E -2.93%K -5.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-15 22:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -10.01%E -5.89%K -14.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.22%E -4.22%K -8.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-15 22:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-09-15 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-09-15 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-09-15 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-09-15 23:05
ProphetX◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.52%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.48%1.3%2026-09-15 23:05
Smarkets◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%2.0%2026-09-15 23:05
Novig◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%2.1%2026-09-15 23:05