Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.47
assuming max odds 2.95
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cristina Bucsa (Local): 66.15%; Panna Udvardy (Visit): 33.85%. For Panna Udvardy (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.954. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.950, with an expected value of -0.129%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.44%EV -2.77%E -1.88%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.56%EV -1.48%E -0.510%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-15 15:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.09%E -2.82%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.18%E -1.11%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-15 15:36 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.09%E -2.82%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.18%E -1.11%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-15 15:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.09%E -2.82%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.88%E -2.12%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-15 15:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.09%E -2.82%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-15 15:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-15 13:16 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.51%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-15 15:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 15:26 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-15 15:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 15:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 15:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 15:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 15:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 15:26 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 15:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 15:26 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 15:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 15:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 08:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-15 10:21 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-15 10:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-15 10:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.41%E -3.78%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.82%E -0.628%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-15 15:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.41%E -3.78%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 15:26 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.41%E -3.78%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.51%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-15 10:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.41%E -3.78%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 15:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.41%E -3.78%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 10:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.41%E -3.78%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 15:36 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.41%E -3.78%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-15 08:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.41%E -3.78%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-15 15:36 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.41%E -3.78%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-15 15:36 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.129%E -0.044%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-15 15:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -1.14%E -0.392%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-15 15:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:26 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:26 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:26 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:26 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:26 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:26 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-15 08:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -3.85%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-15 14:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -7.92%E -2.91%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-15 15:36 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-15 15:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.40%E -5.28%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-15 10:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.40%E -5.28%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-15 10:26 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.40%E -5.28%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-15 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.40%E -5.28%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-15 10:31 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.40%E -5.28%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 15:31 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.40%E -5.28%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 15:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.40%E -5.28%K -18.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-15 08:21 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.53%EV -8.72%E -6.32%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.47%EV -2.84%E -0.989%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-15 15:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -8.72%E -6.32%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-15 14:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -8.72%E -6.32%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-15 15:36 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -8.72%E -6.32%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-15 15:36 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.99%EV -9.38%E -6.85%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.01%EV -1.48%E -0.510%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-15 08:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.50%EV -9.38%E -6.85%K -25.35%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.50%EV -7.92%E -2.91%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-15 15:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-09-15 15:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-09-15 15:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-09-15 15:26 |
| Novig◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-09-15 15:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-09-15 15:31 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94% | 1.6% | 2026-09-15 15:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64% | 1.8% | 2026-09-15 15:55 |