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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Cristina Bucsa v Panna Udvardy

2026-09-15 19:00 UTC — WTA Guadalajara Open

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cristina Bucsa (Local)

Predicción 67.91%1.47momio equitativo
EV -3.57%
Ventaja -2.51%
Kelly -8.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.35%67.83%67.89%69.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.341.391.401.4274.63%72.01%71.43%70.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Panna Udvardy (Visitante)

Predicción 32.09%3.12momio equitativo
EV +0.757%
Ventaja +0.241%
Kelly +0.354%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.38%32.17%32.11%33.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.922.953.1437.04%34.26%33.90%31.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Cristina Bucsa (Local): 67.91%; Panna Udvardy (Visitante): 32.09%. Para Panna Udvardy (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.12. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.14, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.757%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -6.96%E -5.08%K -18.81%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV +0.757%E +0.241%K +0.354%G +0.003%4.8%2026-09-14 02:30
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -5.60%E -4.03%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -3.09%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 02:40
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 02:35
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 02:36
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 06:01
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 02:40
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.28%E -4.55%K -16.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.74%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 07:15
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.74%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.26%EV -4.06%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 02:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -5.60%E -4.03%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -4.70%E -1.58%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 05:40
Bet Right🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.34%E -1.81%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 07:00
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.34%E -1.81%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 07:01
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.34%E -1.81%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 05:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.34%E -1.81%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 03:15
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.34%E -1.81%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 07:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.34%E -1.81%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 07:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.34%E -1.81%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 07:10
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.34%E -1.81%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 07:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.34%E -1.81%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 07:10
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.34%E -1.81%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 07:10
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.34%E -1.81%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 07:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.34%E -1.81%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 07:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.34%E -1.81%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 07:10
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.34%E -1.81%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 07:10
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.34%E -1.81%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 07:10
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.34%E -1.81%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 07:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.34%E -1.81%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 07:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.34%E -1.81%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 07:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.34%E -1.81%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 08:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.60%E -4.03%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.34%E -1.81%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 02:50
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.60%E -4.03%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.34%E -1.81%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 02:40
Betsson🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.60%E -4.03%K -14.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.34%E -1.81%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 02:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.32%E -6.16%K -23.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -5.34%E -1.81%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 06:56
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.94%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 07:05
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.94%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 02:35
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.94%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 02:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.94%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 02:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.94%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 02:35
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -6.94%E -2.39%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 02:35
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.59%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 06:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.76%EV -6.96%E -5.08%K -18.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.24%EV -7.59%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-14 02:40
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.59%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 02:35
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.59%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 02:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -8.55%E -3.00%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-14 07:10
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.57%E -2.51%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -10.15%E -3.63%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 07:15
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.15%E -3.63%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 05:36
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.15%E -3.63%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 05:39
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.92%E -3.52%K -12.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.15%E -3.63%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 03:50
ReBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.99%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.01%EV -11.44%E -4.14%K -6.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-14 02:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -7.64%E -5.62%K -21.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -11.76%E -4.28%K -6.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 02:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.83%EV -9.00%E -6.72%K -26.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -13.36%E -4.95%K -7.86%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 02:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.83%EV -9.00%E -6.72%K -26.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.17%EV -13.36%E -4.95%K -7.86%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 03:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig◎1.32I 75.76%NM 68.72%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%10.2%2026-09-14 05:31
Smarkets◎1.33I 75.19%NM 66.83%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.17%12.5%2026-09-14 02:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 67.01%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.99%16.6%2026-09-14 07:46
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 65.96%2.48I 40.32%NM 34.04%18.4%2026-09-14 08:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.28I 78.13%NM 46.67%1.12I 89.29%NM 53.33%67.4%2026-09-14 07:45