La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Cristina Bucsa v Panna Udvardy

Inicio: 2026-09-15 16:00 UTC

Final: Cristina Bucsa 2–0 Panna Udvardy

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cristina Bucsa (Local)

Predicción 66.15%1.51momio equitativo
EV -2.77%
Ventaja -1.88%
Kelly -5.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.06%66.23%66.19%67.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.371.421.421.4772.99%70.27%70.42%68.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Panna Udvardy (Visitante)

Predicción 33.85%2.95momio equitativo
EV -0.129%
Ventaja -0.044%
Kelly -0.066%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.01%33.77%33.81%34.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.802.802.9538.46%35.71%35.71%33.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cristina Bucsa (Local): 66.15%; Panna Udvardy (Visitante): 33.85%. Para Panna Udvardy (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.954. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.950, con un valor esperado de -0.129%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.44%EV -2.77%E -1.88%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.56%EV -1.48%E -0.510%K -0.777%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-15 15:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.09%E -2.82%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.18%E -1.11%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 15:36
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.09%E -2.82%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.18%E -1.11%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-15 15:35
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.09%E -2.82%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.88%E -2.12%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 15:45
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.09%E -2.82%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-15 15:25
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 13:16
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.51%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 15:30
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 15:26
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-15 15:35
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 15:30
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 15:35
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 15:25
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 15:26
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 15:26
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 15:25
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 15:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 08:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-15 10:21
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 10:30
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.75%E -3.30%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 10:30
BetAnything🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.41%E -3.78%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.82%E -0.628%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 15:30
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.41%E -3.78%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 15:26
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.41%E -3.78%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.51%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 10:30
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.41%E -3.78%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 15:25
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.41%E -3.78%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 10:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.41%E -3.78%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 15:36
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.41%E -3.78%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 08:20
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.41%E -3.78%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 15:36
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.41%E -3.78%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 15:36
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.129%E -0.044%K -0.066%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 15:35
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -1.14%E -0.392%K -0.596%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-15 15:25
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 08:26
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 08:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 08:30
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 08:26
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 08:26
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 08:26
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 08:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 08:30
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 08:25
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 08:26
Bally Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 08:26
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 08:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -2.50%E -0.868%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 08:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -3.85%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 14:00
ReBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -7.92%E -2.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-15 15:36
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.07%E -4.28%K -14.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 15:25
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.40%E -5.28%K -18.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:25
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.40%E -5.28%K -18.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:26
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.40%E -5.28%K -18.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.40%E -5.28%K -18.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.90%E -2.51%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-15 10:31
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.40%E -5.28%K -18.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 15:31
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.40%E -5.28%K -18.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 15:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.40%E -5.28%K -18.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.59%E -3.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-15 08:21
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.53%EV -8.72%E -6.32%K -22.95%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.47%EV -2.84%E -0.989%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-15 15:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -8.72%E -6.32%K -22.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -5.21%E -1.86%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-15 14:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -8.72%E -6.32%K -22.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-15 15:36
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -8.72%E -6.32%K -22.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -11.98%E -4.61%K -7.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-15 15:36
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.99%EV -9.38%E -6.85%K -25.35%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.01%EV -1.48%E -0.510%K -0.777%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-15 08:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.50%EV -9.38%E -6.85%K -25.35%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.50%EV -7.92%E -2.91%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-15 15:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-09-15 15:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-09-15 15:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-09-15 15:26
Novig◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-09-15 15:50
Matchbook◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%0.9%2026-09-15 15:31
ProphetX◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94%1.6%2026-09-15 15:40
Smarkets◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%1.8%2026-09-15 15:55