Language:English
Carole Monnet v Sloane Stephens
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Carole Monnet (Local)
Prediction 22.01%4.54fair odd
EV +2.78%
Edge +0.595%
Kelly +0.757%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 4.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.63%22.03%21.98%24.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.344.344.6725.64%23.03%23.04%21.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sloane Stephens (Visit)
Prediction 77.99%1.28fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -10.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.88%77.97%78.02%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.211.211.2586.21%82.61%82.64%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Carole Monnet (Local): 22.01%; Sloane Stephens (Visit): 77.99%. For Carole Monnet (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.54. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.67, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.78%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 4.67I 21.41%NM 21.11%EV +2.78%E +0.595%K +0.757%G +0.021% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.89%EV -2.51%E -2.01%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-09-14 04:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.24%E +0.269%K +0.343%G +0.004% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-14 06:56 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.24%E +0.269%K +0.343%G +0.004% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-14 06:56 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.24%E +0.269%K +0.343%G +0.004% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-14 06:56 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.24%E +0.269%K +0.343%G +0.004% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-14 06:56 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.24%E +0.269%K +0.343%G +0.004% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-14 06:56 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.24%E +0.269%K +0.343%G +0.004% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-14 06:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.24%E +0.269%K +0.343%G +0.004% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-14 06:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.24%E +0.269%K +0.343%G +0.004% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-14 06:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.24%E +0.269%K +0.343%G +0.004% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-14 06:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.24%E +0.269%K +0.343%G +0.004% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-14 06:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.24%E +0.269%K +0.343%G +0.004% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-14 06:56 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.24%E +0.269%K +0.343%G +0.004% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-14 06:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.24%E +0.269%K +0.343%G +0.004% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-14 06:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.24%E +0.269%K +0.343%G +0.004% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-14 06:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -0.965%E -0.214%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.07%E -3.31%K -17.69%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-14 15:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.965%E -0.214%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-14 18:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.965%E -0.214%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-14 03:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.965%E -0.214%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-14 07:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.965%E -0.214%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.75%E -7.48%K -51.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-14 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.965%E -0.214%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.75%E -7.48%K -51.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-14 03:56 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.965%E -0.214%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.75%E -7.48%K -51.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-14 03:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.41I 22.68%NM 22.08%EV -2.95%E -0.668%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.92%EV -2.51%E -2.01%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.17%E -0.719%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.85%E -3.98%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-14 15:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.17%E -0.719%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.85%E -3.98%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-14 18:06 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.17%E -0.719%K -0.931%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-14 18:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -4.27%E -0.981%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.63%E -4.65%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-14 16:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -4.27%E -0.981%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.95%EV -9.53%E -8.21%K -59.56%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-14 06:56 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -4.49%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -3.29%E -2.65%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -4.49%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -3.29%E -2.65%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-14 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -4.71%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.85%E -3.98%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-14 08:51 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -4.71%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.85%E -3.98%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.71%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-14 17:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.37%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.85%E -3.98%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-14 16:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.37%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.85%E -3.98%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-14 15:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.37%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.63%E -4.65%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-14 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.37%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.63%E -4.65%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-14 14:36 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.37%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.63%E -4.65%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-14 14:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.37%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.63%E -4.65%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-14 15:56 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.18%EV -5.81%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.82%EV -4.85%E -3.98%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-14 16:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.47%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.29%E -2.65%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-14 15:58 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.47%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.85%E -3.98%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.47%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.85%E -3.98%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-14 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.47%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.63%E -4.65%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 17:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.47%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.63%E -4.65%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.29%E -2.65%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-14 16:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.85%E -3.98%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-14 15:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -9.53%E -8.21%K -59.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-14 15:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.51%E -2.01%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.51%E -2.01%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.29%E -2.65%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-14 15:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.85%E -3.98%K -22.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-14 18:26 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-14 08:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-14 09:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-14 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-14 15:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -13.07%E -3.31%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.85%EV -7.19%E -6.04%K -37.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-14 15:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -14.17%E -3.63%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.29%E -2.65%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-14 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -14.17%E -3.63%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.29%E -2.65%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-14 15:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 0.5% | 2026-09-14 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-09-14 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-09-14 18:55 |
| Novig◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45% | 2.0% | 2026-09-14 18:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 2.2% | 2026-09-14 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88% | 2.7% | 2026-09-14 18:45 |