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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Carole Monnet v Sloane Stephens

开赛时间： 2026-09-14 19:05 UTC

最终结果： Carole Monnet 0–2 Sloane Stephens

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

59 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Carole Monnet (主队)

预测 22.01%4.54公平赔率
EV +2.78%
优势 +0.595%
Kelly +0.757%
增长率 +0.021%

假设最高赔率为 4.67

博彩公司预测分布
20.63%22.03%21.98%24.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.904.344.344.6725.64%23.03%23.04%21.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

Sloane Stephens (客队)

预测 77.99%1.28公平赔率
EV -2.51%
优势 -2.01%
Kelly -10.04%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.25

博彩公司预测分布
75.88%77.97%78.02%79.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.161.211.211.2586.21%82.61%82.64%80.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Carole Monnet (主队)：22.01%；Sloane Stephens (客队)：77.99%。 对于“Carole Monnet (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.54。 当时有15家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.67，对应+2.78%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (59 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
GTbets🎯4.67I 21.41%NM 21.11%EV +2.78%E +0.595%K +0.757%G +0.021%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.89%EV -2.51%E -2.01%K -10.04%G +0.000%1.4%2026-09-14 04:00
Casumo🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.24%E +0.269%K +0.343%G +0.004%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 06:56
LiveScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.24%E +0.269%K +0.343%G +0.004%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 06:56
Unibet (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.24%E +0.269%K +0.343%G +0.004%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 06:56
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.24%E +0.269%K +0.343%G +0.004%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 06:56
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.24%E +0.269%K +0.343%G +0.004%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 06:56
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.24%E +0.269%K +0.343%G +0.004%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 06:55
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.24%E +0.269%K +0.343%G +0.004%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 06:55
Virgin Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.24%E +0.269%K +0.343%G +0.004%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 06:55
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.24%E +0.269%K +0.343%G +0.004%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 06:55
Unibet (NL)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.24%E +0.269%K +0.343%G +0.004%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 06:55
ATG (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.24%E +0.269%K +0.343%G +0.004%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 06:56
Svenska Spel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.24%E +0.269%K +0.343%G +0.004%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 06:54
Bally Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.24%E +0.269%K +0.343%G +0.004%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 06:55
betPARX🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +1.24%E +0.269%K +0.343%G +0.004%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 06:55
Winamax (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -0.965%E -0.214%K -0.276%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -4.07%E -3.31%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-14 15:55
FanDuel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.965%E -0.214%K -0.276%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.965%E -0.214%K -0.276%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 03:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.965%E -0.214%K -0.276%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 07:04
SportsBet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.965%E -0.214%K -0.276%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.75%E -7.48%K -51.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-14 18:00
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.965%E -0.214%K -0.276%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.75%E -7.48%K -51.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-14 03:56
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -0.965%E -0.214%K -0.276%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.75%E -7.48%K -51.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-14 03:55
Pinnacle🎯4.41I 22.68%NM 22.08%EV -2.95%E -0.668%K -0.864%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.92%EV -2.51%E -2.01%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-14 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.17%E -0.719%K -0.931%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.85%E -3.98%K -22.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 15:55
ReBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.17%E -0.719%K -0.931%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.85%E -3.98%K -22.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 18:06
Betclic (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.17%E -0.719%K -0.931%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 18:49
Marathon Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -4.27%E -0.981%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -5.63%E -4.65%K -26.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.05%EV -4.27%E -0.981%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.95%EV -9.53%E -8.21%K -59.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 06:56
BetOnline.ag🎯4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -4.49%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -3.29%E -2.65%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-14 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -4.49%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -3.29%E -2.65%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-14 18:30
DraftKings🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -4.71%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.85%E -3.98%K -22.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 08:51
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -4.71%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.85%E -3.98%K -22.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 16:40
betfred_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.71%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 17:20
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.37%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.85%E -3.98%K -22.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 16:30
Bet Right🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.37%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.85%E -3.98%K -22.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 15:55
Betr (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.37%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.63%E -4.65%K -26.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 17:20
NordicBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.37%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.63%E -4.65%K -26.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 14:36
Betsson🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.37%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.63%E -4.65%K -26.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 14:35
Winamax (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.37%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.63%E -4.65%K -26.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 15:56
1xBet🎯4.28I 23.36%NM 22.18%EV -5.81%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.82%EV -4.85%E -3.98%K -22.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 16:25
Bovada🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -6.47%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.29%E -2.65%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-14 15:58
LeoVegas🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.47%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.85%E -3.98%K -22.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 16:40
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.47%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.85%E -3.98%K -22.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.47%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.63%E -4.65%K -26.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 17:20
theScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.47%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.63%E -4.65%K -26.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-14 16:45
BetAnything🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.29%E -2.65%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-14 16:10
BetMGM🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.85%E -3.98%K -22.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 15:55
NetBet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -9.53%E -8.21%K -59.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-14 15:30
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.51%E -2.01%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 16:40
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.51%E -2.01%K -10.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 16:40
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.29%E -2.65%K -13.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 15:45
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.85%E -3.98%K -22.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-14 18:26
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 08:54
betano_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 09:01
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.41%E -5.34%K -32.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 15:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -13.07%E -3.31%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.85%EV -7.19%E -6.04%K -37.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-14 15:55
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -14.17%E -3.63%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.29%E -2.65%K -13.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -14.17%E -3.63%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -3.29%E -2.65%K -13.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 15:55
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36%0.5%2026-09-14 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-09-14 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-09-14 18:55
Novig◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45%2.0%2026-09-14 18:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%2.2%2026-09-14 18:55
Smarkets◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88%2.7%2026-09-14 18:45