Language:English
Alycia Parks v Varvara Lepchenko
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alycia Parks (Local)
Prediction 66.93%1.49fair odd
EV -3.62%
Edge -2.51%
Kelly -8.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.45%66.76%67.13%68.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.421.431.4473.53%70.64%69.93%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Varvara Lepchenko (Visit)
Prediction 33.07%3.02fair odd
EV +1.52%
Edge +0.496%
Kelly +0.735%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 3.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.32%33.24%32.87%36.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.832.803.0740.00%35.33%35.71%32.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alycia Parks (Local): 66.93%; Varvara Lepchenko (Visit): 33.07%. For Varvara Lepchenko (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.02. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.07, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.52%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV +1.52%E +0.496%K +0.735%G +0.011% | 4.0% | 2026-09-13 18:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV +1.52%E +0.496%K +0.735%G +0.011% | 4.0% | 2026-09-13 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94%EV -4.29%E -3.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%EV +0.199%E +0.066%K +0.098%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-13 19:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.793%E -0.264%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 18:31 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -5.63%E -3.99%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -3.11%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 18:56 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -4.96%E -3.49%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -3.44%E -1.18%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 19:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.63%E -3.99%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -3.44%E -1.18%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 19:11 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.96%E -3.49%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.10%E -1.41%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.10%E -1.41%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 19:11 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.10%E -1.41%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 18:26 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.10%E -1.41%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 18:51 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.76%E -1.65%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 18:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.64%E -5.53%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -4.76%E -1.65%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 19:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.97%E -6.60%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.76%E -1.65%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 19:11 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.97%E -6.60%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.76%E -1.65%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 19:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.29%E -3.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.75%E -2.02%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-13 13:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.63%E -3.99%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.75%E -2.02%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 18:46 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.30%E -6.06%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -5.75%E -2.02%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-13 18:41 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -3.62%E -2.51%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -6.42%E -2.27%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -3.62%E -2.51%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -6.75%E -2.39%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-13 18:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.62%E -2.51%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.62%E -2.51%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 13:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.62%E -2.51%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.29%E -3.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 13:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.29%E -3.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 13:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.29%E -3.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 13:21 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.29%E -3.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 13:21 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.29%E -3.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 13:21 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.29%E -3.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.29%E -3.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.29%E -3.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.29%E -3.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 13:36 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.29%E -3.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 13:41 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.29%E -3.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.29%E -3.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.29%E -3.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 14:06 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.96%E -3.49%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 18:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.64%E -5.53%K -20.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-13 18:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.62%E -2.51%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.06%E -3.29%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 16:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.62%E -2.51%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.06%E -3.29%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 16:31 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.62%E -2.51%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.06%E -3.29%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 13:56 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.96%E -3.49%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.06%E -3.29%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 18:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.97%E -6.60%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -9.06%E -3.29%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-13 18:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.71%E -3.97%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 13:21 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.16%EV -6.97%E -5.01%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -14.02%E -5.39%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-13 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -3.62%E -2.51%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -17.33%E -6.93%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-13 18:36 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-09-13 19:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-09-13 19:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-09-13 19:11 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-09-13 19:11 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42% | 2.7% | 2026-09-13 19:11 |
| Novig◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.09% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91% | 3.4% | 2026-09-13 19:11 |