默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Alycia Parks v Varvara Lepchenko

开赛时间: 2026-09-13 19:17 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

46 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Alycia Parks (主队)

预测 66.93%1.49公平赔率
EV -3.62%
优势 -2.51%
Kelly -8.23%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.44

博彩公司预测分布
63.45%66.76%67.13%68.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.421.431.4473.53%70.64%69.93%69.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

Varvara Lepchenko (客队)

预测 33.07%3.02公平赔率
EV +1.52%
优势 +0.496%
Kelly +0.735%
增长率 +0.011%

假设最高赔率为 3.07

博彩公司预测分布
31.32%33.24%32.87%36.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.832.803.0740.00%35.33%35.71%32.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Alycia Parks (主队):66.93%;Varvara Lepchenko (客队):33.07%。 对于“Varvara Lepchenko (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.02。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.07,对应+1.52%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV +1.52%E +0.496%K +0.735%G +0.011%4.0%2026-09-13 18:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV +1.52%E +0.496%K +0.735%G +0.011%4.0%2026-09-13 18:50
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94%EV -4.29%E -3.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%EV +0.199%E +0.066%K +0.098%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-13 19:01
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.793%E -0.264%K -0.397%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 18:31
Coolbet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -5.63%E -3.99%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -3.11%E -1.06%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 18:56
FanDuel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -4.96%E -3.49%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -3.44%E -1.18%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 19:10
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.63%E -3.99%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -3.44%E -1.18%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 19:11
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.96%E -3.49%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.10%E -1.41%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 18:35
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.10%E -1.41%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 19:11
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.10%E -1.41%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 18:26
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.10%E -1.41%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 18:51
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.76%E -1.65%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 18:25
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.64%E -5.53%K -20.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -4.76%E -1.65%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 19:10
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.97%E -6.60%K -24.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.76%E -1.65%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 19:11
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.97%E -6.60%K -24.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -4.76%E -1.65%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 19:10
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.29%E -3.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.75%E -2.02%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.63%E -3.99%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.75%E -2.02%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 18:46
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.30%E -6.06%K -22.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -5.75%E -2.02%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 18:41
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -3.62%E -2.51%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -6.42%E -2.27%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 18:35
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -3.62%E -2.51%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -6.75%E -2.39%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 18:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.62%E -2.51%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 13:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.62%E -2.51%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 13:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.62%E -2.51%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 13:55
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.29%E -3.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.29%E -3.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 13:20
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.29%E -3.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 13:21
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.29%E -3.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 13:21
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.29%E -3.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 13:21
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.29%E -3.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 18:35
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.29%E -3.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.29%E -3.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.29%E -3.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 13:36
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.29%E -3.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 13:41
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.29%E -3.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 18:35
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.29%E -3.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 18:35
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.29%E -3.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:06
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.96%E -3.49%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 18:25
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.64%E -5.53%K -20.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 18:24
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.62%E -2.51%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.06%E -3.29%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 16:30
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.62%E -2.51%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.06%E -3.29%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 16:31
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.62%E -2.51%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.06%E -3.29%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 13:56
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.96%E -3.49%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.06%E -3.29%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.97%E -6.60%K -24.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -9.06%E -3.29%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 18:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.30%E -4.50%K -15.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.71%E -3.97%K -6.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 13:21
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.16%EV -6.97%E -5.01%K -17.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.84%EV -14.02%E -5.39%K -8.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 18:35
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -3.62%E -2.51%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -17.33%E -6.93%K -11.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 18:36
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-09-13 19:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-09-13 19:06
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-09-13 19:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.2%2026-09-13 19:11
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%2.7%2026-09-13 19:11
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 68.09%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91%3.4%2026-09-13 19:11