Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Suzan Lamens v Paula Badosa

Kickoff: 2026-06-16 15:47 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Suzan Lamens (Local)

Prediction 43.16%2.32fair odd
EV -0.306%
Edge -0.132%
Kelly -0.233%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.65%43.22%43.15%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.182.202.3148.78%45.92%45.45%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Paula Badosa (Visit)

Prediction 56.84%1.76fair odd
EV +0.611%
Edge +0.345%
Kelly +0.793%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.55%56.78%56.85%58.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.671.661.7762.50%59.97%60.24%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Suzan Lamens (Local): 43.16%; Paula Badosa (Visit): 56.84%. For Paula Badosa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.611%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%EV +0.611%E +0.345%K +0.793%G +0.005%0.9%2026-06-16 10:00
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -0.526%E -0.301%K -0.701%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 15:40
1xBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -8.94%E -4.24%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -1.09%E -0.629%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 15:37
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.66%E -0.961%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.66%E -0.961%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 15:20
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.23%E -1.30%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 15:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-16 15:30
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.35%E -2.93%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 15:40
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 15:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.33%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-16 15:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.33%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-16 15:30
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 15:30
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:30
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:40
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -0.306%E -0.132%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-16 15:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 15:30
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 15:30
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 15:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 15:31
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 15:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 15:39
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 12:20
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 15:30
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 14:50
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 15:38
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 15:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:30
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:30
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:30
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:30
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:30
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:30
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:30
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:30
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:30
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.92%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 15:30
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.92%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 15:30
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:40
Bet Right🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -3.33%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 15:38
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 15:30
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 15:30
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 12:50
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 15:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 15:40
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 15:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 15:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.78%E -4.13%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 15:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.35%E -2.93%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.78%E -4.13%K -10.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.35%E -2.93%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.78%E -4.13%K -10.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 15:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -11.53%E -5.62%K -10.98%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -6.78%E -4.13%K -10.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-16 15:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -6.35%E -2.93%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 15:30
DraftKings🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -2.03%E -0.895%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 15:40
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 10:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 15:30
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-16 15:40
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.05%E -5.66%K -15.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 15:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%0.1%2026-06-16 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%0.1%2026-06-16 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-06-16 15:40
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-06-16 15:40
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-06-16 15:40
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%8.1%2026-06-16 15:39