La escuela de los momios

Suzan Lamens v Paula Badosa

Inicio: 2026-06-16 15:47 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Suzan Lamens (Local)

Predicción 43.16%2.32momio equitativo
EV -0.306%
Ventaja -0.132%
Kelly -0.233%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.65%43.22%43.15%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.182.202.3148.78%45.92%45.45%43.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Paula Badosa (Visitante)

Predicción 56.84%1.76momio equitativo
EV +0.611%
Ventaja +0.345%
Kelly +0.793%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.55%56.78%56.85%58.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.671.661.7762.50%59.97%60.24%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%EV +0.611%E +0.345%K +0.793%G +0.005%0.9%2026-06-16 10:00
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -0.526%E -0.301%K -0.701%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 15:40
1xBet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -8.94%E -4.24%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -1.09%E -0.629%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 15:37
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.66%E -0.961%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.66%E -0.961%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 15:20
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.23%E -1.30%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 15:30
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-16 15:30
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.35%E -2.93%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 15:40
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.37%E -1.98%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 15:30
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.33%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-16 15:30
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.33%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-16 15:30
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 15:30
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:30
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.94%E -2.33%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:40
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -0.306%E -0.132%K -0.233%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-16 15:40
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 15:30
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 15:30
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.51%E -2.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 15:30
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 15:31
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 15:30
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 15:39
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 12:20
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 15:30
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 14:50
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 15:38
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.07%E -3.04%K -7.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 15:20
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:30
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:30
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:30
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:30
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:30
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:30
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:30
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:30
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:30
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:30
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:30
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:30
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 15:30
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.92%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 15:30
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.92%E -2.71%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.64%E -3.40%K -8.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 15:30
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 15:40
Bet Right2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -3.33%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 15:38
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 10:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 15:30
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 15:30
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 12:50
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 15:40
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 15:40
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 15:40
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.21%E -3.76%K -9.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 15:40
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.78%E -4.13%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 15:39
LiveScore Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.35%E -2.93%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.78%E -4.13%K -10.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 15:30
Virgin Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.35%E -2.93%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.78%E -4.13%K -10.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 15:30
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -11.53%E -5.62%K -10.98%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -6.78%E -4.13%K -10.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-16 15:40
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -6.35%E -2.93%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -7.35%E -4.51%K -11.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 15:30
DraftKings2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -2.03%E -0.895%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 15:40
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 10:29
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 15:30
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.92%E -4.89%K -12.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-16 15:40
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.05%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.05%E -5.66%K -15.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 15:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%0.1%2026-06-16 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%0.1%2026-06-16 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-06-16 15:40
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%0.7%2026-06-16 15:40
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-06-16 15:40
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%8.1%2026-06-16 15:39