Language:English
Shuai Zhang v Karolina Muchova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shuai Zhang (Local)
Prediction 28.85%3.47fair odd
EV +0.963%
Edge +0.275%
Kelly +0.385%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.08%29.03%28.88%31.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.263.253.5033.33%30.63%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Karolina Muchova (Visit)
Prediction 71.15%1.41fair odd
EV +1.04%
Edge +0.731%
Kelly +2.47%
Growth +0.026%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.72%70.97%71.12%72.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.331.331.4278.74%75.28%75.19%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shuai Zhang (Local): 28.85%; Karolina Muchova (Visit): 71.15%. For Karolina Muchova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.41. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.42, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.04%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.28%EV -10.00%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.72%EV +1.04%E +0.731%K +2.47%G +0.026% | 2.5% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -1.81%E -1.31%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-16 11:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.23%E -2.38%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.23%E -2.38%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 11:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.23%E -2.38%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 11:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -1.92%E -0.565%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.94%E -2.92%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.94%E -2.92%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -3.94%E -2.92%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -3.94%E -2.92%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 11:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.74%EV +0.675%E +0.193%K +0.271%G +0.002% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.26%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-16 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.92%E -0.565%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.92%E -0.565%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-16 11:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -5.67%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 11:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-16 11:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.92%E -0.565%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 11:31 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.92%E -0.565%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 11:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.92%E -0.565%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 11:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 11:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 11:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 11:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 11:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 11:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 11:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 11:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 11:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 11:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 11:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 10:56 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -3.08%E -0.915%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -6.08%E -4.60%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 11:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.08%E -4.60%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 11:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.08%E -4.60%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 11:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.08%E -4.60%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-16 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.08%E -4.60%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-16 11:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.08%E -4.60%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-16 11:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.08%E -4.60%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-16 11:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.08%E -4.60%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-16 11:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.08%E -4.60%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-16 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.08%E -4.60%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.08%E -4.60%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -6.08%E -4.60%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -0.479%E -0.139%K -0.196%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -6.79%E -5.18%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.963%E +0.275%K +0.385%G +0.004% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -4.23%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 11:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 11:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 10:57 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -25.00%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -8.21%E -6.37%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-16 11:28 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.86%EV -8.27%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.14%EV -8.21%E -6.37%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-16 11:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.27%EV -9.64%E -7.59%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-16 11:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 0.8% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 0.8% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 0.8% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 0.8% | 2026-06-16 11:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73% | 1.9% | 2026-06-16 11:29 |
| Novig◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03% | 3.6% | 2026-06-16 11:30 |