默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Shuai Zhang v Karolina Muchova

开赛时间: 2026-06-16 12:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

62 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Shuai Zhang (主队)

预测 28.85%3.47公平赔率
EV +0.963%
优势 +0.275%
Kelly +0.385%
增长率 +0.004%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
27.08%29.03%28.88%31.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.263.253.5033.33%30.63%30.77%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

Karolina Muchova (客队)

预测 71.15%1.41公平赔率
EV +1.04%
优势 +0.731%
Kelly +2.47%
增长率 +0.026%

假设最高赔率为 1.42

博彩公司预测分布
68.72%70.97%71.12%72.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.271.331.331.4278.74%75.28%75.19%70.42%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Shuai Zhang (主队):28.85%;Karolina Muchova (客队):71.15%。 对于“Karolina Muchova (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.41。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为1.42,对应+1.04%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
GTbets🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 31.28%EV -10.00%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.72%EV +1.04%E +0.731%K +2.47%G +0.026%2.5%2026-06-16 11:10
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -1.81%E -1.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-16 11:30
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.23%E -2.38%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 11:10
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.23%E -2.38%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 11:20
Caesars🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.23%E -2.38%K -8.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 11:09
Winamax (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -1.92%E -0.565%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.58%EV -3.94%E -2.92%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-16 11:10
Dabble (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.94%E -2.92%K -11.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:30
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -3.94%E -2.92%K -11.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 11:30
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -13.46%E -4.49%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -3.94%E -2.92%K -11.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 11:30
Pinnacle🎯3.49I 28.65%NM 27.74%EV +0.675%E +0.193%K +0.271%G +0.002%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.26%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-16 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.92%E -0.565%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 11:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.92%E -0.565%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 11:20
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 11:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 11:10
ReBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 11:10
DraftKings🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -5.67%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 11:30
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.65%E -3.47%K -13.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 11:20
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.92%E -0.565%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 11:31
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.92%E -0.565%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 11:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.92%E -0.565%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 11:20
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 11:20
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 11:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 11:30
Bet Right🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 11:20
1xBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 11:19
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 11:30
Coolbet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 11:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 11:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 11:20
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 11:30
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 11:10
Winamax (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 11:10
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 11:10
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 11:10
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 11:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 11:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-16 11:10
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 10:56
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.37%E -4.03%K -16.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -3.08%E -0.915%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -6.08%E -4.60%K -18.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 11:29
Fanatics🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.08%E -4.60%K -18.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 11:30
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.81%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.08%E -4.60%K -18.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 11:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.08%E -4.60%K -18.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 11:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.08%E -4.60%K -18.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 11:20
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.08%E -4.60%K -18.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 11:30
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.08%E -4.60%K -18.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 11:20
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.08%E -4.60%K -18.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 11:30
Bally Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.25%E -1.92%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.08%E -4.60%K -18.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 11:20
Neds🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.08%E -4.60%K -18.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.08%E -4.60%K -18.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 11:10
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.58%E -3.41%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -6.08%E -4.60%K -18.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 11:10
FanDuel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -0.479%E -0.139%K -0.196%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -6.79%E -5.18%K -21.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 11:10
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.963%E +0.275%K +0.385%G +0.004%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -25.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 11:10
SportsBet🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -4.23%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -25.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 11:20
Everygame🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -25.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -25.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 11:20
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -25.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -25.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 10:57
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.50%E -5.77%K -25.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 11:10
NetBet (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -8.21%E -6.37%K -28.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 11:28
Betclic (FR)🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 28.86%EV -8.27%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.14%EV -8.21%E -6.37%K -28.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-16 11:29
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.27%EV -9.64%E -7.59%K -35.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-16 11:30
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-06-16 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-06-16 11:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-06-16 11:10
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-06-16 11:10
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%1.9%2026-06-16 11:29
Novig3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%3.6%2026-06-16 11:30