Language:English
Magdalena Frech v Shuai Zhang
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Magdalena Frech (Local)
Prediction 49.59%2.02fair odd
EV +4.14%
Edge +1.97%
Kelly +3.76%
Growth +0.156%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%50.00%50.68%57.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.891.912.1062.11%52.91%52.36%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shuai Zhang (Visit)
Prediction 50.41%1.98fair odd
EV +8.89%
Edge +4.11%
Kelly +7.66%
Growth +0.681%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.82%50.00%49.32%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.871.832.1660.61%53.37%54.64%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Magdalena Frech (Local): 49.59%; Shuai Zhang (Visit): 50.41%. For Shuai Zhang (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.98. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.16, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.89%.
Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -13.71%E -7.88%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +8.89%E +4.11%K +7.66%G +0.681% | 3.8% | 2026-06-15 10:46 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -13.71%E -7.88%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +8.89%E +4.11%K +7.66%G +0.681% | 3.8% | 2026-06-15 10:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -20.16%E -12.52%K -33.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV +8.38%E +3.90%K +7.29%G +0.611% | 8.6% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -15.70%E -9.23%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV +6.87%E +3.24%K +6.13%G +0.421% | 6.0% | 2026-06-15 10:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -17.18%E -10.29%K -25.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +5.86%E +2.79%K +5.33%G +0.312% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 10:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -9.25%E -5.05%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.820%E +0.410%K +0.820%G +0.007% | 4.6% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -14.21%E -8.21%K -19.46%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +0.820%E +0.410%K +0.820%G +0.007% | 7.8% | 2026-06-15 10:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -6.77%E -3.60%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -0.693%E -0.352%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-15 10:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.25%E -5.05%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.72%E -1.95%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.25%E -5.05%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.72%E -1.95%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.26%E -4.46%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -10.74%E -5.97%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.28%E -2.77%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.75%E -4.24%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV +0.172%E +0.085%K +0.169%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -8.76%E -4.84%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.28%E -2.77%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.26%E -5.15%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -0.820%E -0.410%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -10.77%E -6.09%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +4.14%E +1.97%K +3.76%G +0.156% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -11.78%E -6.73%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -0.820%E -0.410%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -11.78%E -6.73%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -0.820%E -0.410%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.79%E -7.39%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -0.820%E -0.410%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.79%E -7.39%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -0.820%E -0.410%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.79%E -7.39%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -0.820%E -0.410%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.79%E -7.39%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -3.30%E -1.69%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -13.80%E -8.07%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +4.14%E +1.97%K +3.76%G +0.156% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -15.82%E -9.47%K -23.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV +1.66%E +0.810%K +1.58%G +0.026% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -16.82%E -10.20%K -25.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74% | 4.9% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24% | 5.9% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33% | 7.1% | 2026-06-15 10:50 |