Magdalena Frech v Shuai Zhang

Inizio: 2026-06-15 11:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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25 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

50%

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Magdalena Frech (Casa)

Previsione 49.59%2.02quota equa

EV +4.14%

Vantaggio +1.97%

Kelly +3.76%

Crescita +0.156%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

44.30%50.00%50.68%57.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuzione delle quote

1.611.891.912.1062.11%52.91%52.36%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Shuai Zhang (Trasferta)

Previsione 50.41%1.98quota equa

EV +8.89%

Vantaggio +4.11%

Kelly +7.66%

Crescita +0.681%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.16

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

42.82%50.00%49.32%55.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuzione delle quote

1.651.871.832.1660.61%53.37%54.64%46.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (25 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta ▼	Margine	Aggiornamento
BetOnline.ag	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -13.71%E -7.88%K -18.53%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +8.89%E +4.11%K +7.66%G +0.681%	3.8%	2026-06-15 10:46
LowVig.ag	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -13.71%E -7.88%K -18.53%G +0.000%	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV +8.89%E +4.11%K +7.66%G +0.681%	3.8%	2026-06-15 10:45
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -20.16%E -12.52%K -33.05%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV +8.38%E +3.90%K +7.29%G +0.611%	8.6%	2026-06-15 10:50
PlayUp	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -15.70%E -9.23%K -22.42%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV +6.87%E +3.24%K +6.13%G +0.421%	6.0%	2026-06-15 10:40
Bet Victor	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -17.18%E -10.29%K -25.65%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +5.86%E +2.79%K +5.33%G +0.312%	7.5%	2026-06-15 10:49
Bovada	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -9.25%E -5.05%K -11.14%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.820%E +0.410%K +0.820%G +0.007%	4.6%	2026-06-15 10:50
William Hill	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -14.21%E -8.21%K -19.46%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +0.820%E +0.410%K +0.820%G +0.007%	7.8%	2026-06-15 10:40
Pinnacle	1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -6.77%E -3.60%K -7.69%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -0.693%E -0.352%K -0.714%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-06-15 10:10
Caesars	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.25%E -5.05%K -11.14%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.72%E -1.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-15 10:50
BoyleSports	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.25%E -5.05%K -11.14%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.72%E -1.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-15 10:50
TAB	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.26%E -4.46%K -9.72%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.93%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-06-15 10:50
Betsson	1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -10.74%E -5.97%K -13.42%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.74%E -3.64%K -7.93%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-06-15 10:50
FanDuel	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.28%E -2.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.75%E -4.24%K -9.34%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-15 10:50
Unibet (UK)	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV +0.172%E +0.085%K +0.169%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -8.76%E -4.84%K -10.81%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-15 10:50
Paddy Power	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.28%E -2.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.26%E -5.15%K -11.58%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-06-15 10:50
theScore Bet	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -0.820%E -0.410%K -0.820%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -10.77%E -6.09%K -13.99%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-15 10:50
Betway	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +4.14%E +1.97%K +3.76%G +0.156%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -11.78%E -6.73%K -15.71%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-15 10:50
Coral	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -0.820%E -0.410%K -0.820%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -11.78%E -6.73%K -15.71%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-06-15 10:50
888sport	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -0.820%E -0.410%K -0.820%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.79%E -7.39%K -17.52%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-15 10:50
Sky Bet	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -0.820%E -0.410%K -0.820%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.79%E -7.39%K -17.52%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-15 10:50
Mr Green (SE)	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -0.820%E -0.410%K -0.820%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.79%E -7.39%K -17.52%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-15 10:50
888sport (SE)	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -0.820%E -0.410%K -0.820%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.79%E -7.39%K -17.52%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-15 10:50
Fliff	1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -3.30%E -1.69%K -3.47%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -13.80%E -8.07%K -19.44%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-06-15 10:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +4.14%E +1.97%K +3.76%G +0.156%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -15.82%E -9.47%K -23.61%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-06-15 10:50
NordicBet	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV +1.66%E +0.810%K +1.58%G +0.026%	1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -16.82%E -10.20%K -25.88%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-06-15 10:50

Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta	Margine ▲	Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%	2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%	1.0%	2026-06-15 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%	2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%	1.0%	2026-06-15 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%	4.9%	2026-06-15 10:50
Novig	2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%	5.9%	2026-06-15 10:50
Smarkets	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%	7.1%	2026-06-15 10:50