Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.25
assuming max odds 5.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Linda Noskova (Local): 78.82%; Renata Zarazua (Visit): 21.18%. For Renata Zarazua (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.72. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.88%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.99%E -5.92%K -38.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +5.88%E +1.18%K +1.47%G +0.087% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -10.14%E -8.90%K -72.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +5.88%E +1.18%K +1.47%G +0.087% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.99%E -5.92%K -38.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +3.77%E +0.769%K +0.966%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.99%E -5.92%K -38.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +3.77%E +0.769%K +0.966%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.99%E -5.92%K -38.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +3.77%E +0.769%K +0.966%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.99%E -5.92%K -38.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +3.77%E +0.769%K +0.966%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.99%E -5.92%K -38.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +3.77%E +0.769%K +0.966%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.99%E -5.92%K -38.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +3.77%E +0.769%K +0.966%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.99%E -5.92%K -38.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +3.77%E +0.769%K +0.966%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.99%E -5.92%K -38.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +3.77%E +0.769%K +0.966%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.99%E -5.92%K -38.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +3.77%E +0.769%K +0.966%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.99%E -5.92%K -38.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +3.77%E +0.769%K +0.966%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.99%E -5.92%K -38.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +3.77%E +0.769%K +0.966%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.99%E -5.92%K -38.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +3.77%E +0.769%K +0.966%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.99%E -5.92%K -38.83%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +3.77%E +0.769%K +0.966%G +0.036% | 5.2% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.83%EV -8.56%E -7.38%K -53.53%G +0.000% | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.17%EV +3.55%E +0.727%K +0.914%G +0.032% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -5.41%E -4.51%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +1.65%E +0.343%K +0.434%G +0.007% | 4.2% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.41%E -4.51%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.589%E +0.124%K +0.157%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.41%E -4.51%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -0.470%E -0.100%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.20%E -5.21%K -32.63%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.470%E -0.100%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -0.470%E -0.100%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -0.470%E -0.100%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -6.20%E -5.21%K -32.63%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -1.53%E -0.329%K -0.419%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.41%E -4.51%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.59%E -0.562%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.41%E -4.51%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.59%E -0.562%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -2.59%E -0.562%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -2.59%E -0.562%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -2.59%E -0.562%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -8.56%E -7.38%K -53.53%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -2.59%E -0.562%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.62%E -3.82%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -3.86%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75%EV -3.84%E -3.14%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%EV -4.28%E -0.947%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75%EV -3.84%E -3.14%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%EV -4.28%E -0.947%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.62%E -3.82%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.70%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.62%E -3.82%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.70%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.41%E -4.51%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.70%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.41%E -4.51%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.70%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.41%E -4.51%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.70%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.70%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.46%EV -3.05%E -2.48%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.54%EV -5.13%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.84%E -3.14%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.82%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.84%E -3.14%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.82%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.62%E -3.82%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.82%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.41%E -4.51%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.82%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.41%E -4.51%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.82%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.99%E -5.92%K -38.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.82%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.99%E -5.92%K -38.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.82%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -6.82%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -4.62%E -3.82%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -8.30%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.41%E -4.51%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.30%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.62%E -3.82%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.94%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.62%E -3.82%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.94%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.62%E -3.82%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.94%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.84%E -3.14%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.00%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.84%E -3.14%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.00%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.84%E -3.14%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.84%E -3.14%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.41%E -4.51%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.41%E -4.51%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.18%E -3.21%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.41%E -4.51%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.18%E -3.21%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.41%E -4.51%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.29%E -3.82%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.41%E -4.51%K -27.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.29%E -3.82%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-16 10:28 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -6.20%E -5.21%K -32.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -15.29%E -3.82%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -1.47%E -1.18%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -16.99%E -4.33%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 0.5% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.82% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18% | 2.3% | 2026-06-16 10:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.15% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.85% | 2.7% | 2026-06-16 10:29 |