L’École des cotes

Linda Noskova v Renata Zarazua

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-16 10:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Linda Noskova (Local)

Prévision 78.82%1.27cote équitable
EV -1.47%
Avantage -1.18%
Kelly -5.88%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.82%78.77%78.75%81.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.141.191.201.2587.72%83.75%83.33%80.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Renata Zarazua (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.18%4.72cote équitable
EV +5.88%
Avantage +1.18%
Kelly +1.47%
Croissance +0.087%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.57%21.23%21.25%24.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.924.544.525.0025.51%22.01%22.12%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.99%E -5.92%K -38.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +5.88%E +1.18%K +1.47%G +0.087%4.7%2026-06-16 10:29
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -10.14%E -8.90%K -72.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +5.88%E +1.18%K +1.47%G +0.087%7.7%2026-06-16 10:29
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.99%E -5.92%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +3.77%E +0.769%K +0.966%G +0.036%5.2%2026-06-16 10:30
Casumo1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.99%E -5.92%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +3.77%E +0.769%K +0.966%G +0.036%5.2%2026-06-16 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.99%E -5.92%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +3.77%E +0.769%K +0.966%G +0.036%5.2%2026-06-16 10:30
LeoVegas1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.99%E -5.92%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +3.77%E +0.769%K +0.966%G +0.036%5.2%2026-06-16 10:30
Grosvenor1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.99%E -5.92%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +3.77%E +0.769%K +0.966%G +0.036%5.2%2026-06-16 10:30
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.99%E -5.92%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +3.77%E +0.769%K +0.966%G +0.036%5.2%2026-06-16 10:30
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.99%E -5.92%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +3.77%E +0.769%K +0.966%G +0.036%5.2%2026-06-16 10:30
BetRivers1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.99%E -5.92%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +3.77%E +0.769%K +0.966%G +0.036%5.2%2026-06-16 10:30
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.99%E -5.92%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +3.77%E +0.769%K +0.966%G +0.036%5.2%2026-06-16 10:30
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.99%E -5.92%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +3.77%E +0.769%K +0.966%G +0.036%5.2%2026-06-16 10:30
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.99%E -5.92%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +3.77%E +0.769%K +0.966%G +0.036%5.2%2026-06-16 10:30
Bally Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.99%E -5.92%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +3.77%E +0.769%K +0.966%G +0.036%5.2%2026-06-16 10:30
betPARX1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.99%E -5.92%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +3.77%E +0.769%K +0.966%G +0.036%5.2%2026-06-16 10:30
GTbets1.16I 86.21%NM 80.83%EV -8.56%E -7.38%K -53.53%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.17%EV +3.55%E +0.727%K +0.914%G +0.032%6.7%2026-06-16 10:29
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -5.41%E -4.51%K -27.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +1.65%E +0.343%K +0.434%G +0.007%4.2%2026-06-16 10:30
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.41%E -4.51%K -27.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.589%E +0.124%K +0.157%G +0.001%4.4%2026-06-16 10:30
FanDuel1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.41%E -4.51%K -27.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -0.470%E -0.100%K -0.127%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 10:30
Unibet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.20%E -5.21%K -32.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.470%E -0.100%K -0.127%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:30
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -0.470%E -0.100%K -0.127%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 10:30
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -0.470%E -0.100%K -0.127%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 10:30
Betclic (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -6.20%E -5.21%K -32.63%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -1.53%E -0.329%K -0.419%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 10:29
DraftKings1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.41%E -4.51%K -27.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.59%E -0.562%K -0.719%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 10:30
BetAnything1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.41%E -4.51%K -27.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -2.59%E -0.562%K -0.719%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 10:30
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -2.59%E -0.562%K -0.719%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 10:30
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -2.59%E -0.562%K -0.719%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 10:30
NetBet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -2.59%E -0.562%K -0.719%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 10:30
PMU (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -8.56%E -7.38%K -53.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -2.59%E -0.562%K -0.719%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-16 10:30
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.62%E -3.82%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -3.86%E -0.850%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 10:29
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75%EV -3.84%E -3.14%K -17.43%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%EV -4.28%E -0.947%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 10:30
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75%EV -3.84%E -3.14%K -17.43%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%EV -4.28%E -0.947%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 10:30
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.62%E -3.82%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.70%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 10:30
Coolbet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.62%E -3.82%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.70%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 10:30
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.41%E -4.51%K -27.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.70%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 10:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.41%E -4.51%K -27.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.70%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 10:30
BetUS1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.41%E -4.51%K -27.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.70%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 10:30
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.70%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 10:30
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 78.46%EV -3.05%E -2.48%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.54%EV -5.13%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-16 10:29
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.84%E -3.14%K -17.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.82%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 10:30
ReBet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.84%E -3.14%K -17.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.82%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-16 10:30
Fanatics1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.62%E -3.82%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.82%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 10:30
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.41%E -4.51%K -27.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.82%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 10:30
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.41%E -4.51%K -27.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.82%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 10:30
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.99%E -5.92%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.82%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.99%E -5.92%K -38.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.82%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 10:30
Tipico (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.78%E -6.65%K -45.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -6.82%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-16 10:30
BetMGM1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -4.62%E -3.82%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -8.30%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 10:29
betfred_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.41%E -4.51%K -27.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.30%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 10:30
Winamax (DE)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.62%E -3.82%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.94%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 10:30
Betsson1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.62%E -3.82%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.94%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 10:30
NordicBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.62%E -3.82%K -22.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.94%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 10:30
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.84%E -3.14%K -17.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.00%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 10:30
Dabble (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.84%E -3.14%K -17.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -10.00%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 10:30
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.84%E -3.14%K -17.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 10:29
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.84%E -3.14%K -17.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 10:30
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.41%E -4.51%K -27.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -11.06%E -2.63%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.41%E -4.51%K -27.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.18%E -3.21%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 10:30
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.41%E -4.51%K -27.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -13.18%E -3.21%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 10:30
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.41%E -4.51%K -27.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.29%E -3.82%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 10:30
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.41%E -4.51%K -27.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.29%E -3.82%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 10:28
Winamax (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -6.20%E -5.21%K -32.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -15.29%E -3.82%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-16 10:30
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -1.47%E -1.18%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -16.99%E -4.33%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 10:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-06-16 10:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-06-16 10:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-06-16 10:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%0.5%2026-06-16 10:30
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 80.82%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.18%2.3%2026-06-16 10:30
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 79.15%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.85%2.7%2026-06-16 10:29