La scuola delle quote

Linda Noskova v Paula Badosa

Inizio: 2026-06-19 12:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Linda Noskova (Casa)

Previsione 70.92%1.41quota equa
EV +6.38%
Vantaggio +4.25%
Kelly +12.76%
Crescita +0.815%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.20%70.94%71.27%76.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.331.331.5081.97%74.92%75.19%66.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Paula Badosa (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.08%3.44quota equa
EV +16.32%
Vantaggio +4.08%
Kelly +5.44%
Crescita +0.887%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.81%29.06%28.73%34.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.703.233.234.0037.04%30.93%31.01%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -11.35%E -9.08%K -45.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +16.32%E +4.08%K +5.44%G +0.887%5.0%2026-06-19 11:20
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -11.35%E -9.08%K -45.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +16.32%E +4.08%K +5.44%G +0.887%5.0%2026-06-19 11:20
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -11.35%E -9.08%K -45.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +10.50%E +2.76%K +3.75%G +0.394%6.3%2026-06-19 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -11.35%E -9.08%K -45.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +10.50%E +2.76%K +3.75%G +0.394%6.3%2026-06-19 11:20
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -11.35%E -9.08%K -45.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +10.50%E +2.76%K +3.75%G +0.394%6.3%2026-06-19 11:20
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -12.06%E -9.72%K -50.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV +10.50%E +2.76%K +3.75%G +0.394%7.0%2026-06-19 11:20
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -9.93%E -7.82%K -36.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +9.05%E +2.41%K +3.29%G +0.298%5.4%2026-06-19 11:20
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -9.93%E -7.82%K -36.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +9.05%E +2.41%K +3.29%G +0.298%5.4%2026-06-19 11:20
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -11.35%E -9.08%K -45.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +9.05%E +2.41%K +3.29%G +0.298%6.7%2026-06-19 11:20
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -11.35%E -9.08%K -45.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +9.05%E +2.41%K +3.29%G +0.298%6.7%2026-06-19 11:20
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -11.35%E -9.08%K -45.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +7.59%E +2.05%K +2.81%G +0.213%7.0%2026-06-19 11:20
Winamax (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -13.48%E -11.05%K -61.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV +6.14%E +1.68%K +2.32%G +0.142%9.4%2026-06-19 11:20
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.51%E -6.60%K -29.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.68%E +1.30%K +1.80%G +0.084%5.3%2026-06-19 11:20
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -9.93%E -7.82%K -36.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV +4.68%E +1.30%K +1.80%G +0.084%6.5%2026-06-19 11:20
Bally Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -10.64%E -8.44%K -40.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +4.68%E +1.30%K +1.80%G +0.084%7.1%2026-06-19 11:20
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -11.35%E -9.08%K -45.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV +3.23%E +0.910%K +1.27%G +0.041%8.2%2026-06-19 11:20
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -11.35%E -9.08%K -45.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV +1.78%E +0.507%K +0.710%G +0.013%8.6%2026-06-19 11:20
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -11.35%E -9.08%K -45.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV +1.78%E +0.507%K +0.710%G +0.013%8.6%2026-06-19 11:20
Unibet (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.38%E -4.84%K -19.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.13%E -0.333%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 11:20
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -8.51%E -6.60%K -29.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -1.13%E -0.333%K -0.472%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 11:19
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.67%E -4.27%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.59%E -0.772%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 11:20
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.67%E -4.27%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.59%E -0.772%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 11:20
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.67%E -4.27%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.04%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 11:20
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.09%E -5.41%K -22.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.04%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-19 11:20
PointsBet (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.80%E -6.00%K -26.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.04%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 11:20
Betclic (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -9.93%E -7.82%K -36.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -4.04%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-19 11:19
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -9.93%E -7.82%K -36.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -4.04%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-19 11:20
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.97%E -3.71%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 11:20
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.97%E -3.71%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 11:20
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.97%E -3.71%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 11:20
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.97%E -3.71%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 11:20
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.38%E -4.84%K -19.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-19 11:20
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.80%E -6.00%K -26.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.95%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-19 11:20
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -8.51%E -6.60%K -29.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -6.95%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-19 11:20
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.97%E -3.71%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-19 11:20
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.67%E -4.27%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 11:20
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.67%E -4.27%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 11:20
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.26%E -3.15%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.86%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.80%E -6.00%K -26.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.86%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-19 11:20
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 68.83%EV -1.42%E -1.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.17%EV -10.73%E -3.49%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-19 11:20
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -0.710%E -0.507%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -11.89%E -3.92%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 11:10
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -0.710%E -0.507%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -11.89%E -3.92%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 11:10
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.55%E -2.61%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.26%E -3.15%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 11:20
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -9.22%E -7.20%K -32.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.91%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-19 11:20
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 70.26%EV -9.93%E -7.82%K -36.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.74%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-19 11:20
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 66.89%EV +3.54%E +2.43%K +7.71%G +0.273%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.11%EV -14.22%E -4.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-19 11:00
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -1.42%E -1.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -15.67%E -5.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-19 11:00
BetAnything1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV +2.13%E +1.48%K +4.83%G +0.103%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -17.13%E -6.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-19 11:00
ReBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV +2.13%E +1.48%K +4.83%G +0.103%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -17.13%E -6.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-19 11:00
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV +1.42%E +0.991%K +3.30%G +0.047%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -17.13%E -6.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 11:00
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV +0.708%E +0.499%K +1.69%G +0.012%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -17.13%E -6.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 11:10
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV +2.84%E +1.96%K +6.30%G +0.179%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -17.42%E -6.13%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-19 11:16
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 66.98%EV -1.42%E -1.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -18.00%E -6.38%K -9.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 11:10
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 66.98%EV -1.42%E -1.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -18.00%E -6.38%K -9.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 11:00
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 65.20%EV +6.38%E +4.25%K +12.76%G +0.815%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.80%EV -18.29%E -6.51%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-19 11:00
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV +1.42%E +0.991%K +3.30%G +0.047%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -18.29%E -6.51%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 11:00
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +0.708%E +0.499%K +1.69%G +0.012%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -18.58%E -6.64%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-19 11:10
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV +3.54%E +2.43%K +7.71%G +0.273%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -19.45%E -7.02%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-19 11:00
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +2.13%E +1.48%K +4.83%G +0.103%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -20.03%E -7.28%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 11:09
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +2.13%E +1.48%K +4.83%G +0.103%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -20.03%E -7.28%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 11:00
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -0.710%E -0.507%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -20.03%E -7.28%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-19 10:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV +0.708%E +0.499%K +1.69%G +0.012%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -21.49%E -7.96%K -12.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 11:00
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV +0.708%E +0.499%K +1.69%G +0.012%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -21.49%E -7.96%K -12.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 11:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-06-19 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-06-19 11:20
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-06-19 11:20
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%3.8%2026-06-19 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%5.7%2026-06-19 11:20
Novig1.29I 77.52%NM 73.13%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.88%6.0%2026-06-19 11:20