La escuela de los momios

Linda Noskova v Paula Badosa

Inicio: 2026-06-19 12:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Linda Noskova (Local)

Predicción 70.92%1.41momio equitativo
EV +6.38%
Ventaja +4.25%
Kelly +12.76%
Crecimiento +0.815%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.20%70.94%71.27%76.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.331.331.5081.97%74.92%75.19%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Paula Badosa (Visitante)

Predicción 29.08%3.44momio equitativo
EV +16.32%
Ventaja +4.08%
Kelly +5.44%
Crecimiento +0.887%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.81%29.06%28.73%34.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.233.234.0037.04%30.93%31.01%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -11.35%E -9.08%K -45.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +16.32%E +4.08%K +5.44%G +0.887%5.0%2026-06-19 11:20
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -11.35%E -9.08%K -45.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +16.32%E +4.08%K +5.44%G +0.887%5.0%2026-06-19 11:20
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -11.35%E -9.08%K -45.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +10.50%E +2.76%K +3.75%G +0.394%6.3%2026-06-19 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -11.35%E -9.08%K -45.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +10.50%E +2.76%K +3.75%G +0.394%6.3%2026-06-19 11:20
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -11.35%E -9.08%K -45.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +10.50%E +2.76%K +3.75%G +0.394%6.3%2026-06-19 11:20
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -12.06%E -9.72%K -50.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV +10.50%E +2.76%K +3.75%G +0.394%7.0%2026-06-19 11:20
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -9.93%E -7.82%K -36.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +9.05%E +2.41%K +3.29%G +0.298%5.4%2026-06-19 11:20
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -9.93%E -7.82%K -36.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +9.05%E +2.41%K +3.29%G +0.298%5.4%2026-06-19 11:20
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -11.35%E -9.08%K -45.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +9.05%E +2.41%K +3.29%G +0.298%6.7%2026-06-19 11:20
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -11.35%E -9.08%K -45.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +9.05%E +2.41%K +3.29%G +0.298%6.7%2026-06-19 11:20
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -11.35%E -9.08%K -45.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +7.59%E +2.05%K +2.81%G +0.213%7.0%2026-06-19 11:20
Winamax (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -13.48%E -11.05%K -61.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV +6.14%E +1.68%K +2.32%G +0.142%9.4%2026-06-19 11:20
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.51%E -6.60%K -29.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.68%E +1.30%K +1.80%G +0.084%5.3%2026-06-19 11:20
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -9.93%E -7.82%K -36.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV +4.68%E +1.30%K +1.80%G +0.084%6.5%2026-06-19 11:20
Bally Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -10.64%E -8.44%K -40.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +4.68%E +1.30%K +1.80%G +0.084%7.1%2026-06-19 11:20
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -11.35%E -9.08%K -45.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV +3.23%E +0.910%K +1.27%G +0.041%8.2%2026-06-19 11:20
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -11.35%E -9.08%K -45.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV +1.78%E +0.507%K +0.710%G +0.013%8.6%2026-06-19 11:20
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -11.35%E -9.08%K -45.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV +1.78%E +0.507%K +0.710%G +0.013%8.6%2026-06-19 11:20
Unibet (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.38%E -4.84%K -19.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.13%E -0.333%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 11:20
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -8.51%E -6.60%K -29.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -1.13%E -0.333%K -0.472%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 11:19
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.67%E -4.27%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.59%E -0.772%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 11:20
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.67%E -4.27%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.59%E -0.772%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 11:20
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.67%E -4.27%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.04%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 11:20
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.09%E -5.41%K -22.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.04%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-19 11:20
PointsBet (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.80%E -6.00%K -26.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.04%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 11:20
Betclic (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -9.93%E -7.82%K -36.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -4.04%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-19 11:19
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -9.93%E -7.82%K -36.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -4.04%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-19 11:20
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.97%E -3.71%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 11:20
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.97%E -3.71%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 11:20
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.97%E -3.71%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 11:20
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.97%E -3.71%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 11:20
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.38%E -4.84%K -19.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-19 11:20
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.80%E -6.00%K -26.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.95%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-19 11:20
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -8.51%E -6.60%K -29.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -6.95%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-19 11:20
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.97%E -3.71%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-19 11:20
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.67%E -4.27%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 11:20
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.67%E -4.27%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 11:20
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.26%E -3.15%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.86%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.80%E -6.00%K -26.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.86%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-19 11:20
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 68.83%EV -1.42%E -1.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.17%EV -10.73%E -3.49%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-19 11:20
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -0.710%E -0.507%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -11.89%E -3.92%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 11:10
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -0.710%E -0.507%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -11.89%E -3.92%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 11:10
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.55%E -2.61%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.26%E -3.15%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 11:20
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -9.22%E -7.20%K -32.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.91%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-19 11:20
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 70.26%EV -9.93%E -7.82%K -36.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.74%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-19 11:20
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 66.89%EV +3.54%E +2.43%K +7.71%G +0.273%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.11%EV -14.22%E -4.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-19 11:00
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -1.42%E -1.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -15.67%E -5.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-19 11:00
BetAnything1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV +2.13%E +1.48%K +4.83%G +0.103%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -17.13%E -6.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-19 11:00
ReBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV +2.13%E +1.48%K +4.83%G +0.103%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -17.13%E -6.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-19 11:00
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV +1.42%E +0.991%K +3.30%G +0.047%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -17.13%E -6.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 11:00
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV +0.708%E +0.499%K +1.69%G +0.012%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -17.13%E -6.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 11:10
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV +2.84%E +1.96%K +6.30%G +0.179%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -17.42%E -6.13%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-19 11:16
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 66.98%EV -1.42%E -1.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -18.00%E -6.38%K -9.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 11:10
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 66.98%EV -1.42%E -1.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -18.00%E -6.38%K -9.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 11:00
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 65.20%EV +6.38%E +4.25%K +12.76%G +0.815%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.80%EV -18.29%E -6.51%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-19 11:00
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV +1.42%E +0.991%K +3.30%G +0.047%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -18.29%E -6.51%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 11:00
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +0.708%E +0.499%K +1.69%G +0.012%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -18.58%E -6.64%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-19 11:10
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV +3.54%E +2.43%K +7.71%G +0.273%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -19.45%E -7.02%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-19 11:00
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +2.13%E +1.48%K +4.83%G +0.103%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -20.03%E -7.28%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 11:09
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +2.13%E +1.48%K +4.83%G +0.103%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -20.03%E -7.28%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 11:00
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -0.710%E -0.507%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -20.03%E -7.28%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-19 10:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV +0.708%E +0.499%K +1.69%G +0.012%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -21.49%E -7.96%K -12.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 11:00
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV +0.708%E +0.499%K +1.69%G +0.012%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -21.49%E -7.96%K -12.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 11:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-06-19 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-06-19 11:20
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-06-19 11:20
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%3.8%2026-06-19 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%5.7%2026-06-19 11:20
Novig1.29I 77.52%NM 73.13%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.88%6.0%2026-06-19 11:20