L’École des cotes

Linda Noskova v Paula Badosa

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-19 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Linda Noskova (Local)

Prévision 70.92%1.41cote équitable
EV +6.38%
Avantage +4.25%
Kelly +12.76%
Croissance +0.815%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.20%70.94%71.27%76.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.331.331.5081.97%74.92%75.19%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Paula Badosa (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.08%3.44cote équitable
EV +16.32%
Avantage +4.08%
Kelly +5.44%
Croissance +0.887%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.81%29.06%28.73%34.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.233.234.0037.04%30.93%31.01%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -11.35%E -9.08%K -45.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +16.32%E +4.08%K +5.44%G +0.887%5.0%2026-06-19 11:20
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -11.35%E -9.08%K -45.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +16.32%E +4.08%K +5.44%G +0.887%5.0%2026-06-19 11:20
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -11.35%E -9.08%K -45.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +10.50%E +2.76%K +3.75%G +0.394%6.3%2026-06-19 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -11.35%E -9.08%K -45.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +10.50%E +2.76%K +3.75%G +0.394%6.3%2026-06-19 11:20
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -11.35%E -9.08%K -45.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +10.50%E +2.76%K +3.75%G +0.394%6.3%2026-06-19 11:20
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -12.06%E -9.72%K -50.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV +10.50%E +2.76%K +3.75%G +0.394%7.0%2026-06-19 11:20
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -9.93%E -7.82%K -36.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +9.05%E +2.41%K +3.29%G +0.298%5.4%2026-06-19 11:20
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -9.93%E -7.82%K -36.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +9.05%E +2.41%K +3.29%G +0.298%5.4%2026-06-19 11:20
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -11.35%E -9.08%K -45.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +9.05%E +2.41%K +3.29%G +0.298%6.7%2026-06-19 11:20
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -11.35%E -9.08%K -45.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +9.05%E +2.41%K +3.29%G +0.298%6.7%2026-06-19 11:20
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -11.35%E -9.08%K -45.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +7.59%E +2.05%K +2.81%G +0.213%7.0%2026-06-19 11:20
Winamax (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -13.48%E -11.05%K -61.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV +6.14%E +1.68%K +2.32%G +0.142%9.4%2026-06-19 11:20
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.51%E -6.60%K -29.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +4.68%E +1.30%K +1.80%G +0.084%5.3%2026-06-19 11:20
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -9.93%E -7.82%K -36.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV +4.68%E +1.30%K +1.80%G +0.084%6.5%2026-06-19 11:20
Bally Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -10.64%E -8.44%K -40.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV +4.68%E +1.30%K +1.80%G +0.084%7.1%2026-06-19 11:20
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -11.35%E -9.08%K -45.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV +3.23%E +0.910%K +1.27%G +0.041%8.2%2026-06-19 11:20
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -11.35%E -9.08%K -45.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV +1.78%E +0.507%K +0.710%G +0.013%8.6%2026-06-19 11:20
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -11.35%E -9.08%K -45.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV +1.78%E +0.507%K +0.710%G +0.013%8.6%2026-06-19 11:20
Unibet (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.38%E -4.84%K -19.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.13%E -0.333%K -0.472%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 11:20
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -8.51%E -6.60%K -29.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -1.13%E -0.333%K -0.472%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 11:19
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.67%E -4.27%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.59%E -0.772%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 11:20
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.67%E -4.27%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.59%E -0.772%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 11:20
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.67%E -4.27%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.04%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 11:20
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.09%E -5.41%K -22.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.04%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-19 11:20
PointsBet (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.80%E -6.00%K -26.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.04%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 11:20
Betclic (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -9.93%E -7.82%K -36.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -4.04%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-19 11:19
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -9.93%E -7.82%K -36.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -4.04%E -1.22%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-19 11:20
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.97%E -3.71%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 11:20
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.97%E -3.71%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 11:20
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.97%E -3.71%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 11:20
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.97%E -3.71%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 11:20
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.38%E -4.84%K -19.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-19 11:20
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.80%E -6.00%K -26.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.95%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-19 11:20
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -8.51%E -6.60%K -29.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -6.95%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-19 11:20
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.97%E -3.71%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-19 11:20
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.67%E -4.27%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 11:20
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.67%E -4.27%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 11:20
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.26%E -3.15%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.86%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.80%E -6.00%K -26.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.86%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-19 11:20
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 68.83%EV -1.42%E -1.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.17%EV -10.73%E -3.49%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-19 11:20
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -0.710%E -0.507%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -11.89%E -3.92%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 11:10
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -0.710%E -0.507%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -11.89%E -3.92%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 11:10
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.55%E -2.61%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.26%E -3.15%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 11:20
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -9.22%E -7.20%K -32.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.91%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-19 11:20
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 70.26%EV -9.93%E -7.82%K -36.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.74%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-19 11:20
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 66.89%EV +3.54%E +2.43%K +7.71%G +0.273%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.11%EV -14.22%E -4.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-19 11:00
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -1.42%E -1.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -15.67%E -5.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-19 11:00
BetAnything1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV +2.13%E +1.48%K +4.83%G +0.103%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -17.13%E -6.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-19 11:00
ReBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV +2.13%E +1.48%K +4.83%G +0.103%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -17.13%E -6.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-19 11:00
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV +1.42%E +0.991%K +3.30%G +0.047%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -17.13%E -6.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 11:00
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV +0.708%E +0.499%K +1.69%G +0.012%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -17.13%E -6.01%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 11:10
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV +2.84%E +1.96%K +6.30%G +0.179%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -17.42%E -6.13%K -9.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-19 11:16
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 66.98%EV -1.42%E -1.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -18.00%E -6.38%K -9.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 11:10
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 66.98%EV -1.42%E -1.02%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -18.00%E -6.38%K -9.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 11:00
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 65.20%EV +6.38%E +4.25%K +12.76%G +0.815%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.80%EV -18.29%E -6.51%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-19 11:00
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV +1.42%E +0.991%K +3.30%G +0.047%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -18.29%E -6.51%K -10.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 11:00
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +0.708%E +0.499%K +1.69%G +0.012%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -18.58%E -6.64%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-19 11:10
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV +3.54%E +2.43%K +7.71%G +0.273%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -19.45%E -7.02%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-19 11:00
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +2.13%E +1.48%K +4.83%G +0.103%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -20.03%E -7.28%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 11:09
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +2.13%E +1.48%K +4.83%G +0.103%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -20.03%E -7.28%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 11:00
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -0.710%E -0.507%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -20.03%E -7.28%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-19 10:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV +0.708%E +0.499%K +1.69%G +0.012%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -21.49%E -7.96%K -12.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 11:00
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV +0.708%E +0.499%K +1.69%G +0.012%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -21.49%E -7.96%K -12.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 11:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-06-19 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-06-19 11:20
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-06-19 11:20
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%3.8%2026-06-19 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%5.7%2026-06-19 11:20
Novig1.29I 77.52%NM 73.13%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.88%6.0%2026-06-19 11:20