La scuola delle quote

Jessica Pegula v Madison Keys

Inizio: 2026-06-19 10:05 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Jessica Pegula (Casa)

Previsione 53.31%1.88quota equa
EV +2.89%
Vantaggio +1.50%
Kelly +3.11%
Crescita +0.090%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.93

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.34%53.52%53.44%58.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.731.731.9361.73%57.77%57.97%51.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Madison Keys (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.69%2.14quota equa
EV +7.38%
Vantaggio +3.21%
Kelly +5.68%
Crescita +0.419%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.92%46.48%46.56%50.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.862.062.042.3053.76%48.44%48.90%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -11.50%E -6.93%K -17.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV +7.38%E +3.21%K +5.68%G +0.419%3.7%2026-06-19 08:10
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -8.30%E -4.83%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV +5.51%E +2.44%K +4.38%G +0.241%2.4%2026-06-19 09:00
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -12.03%E -7.29%K -18.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV +4.11%E +1.84%K +3.34%G +0.137%5.4%2026-06-19 08:51
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -10.43%E -6.21%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV +3.65%E +1.64%K +2.99%G +0.109%4.6%2026-06-19 08:51
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -10.97%E -6.57%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV +3.18%E +1.44%K +2.63%G +0.083%5.1%2026-06-19 08:10
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -8.83%E -5.17%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +2.71%E +1.23%K +2.26%G +0.061%3.9%2026-06-19 08:50
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -9.90%E -5.86%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV +2.71%E +1.23%K +2.26%G +0.061%4.6%2026-06-19 07:30
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -10.43%E -6.21%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +2.71%E +1.23%K +2.26%G +0.061%5.0%2026-06-19 07:31
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -10.97%E -6.57%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +2.71%E +1.23%K +2.26%G +0.061%5.3%2026-06-19 09:09
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -10.97%E -6.57%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +2.71%E +1.23%K +2.26%G +0.061%5.3%2026-06-19 07:30
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -12.03%E -7.29%K -18.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +2.71%E +1.23%K +2.26%G +0.061%6.1%2026-06-19 09:09
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -8.83%E -5.17%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV +2.24%E +1.03%K +1.89%G +0.042%4.1%2026-06-19 08:50
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -8.83%E -5.17%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV +2.24%E +1.03%K +1.89%G +0.042%4.1%2026-06-19 08:50
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -13.63%E -8.42%K -21.99%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV +1.31%E +0.604%K +1.12%G +0.015%7.8%2026-06-19 07:30
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -9.90%E -5.86%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +0.377%E +0.175%K +0.328%G +0.001%5.7%2026-06-19 08:30
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -10.97%E -6.57%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +0.377%E +0.175%K +0.328%G +0.001%6.4%2026-06-19 08:10
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -10.97%E -6.57%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +0.377%E +0.175%K +0.328%G +0.001%6.4%2026-06-19 09:08
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -12.57%E -7.66%K -19.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV +0.377%E +0.175%K +0.328%G +0.001%7.5%2026-06-19 07:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -12.57%E -7.66%K -19.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV +0.377%E +0.175%K +0.328%G +0.001%7.5%2026-06-19 07:40
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.24%E -4.16%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.96%E -0.932%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 09:10
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.77%E -4.49%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.96%E -0.932%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 09:10
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.83%E -5.17%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.96%E -0.932%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-19 08:49
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.37%E -5.51%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.96%E -0.932%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-19 09:10
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.37%E -5.51%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.96%E -0.932%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-19 09:10
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -12.03%E -7.29%K -18.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -1.96%E -0.932%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-19 09:10
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -12.03%E -7.29%K -18.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -1.96%E -0.932%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-19 08:59
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -8.83%E -5.17%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -2.89%E -1.39%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-19 09:10
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.70%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 09:10
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.70%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 09:10
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.70%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 21:10
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.77%E -4.49%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-19 09:10
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.97%E -6.57%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-19 09:09
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.10%E -2.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.76%E -2.33%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 09:10
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.10%E -2.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.76%E -2.33%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 09:10
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.10%E -2.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.76%E -2.33%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 09:10
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.10%E -2.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.76%E -2.33%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 09:10
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -10.43%E -6.21%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -4.76%E -2.33%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-19 09:10
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.17%E -3.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 09:10
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.17%E -3.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 09:10
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.97%E -1.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 09:10
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.50%E -1.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 09:10
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.50%E -1.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 09:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 09:10
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 09:11
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 09:10
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.17%E -3.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.70%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-19 09:10
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.77%E -4.49%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-19 09:10
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.77%E -4.49%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-19 09:10
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.77%E -4.49%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-19 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.30%E -4.83%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-19 09:10
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.37%E -5.51%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-19 09:10
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -7.09%E -3.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 09:10
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.10%E -2.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -8.03%E -4.07%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 09:10
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.10%E -2.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -8.03%E -4.07%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -8.30%E -4.83%K -11.53%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -8.49%E -4.33%K -8.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-19 09:10
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 09:10
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 09:10
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -8.83%E -5.17%K -12.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-19 09:10
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.83%E -5.67%K -11.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-19 09:11
DraftKings1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV +2.89%E +1.50%K +3.11%G +0.090%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -12.23%E -6.50%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 09:10
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.22%EV -8.30%E -4.83%K -11.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.78%EV -12.23%E -6.50%K -13.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-19 09:10
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -12.70%E -6.79%K -14.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-19 09:10
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.67%EV -7.24%E -4.16%K -9.78%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.33%EV -13.16%E -7.08%K -15.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-19 09:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-06-19 09:10
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-06-19 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-06-19 09:10
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.7%2026-06-19 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%2.4%2026-06-19 09:10
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%5.5%2026-06-19 09:10