La escuela de los momios

Jessica Pegula v Madison Keys

Inicio: 2026-06-19 10:05 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Predicción 53.31%1.88momio equitativo
EV +2.89%
Ventaja +1.50%
Kelly +3.11%
Crecimiento +0.090%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.34%53.52%53.44%58.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.731.731.9361.73%57.77%57.97%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Madison Keys (Visitante)

Predicción 46.69%2.14momio equitativo
EV +7.38%
Ventaja +3.21%
Kelly +5.68%
Crecimiento +0.419%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.92%46.48%46.56%50.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.862.062.042.3053.76%48.44%48.90%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -11.50%E -6.93%K -17.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV +7.38%E +3.21%K +5.68%G +0.419%3.7%2026-06-19 08:10
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -8.30%E -4.83%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV +5.51%E +2.44%K +4.38%G +0.241%2.4%2026-06-19 09:00
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -12.03%E -7.29%K -18.51%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV +4.11%E +1.84%K +3.34%G +0.137%5.4%2026-06-19 08:51
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -10.43%E -6.21%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV +3.65%E +1.64%K +2.99%G +0.109%4.6%2026-06-19 08:51
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -10.97%E -6.57%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV +3.18%E +1.44%K +2.63%G +0.083%5.1%2026-06-19 08:10
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -8.83%E -5.17%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +2.71%E +1.23%K +2.26%G +0.061%3.9%2026-06-19 08:50
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -9.90%E -5.86%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV +2.71%E +1.23%K +2.26%G +0.061%4.6%2026-06-19 07:30
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -10.43%E -6.21%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV +2.71%E +1.23%K +2.26%G +0.061%5.0%2026-06-19 07:31
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -10.97%E -6.57%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +2.71%E +1.23%K +2.26%G +0.061%5.3%2026-06-19 09:09
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -10.97%E -6.57%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +2.71%E +1.23%K +2.26%G +0.061%5.3%2026-06-19 07:30
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -12.03%E -7.29%K -18.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +2.71%E +1.23%K +2.26%G +0.061%6.1%2026-06-19 09:09
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -8.83%E -5.17%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV +2.24%E +1.03%K +1.89%G +0.042%4.1%2026-06-19 08:50
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -8.83%E -5.17%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV +2.24%E +1.03%K +1.89%G +0.042%4.1%2026-06-19 08:50
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -13.63%E -8.42%K -21.99%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV +1.31%E +0.604%K +1.12%G +0.015%7.8%2026-06-19 07:30
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -9.90%E -5.86%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +0.377%E +0.175%K +0.328%G +0.001%5.7%2026-06-19 08:30
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -10.97%E -6.57%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +0.377%E +0.175%K +0.328%G +0.001%6.4%2026-06-19 08:10
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -10.97%E -6.57%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +0.377%E +0.175%K +0.328%G +0.001%6.4%2026-06-19 09:08
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -12.57%E -7.66%K -19.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV +0.377%E +0.175%K +0.328%G +0.001%7.5%2026-06-19 07:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -12.57%E -7.66%K -19.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV +0.377%E +0.175%K +0.328%G +0.001%7.5%2026-06-19 07:40
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.24%E -4.16%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.96%E -0.932%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 09:10
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.77%E -4.49%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.96%E -0.932%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 09:10
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.83%E -5.17%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.96%E -0.932%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-19 08:49
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.37%E -5.51%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.96%E -0.932%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-19 09:10
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.37%E -5.51%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.96%E -0.932%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-19 09:10
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -12.03%E -7.29%K -18.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -1.96%E -0.932%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-19 09:10
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -12.03%E -7.29%K -18.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -1.96%E -0.932%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-19 08:59
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -8.83%E -5.17%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -2.89%E -1.39%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-19 09:10
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.70%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 09:10
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.70%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 09:10
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.70%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 21:10
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.77%E -4.49%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-19 09:10
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.97%E -6.57%K -16.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -4.29%E -2.09%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-19 09:09
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.10%E -2.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.76%E -2.33%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 09:10
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.10%E -2.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.76%E -2.33%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 09:10
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.10%E -2.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.76%E -2.33%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 09:10
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.10%E -2.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.76%E -2.33%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 09:10
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -10.43%E -6.21%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -4.76%E -2.33%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-19 09:10
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.17%E -3.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 09:10
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.17%E -3.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -5.69%E -2.82%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 09:10
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.97%E -1.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 09:10
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.50%E -1.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 09:10
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.50%E -1.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 09:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 09:10
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 09:11
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 09:10
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.17%E -3.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.70%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-19 09:10
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.77%E -4.49%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-19 09:10
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.77%E -4.49%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-19 09:10
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.77%E -4.49%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-19 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.30%E -4.83%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-19 09:10
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.37%E -5.51%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.63%E -3.31%K -6.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-19 09:10
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -7.09%E -3.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 09:10
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.10%E -2.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -8.03%E -4.07%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 09:10
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.10%E -2.87%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -8.03%E -4.07%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -8.30%E -4.83%K -11.53%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -8.49%E -4.33%K -8.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-19 09:10
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 09:10
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 09:10
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -8.83%E -5.17%K -12.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -8.96%E -4.59%K -9.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-19 09:10
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.83%E -5.67%K -11.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-19 09:11
DraftKings1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV +2.89%E +1.50%K +3.11%G +0.090%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -12.23%E -6.50%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-19 09:10
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.22%EV -8.30%E -4.83%K -11.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.78%EV -12.23%E -6.50%K -13.90%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-19 09:10
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -2.44%E -1.33%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -12.70%E -6.79%K -14.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-19 09:10
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.67%EV -7.24%E -4.16%K -9.78%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.33%EV -13.16%E -7.08%K -15.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-19 09:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.23%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.77%0.2%2026-06-19 09:10
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-06-19 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-06-19 09:10
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.7%2026-06-19 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%2.4%2026-06-19 09:10
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%5.5%2026-06-19 09:10