Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Elise Mertens v Nikola Bartunkova

Início: 2026-06-17 09:05 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Elise Mertens (Local)

Previsão 68.67%1.46odd justa
EV -3.17%
Vantagem -2.25%
Kelly -7.73%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.41

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.29%68.75%68.69%70.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.321.371.381.4175.76%72.76%72.46%70.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nikola Bartunkova (Visitante)

Previsão 31.33%3.19odd justa
EV +3.69%
Vantagem +1.11%
Kelly +1.60%
Crescimento +0.059%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.42%31.25%31.31%32.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.883.023.043.3134.72%33.11%32.84%30.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Elise Mertens (Local): 68.67%; Nikola Bartunkova (Visitante): 31.33%. Para Nikola Bartunkova (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.19. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.31, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.69%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV +3.69%E +1.11%K +1.60%G +0.059%2.7%2026-06-17 09:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -2.27%E -0.726%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 08:59
GTbets🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%EV -3.17%E -2.25%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%EV -2.58%E -0.829%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-17 08:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.86%E -2.75%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.89%E -0.933%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-17 09:00
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.89%E -0.933%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 09:00
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.89%E -0.933%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 09:00
BetAnything🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.89%E -0.933%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 09:00
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.92%E -4.32%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.89%E -0.933%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:00
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.60%E -4.85%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.89%E -0.933%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 08:52
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.60%E -4.85%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.89%E -0.933%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 09:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -9.35%E -7.08%K -29.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -2.89%E -0.933%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-17 09:00
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -3.83%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 09:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.86%E -2.75%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 08:59
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.54%E -3.27%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 09:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.54%E -3.27%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 08:59
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.54%E -3.27%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 08:59
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:00
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:00
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:00
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:00
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:00
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:00
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:00
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:00
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:00
Fanatics🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.92%E -4.32%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 09:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -7.98%E -5.95%K -23.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 09:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.77%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 09:01
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.86%E -2.75%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -5.09%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 09:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.86%E -2.75%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -5.09%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 09:00
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.18%EV -7.29%E -5.40%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.82%EV -5.09%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 09:00
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -4.54%E -3.27%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -5.40%E -1.79%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 08:59
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.86%E -2.75%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 09:00
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.86%E -2.75%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 09:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 09:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 09:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.92%E -4.32%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 09:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.92%E -4.32%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 09:00
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.60%E -4.85%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 09:00
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.60%E -4.85%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.29%E -5.40%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 09:00
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.29%E -5.40%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 09:00
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.66%E -6.51%K -26.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-17 09:00
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.66%E -6.51%K -26.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-17 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.66%E -6.51%K -26.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-17 09:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.86%E -2.75%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.59%E -2.57%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.60%E -4.85%K -18.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.59%E -2.57%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 09:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.60%E -4.85%K -18.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.59%E -2.57%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 09:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.29%E -5.40%K -20.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.59%E -2.57%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-17 09:00
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.86%E -2.75%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.16%E -3.16%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 09:00
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.86%E -2.75%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.16%E -3.16%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 09:00
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.16%E -3.16%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 09:00
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.16%E -3.16%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 09:00
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -5.92%E -4.32%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.16%E -3.16%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 09:00
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -5.92%E -4.32%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.16%E -3.16%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 09:00
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -7.98%E -5.95%K -23.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -9.16%E -3.16%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 09:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.75%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.78%E -3.40%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 09:00
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.60%E -4.85%K -18.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.78%E -3.40%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 08:59
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.60%E -4.85%K -18.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.78%E -3.40%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 09:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-06-17 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-06-17 09:00
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-06-17 09:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-06-17 09:00
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.8%2026-06-17 09:00
Novig1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%4.0%2026-06-17 09:00