La escuela de los momios

Elise Mertens v Nikola Bartunkova

Inicio: 2026-06-17 09:05 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Elise Mertens (Local)

Predicción 68.67%1.46momio equitativo
EV -3.17%
Ventaja -2.25%
Kelly -7.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.29%68.75%68.69%70.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.371.381.4175.76%72.76%72.46%70.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Nikola Bartunkova (Visitante)

Predicción 31.33%3.19momio equitativo
EV +3.69%
Ventaja +1.11%
Kelly +1.60%
Crecimiento +0.059%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.42%31.25%31.31%32.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.023.043.3134.72%33.11%32.84%30.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.42%EV +3.69%E +1.11%K +1.60%G +0.059%2.7%2026-06-17 09:00
Betclic (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.33%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.67%EV -2.27%E -0.726%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 08:59
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%EV -3.17%E -2.25%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%EV -2.58%E -0.829%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-17 08:59
Winamax (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.86%E -2.75%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.89%E -0.933%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-17 09:00
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.89%E -0.933%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 09:00
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.89%E -0.933%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 09:00
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.89%E -0.933%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 09:00
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.92%E -4.32%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.89%E -0.933%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:00
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.60%E -4.85%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.89%E -0.933%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 08:52
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.60%E -4.85%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.89%E -0.933%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 09:00
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -9.35%E -7.08%K -29.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -2.89%E -0.933%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-17 09:00
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -3.83%E -1.25%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 09:00
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.86%E -2.75%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-17 08:59
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.54%E -3.27%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 09:00
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.54%E -3.27%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 08:59
ReBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.54%E -3.27%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-17 08:59
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:00
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:00
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:00
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:00
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:00
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:00
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:00
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:00
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:00
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:00
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:00
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:00
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:00
Fanatics1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.92%E -4.32%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 09:00
NetBet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -7.98%E -5.95%K -23.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -4.46%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 09:00
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.77%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 09:01
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.86%E -2.75%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -5.09%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 09:00
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.86%E -2.75%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -5.09%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-17 09:00
SportsBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.18%EV -7.29%E -5.40%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.82%EV -5.09%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 09:00
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -4.54%E -3.27%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -5.40%E -1.79%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 08:59
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.86%E -2.75%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 09:00
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.86%E -2.75%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 09:00
Winamax (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 09:00
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 09:00
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.92%E -4.32%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 09:00
Betr (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.92%E -4.32%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-17 09:00
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.60%E -4.85%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 09:00
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.60%E -4.85%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.29%E -5.40%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 09:00
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.29%E -5.40%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 09:00
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.66%E -6.51%K -26.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-17 09:00
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.66%E -6.51%K -26.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-17 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.66%E -6.51%K -26.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.02%E -2.01%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-17 09:00
Dabble (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.86%E -2.75%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.59%E -2.57%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:00
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.60%E -4.85%K -18.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.59%E -2.57%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 09:00
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.60%E -4.85%K -18.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.59%E -2.57%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 09:00
PMU (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.29%E -5.40%K -20.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -7.59%E -2.57%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-17 09:00
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.86%E -2.75%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.16%E -3.16%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 09:00
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.86%E -2.75%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.16%E -3.16%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 09:00
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.16%E -3.16%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 09:00
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.23%E -3.79%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.16%E -3.16%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 09:00
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -5.92%E -4.32%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.16%E -3.16%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 09:00
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -5.92%E -4.32%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.16%E -3.16%K -4.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 09:00
Fliff1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -7.98%E -5.95%K -23.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -9.16%E -3.16%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-17 09:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.75%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.78%E -3.40%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 09:00
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.60%E -4.85%K -18.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.78%E -3.40%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 08:59
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.60%E -4.85%K -18.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.78%E -3.40%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 09:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-06-17 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-06-17 09:00
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-06-17 09:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%0.8%2026-06-17 09:00
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.8%2026-06-17 09:00
Novig1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%4.0%2026-06-17 09:00