L’École des cotes

Elina Svitolina v Alexandra Eala

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-19 16:24 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Prévision 68.06%1.47cote équitable
EV -1.99%
Avantage -1.38%
Kelly -4.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.53%68.48%67.92%71.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.371.381.4476.92%72.73%72.46%69.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alexandra Eala (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.94%3.13cote équitable
EV +6.99%
Avantage +2.09%
Kelly +2.97%
Croissance +0.208%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.42%31.52%32.08%34.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.973.003.3537.04%33.67%33.33%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -9.48%E -7.12%K -28.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +6.99%E +2.09%K +2.97%G +0.208%5.0%2026-06-19 16:20
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -8.79%E -6.56%K -25.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +5.39%E +1.63%K +2.34%G +0.126%4.9%2026-06-19 16:20
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -9.48%E -7.12%K -28.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +5.39%E +1.63%K +2.34%G +0.126%5.5%2026-06-19 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.48%E -7.12%K -28.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.79%E +1.17%K +1.69%G +0.064%6.0%2026-06-19 16:20
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -10.84%E -8.27%K -34.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV +3.79%E +1.17%K +1.69%G +0.064%7.1%2026-06-19 16:20
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -9.48%E -7.12%K -28.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +2.20%E +0.686%K +0.998%G +0.022%6.4%2026-06-19 16:20
Coolbet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -7.43%E -5.47%K -20.65%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV +1.56%E +0.490%K +0.714%G +0.011%5.0%2026-06-19 16:20
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.75%E -4.93%K -18.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV +0.599%E +0.190%K +0.279%G +0.002%4.7%2026-06-19 16:20
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -10.16%E -7.69%K -31.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV +0.599%E +0.190%K +0.279%G +0.002%7.5%2026-06-19 16:20
Fliff1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -11.52%E -8.86%K -38.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV +0.599%E +0.190%K +0.279%G +0.002%8.7%2026-06-19 16:20
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.43%E -5.47%K -20.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.997%E -0.322%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 15:29
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.43%E -5.47%K -20.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.997%E -0.322%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 15:29
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.43%E -5.47%K -20.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.997%E -0.322%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 15:29
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -11.52%E -8.86%K -38.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -0.997%E -0.322%K -0.475%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-19 16:20
BetUS1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.39%E -3.88%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.59%E -0.851%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-19 15:30
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 67.86%EV -1.99%E -1.38%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 32.14%EV -2.91%E -0.958%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-19 16:00
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.35%E -2.36%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-19 15:30
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.35%E -2.36%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-19 15:30
BetAnything1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.35%E -2.36%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-19 15:30
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 15:30
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 16:19
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 15:30
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 16:19
ReBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 15:30
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.39%E -3.88%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 15:30
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.07%E -4.40%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 15:30
Dabble (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.07%E -4.40%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 15:30
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.07%E -4.40%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:18
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.07%E -4.40%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:18
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.43%E -5.47%K -20.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 16:20
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.43%E -5.47%K -20.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 16:20
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.48%E -7.12%K -28.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-19 16:20
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -7.43%E -5.47%K -20.65%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.48%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-19 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -8.79%E -6.56%K -25.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -5.79%E -1.96%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-19 16:20
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -6.11%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 16:10
NetBet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.22%EV -7.43%E -5.47%K -20.65%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.78%EV -6.75%E -2.31%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-19 15:30
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.35%E -2.36%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.38%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 15:30
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.03%E -2.86%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.38%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 16:20
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.03%E -2.86%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.38%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 16:20
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.38%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 15:30
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.07%E -4.40%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.38%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 15:30
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.07%E -4.40%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.38%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 15:30
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.75%E -4.93%K -18.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.38%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 16:20
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.43%E -5.47%K -20.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.38%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 15:30
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -8.11%E -6.01%K -23.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.38%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-19 16:20
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.02%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 15:30
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.43%E -5.47%K -20.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.02%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-19 16:20
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -11.52%E -8.86%K -38.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.10%EV -8.02%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-19 16:20
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.35%E -2.36%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.98%E -3.15%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 15:40
Betr (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.03%E -2.86%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -8.98%E -3.15%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 15:40
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.98%E -3.15%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-19 16:20
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.98%E -3.15%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-19 16:20
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.58%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-19 15:18
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.58%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-19 16:20
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.58%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-19 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.43%E -5.47%K -20.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.58%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-19 15:30
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.43%E -5.47%K -20.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.58%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-19 15:31
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.43%E -5.47%K -20.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.58%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-19 16:19
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-19 16:20
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-19 16:20
Winamax (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 67.57%EV -10.16%E -7.69%K -31.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-19 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.35%E -2.36%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -13.77%E -5.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 16:20
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.35%E -2.36%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -13.77%E -5.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 16:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-06-19 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-19 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-19 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-19 16:20
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-06-19 16:20
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%3.9%2026-06-19 16:20