La escuela de los momios

Elina Svitolina v Alexandra Eala

Inicio: 2026-06-19 16:24 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Predicción 68.06%1.47momio equitativo
EV -1.99%
Ventaja -1.38%
Kelly -4.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.53%68.48%67.92%71.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.371.381.4476.92%72.73%72.46%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Alexandra Eala (Visitante)

Predicción 31.94%3.13momio equitativo
EV +6.99%
Ventaja +2.09%
Kelly +2.97%
Crecimiento +0.208%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.42%31.52%32.08%34.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.973.003.3537.04%33.67%33.33%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -9.48%E -7.12%K -28.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +6.99%E +2.09%K +2.97%G +0.208%5.0%2026-06-19 16:20
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -8.79%E -6.56%K -25.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +5.39%E +1.63%K +2.34%G +0.126%4.9%2026-06-19 16:20
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -9.48%E -7.12%K -28.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +5.39%E +1.63%K +2.34%G +0.126%5.5%2026-06-19 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.48%E -7.12%K -28.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +3.79%E +1.17%K +1.69%G +0.064%6.0%2026-06-19 16:20
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -10.84%E -8.27%K -34.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV +3.79%E +1.17%K +1.69%G +0.064%7.1%2026-06-19 16:20
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -9.48%E -7.12%K -28.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +2.20%E +0.686%K +0.998%G +0.022%6.4%2026-06-19 16:20
Coolbet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -7.43%E -5.47%K -20.65%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV +1.56%E +0.490%K +0.714%G +0.011%5.0%2026-06-19 16:20
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.75%E -4.93%K -18.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV +0.599%E +0.190%K +0.279%G +0.002%4.7%2026-06-19 16:20
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -10.16%E -7.69%K -31.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV +0.599%E +0.190%K +0.279%G +0.002%7.5%2026-06-19 16:20
Fliff1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -11.52%E -8.86%K -38.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV +0.599%E +0.190%K +0.279%G +0.002%8.7%2026-06-19 16:20
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.43%E -5.47%K -20.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.997%E -0.322%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 15:29
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.43%E -5.47%K -20.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.997%E -0.322%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 15:29
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.43%E -5.47%K -20.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.997%E -0.322%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 15:29
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -11.52%E -8.86%K -38.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -0.997%E -0.322%K -0.475%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-19 16:20
BetUS1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.39%E -3.88%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.59%E -0.851%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-19 15:30
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 67.86%EV -1.99%E -1.38%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 32.14%EV -2.91%E -0.958%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-19 16:00
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.35%E -2.36%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-19 15:30
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.35%E -2.36%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-19 15:30
BetAnything1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.35%E -2.36%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-19 15:30
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 15:30
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 16:19
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 15:30
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 16:19
ReBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 15:30
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.39%E -3.88%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 15:30
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.07%E -4.40%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 15:30
Dabble (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.07%E -4.40%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 15:30
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.07%E -4.40%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:18
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.07%E -4.40%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-19 16:18
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.43%E -5.47%K -20.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 16:20
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.43%E -5.47%K -20.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 16:20
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.48%E -7.12%K -28.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -4.19%E -1.40%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-19 16:20
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.52%EV -7.43%E -5.47%K -20.65%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.48%EV -5.47%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-19 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -8.79%E -6.56%K -25.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -5.79%E -1.96%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-19 16:20
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -6.11%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 16:10
NetBet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.22%EV -7.43%E -5.47%K -20.65%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.78%EV -6.75%E -2.31%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-19 15:30
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.35%E -2.36%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.38%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 15:30
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.03%E -2.86%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.38%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 16:20
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.03%E -2.86%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.38%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 16:20
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.38%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 15:30
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.07%E -4.40%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.38%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 15:30
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.07%E -4.40%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.38%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 15:30
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.75%E -4.93%K -18.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.38%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 16:20
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.43%E -5.47%K -20.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.38%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-19 15:30
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -8.11%E -6.01%K -23.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.38%E -2.55%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-19 16:20
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.02%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 15:30
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.43%E -5.47%K -20.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.02%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-19 16:20
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -11.52%E -8.86%K -38.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.10%EV -8.02%E -2.79%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-19 16:20
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.35%E -2.36%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.98%E -3.15%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 15:40
Betr (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.03%E -2.86%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -8.98%E -3.15%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 15:40
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.98%E -3.15%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-19 16:20
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.98%E -3.15%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-19 16:20
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.58%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-19 15:18
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.58%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-19 16:20
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.58%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-19 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.43%E -5.47%K -20.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.58%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-19 15:30
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.43%E -5.47%K -20.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.58%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-19 15:31
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.43%E -5.47%K -20.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.58%E -3.78%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-19 16:19
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-19 16:20
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.71%E -3.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-19 16:20
Winamax (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 67.57%EV -10.16%E -7.69%K -31.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -12.18%E -4.43%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-19 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.35%E -2.36%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -13.77%E -5.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 16:20
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.35%E -2.36%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -13.77%E -5.10%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 16:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-06-19 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-19 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-19 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-19 16:20
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-06-19 16:20
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%3.9%2026-06-19 16:20