Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Donna Vekic v Alexandra Eala

Kickoff: 2026-06-17 10:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Donna Vekic (Local)

Prediction 54.23%1.84fair odd
EV +1.41%
Edge +0.756%
Kelly +1.62%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%54.12%54.23%56.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.741.741.8760.98%57.34%57.47%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alexandra Eala (Visit)

Prediction 45.77%2.18fair odd
EV +0.690%
Edge +0.314%
Kelly +0.575%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.73%45.88%45.77%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.052.052.2053.48%48.72%48.78%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Donna Vekic (Local): 54.23%; Alexandra Eala (Visit): 45.77%. For Donna Vekic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.84. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.41%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +1.41%E +0.756%K +1.62%G +0.023%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -14.41%E -7.71%K -16.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 09:00
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.756%E -0.413%K -0.910%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 09:00
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.30%E -0.713%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.55%E -3.74%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 09:00
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.30%E -0.713%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.55%E -3.74%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 09:00
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -4.34%E -2.08%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-17 09:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -8.01%E -3.98%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 08:59
ReBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -8.01%E -3.98%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 08:59
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 09:00
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 09:00
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 09:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 09:00
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.75%E -5.51%K -11.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 09:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.34%E -2.08%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 09:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.34%E -2.08%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 09:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 08:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.55%E -3.74%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 09:00
PlayUp🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 09:00
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 09:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -12.58%E -6.59%K -13.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-17 09:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.55%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 09:06
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 09:10
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 09:00
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 09:09
GTbets🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 08:59
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 09:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.79%EV -8.92%E -4.48%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 09:00
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.75%E -5.51%K -11.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 09:00
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.97%E -1.40%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 09:10
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.97%E -1.40%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 09:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.97%E -1.40%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 09:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.97%E -1.40%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 09:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.97%E -1.40%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 09:10
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 09:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 09:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.34%E -2.08%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:09
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.97%E -1.40%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 09:10
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 09:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 09:10
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 09:10
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 09:00
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 09:10
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-17 09:10
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 09:00
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 09:00
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 09:00
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 09:10
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 09:10
DraftKings🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -4.34%E -2.08%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 09:10
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.26%E -4.25%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.690%E +0.314%K +0.575%G +0.004%3.9%2026-06-17 09:07
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -7.26%E -4.25%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-17 09:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 09:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.26%E -2.54%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 09:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.26%E -2.54%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 09:10
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -8.35%E -4.94%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-17 09:10
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -8.35%E -4.94%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-17 09:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -8.89%E -5.29%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 09:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.89%E -5.29%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-17 09:10
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.43%E -5.65%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 09:10
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.43%E -5.65%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.43%E -5.65%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 09:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -10.52%E -6.37%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-17 09:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.70%EV -11.06%E -6.74%K -17.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.30%EV -9.38%E -4.74%K -9.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-17 09:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-06-17 09:11
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-17 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-17 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-17 09:10
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-06-17 09:10
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-06-17 09:10