L’École des cotes

Donna Vekic v Alexandra Eala

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-17 10:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Donna Vekic (Local)

Prévision 54.23%1.84cote équitable
EV +1.41%
Avantage +0.756%
Kelly +1.62%
Croissance +0.023%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%54.12%54.23%56.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.641.741.741.8760.98%57.34%57.47%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alexandra Eala (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.77%2.18cote équitable
EV +0.690%
Avantage +0.314%
Kelly +0.575%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.73%45.88%45.77%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.872.052.052.2053.48%48.72%48.78%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +1.41%E +0.756%K +1.62%G +0.023%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -14.41%E -7.71%K -16.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-17 09:00
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.756%E -0.413%K -0.910%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 09:00
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.30%E -0.713%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.55%E -3.74%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 09:00
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.30%E -0.713%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.55%E -3.74%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-17 09:00
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -4.34%E -2.08%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-17 09:00
Unibet (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -8.01%E -3.98%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 08:59
ReBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -8.01%E -3.98%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 08:59
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-17 09:00
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 09:00
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 09:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 09:00
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.38%E -1.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.75%E -5.51%K -11.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-17 09:00
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.34%E -2.08%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 09:10
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -4.34%E -2.08%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-17 09:10
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 08:59
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.55%E -3.74%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-17 09:00
PlayUp1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.47%E -1.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-17 09:00
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-17 09:00
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -4.01%E -2.27%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -12.58%E -6.59%K -13.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-17 09:09
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.55%E -2.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 09:06
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-17 09:10
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 09:00
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 09:09
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 08:59
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-17 09:09
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.79%EV -8.92%E -4.48%K -9.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 09:00
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.09%E -2.91%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.75%E -5.51%K -11.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-17 09:00
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.97%E -1.40%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 09:10
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.97%E -1.40%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 09:10
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.97%E -1.40%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 09:10
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.97%E -1.40%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 09:10
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.97%E -1.40%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-17 09:10
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 09:10
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-17 09:10
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.64%E -3.24%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.34%E -2.08%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 09:09
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.97%E -1.40%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-17 09:10
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 09:10
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 09:10
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 09:10
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 09:00
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 09:10
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-17 09:10
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 09:00
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 09:00
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.18%E -3.57%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 09:00
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 09:10
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-17 09:10
DraftKings1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -6.72%E -3.91%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -4.34%E -2.08%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-17 09:10
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.26%E -4.25%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.690%E +0.314%K +0.575%G +0.004%3.9%2026-06-17 09:07
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -7.26%E -4.25%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-17 09:10
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.80%E -2.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 09:10
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.26%E -2.54%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 09:10
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.81%E -4.59%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.26%E -2.54%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-17 09:10
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -8.35%E -4.94%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-17 09:10
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -8.35%E -4.94%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-17 09:10
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -8.89%E -5.29%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -6.18%E -3.01%K -5.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.89%E -5.29%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -8.46%E -4.23%K -8.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-17 09:10
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.43%E -5.65%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 09:10
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.43%E -5.65%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.43%E -5.65%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-17 09:10
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -10.52%E -6.37%K -16.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -3.89%E -1.85%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-17 09:10
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.70%EV -11.06%E -6.74%K -17.28%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.30%EV -9.38%E -4.74%K -9.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-17 09:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-06-17 09:11
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-17 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-17 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-06-17 09:10
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.0%2026-06-17 09:10
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-06-17 09:10