Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexandra Eala v Elena Rybakina

Kickoff: 2026-06-18 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexandra Eala (Local)

Prediction 18.16%5.51fair odd
EV +14.22%
Edge +2.26%
Kelly +2.69%
Growth +0.382%

assuming max odds 6.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.23%18.11%18.01%21.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.305.115.006.2923.26%19.58%20.00%15.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Elena Rybakina (Visit)

Prediction 81.84%1.22fair odd
EV -0.973%
Edge -0.804%
Kelly -4.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.47%81.89%81.99%84.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.151.151.2190.91%86.67%86.96%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexandra Eala (Local): 18.16%; Elena Rybakina (Visit): 81.84%. For Alexandra Eala (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.51. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.29, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.22%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯6.29I 15.90%NM 15.23%EV +14.22%E +2.26%K +2.69%G +0.382%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.77%EV -7.52%E -6.65%K -57.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-18 15:40
Unibet (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +8.95%E +1.49%K +1.79%G +0.160%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -8.34%E -7.44%K -69.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-18 15:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +8.95%E +1.49%K +1.79%G +0.160%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -9.16%E -8.25%K -83.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 15:40
Coolbet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +5.32%E +0.918%K +1.11%G +0.059%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.70%E -5.88%K -47.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 15:40
Unibet (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +4.41%E +0.768%K +0.929%G +0.041%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.70%E -5.88%K -47.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 15:40
Casumo🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +4.41%E +0.768%K +0.929%G +0.041%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.70%E -5.88%K -47.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 15:40
ATG (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +4.41%E +0.768%K +0.929%G +0.041%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.70%E -5.88%K -47.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 15:40
Svenska Spel🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +4.41%E +0.768%K +0.929%G +0.041%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.70%E -5.88%K -47.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 15:40
theScore Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +4.41%E +0.768%K +0.929%G +0.041%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -7.52%E -6.65%K -57.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 15:40
Fanatics🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV +3.51%E +0.615%K +0.746%G +0.026%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.70%EV -9.16%E -8.25%K -83.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-18 15:40
FanDuel🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.125%E -0.023%K -0.028%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.88%E -5.12%K -39.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 15:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.125%E -0.023%K -0.028%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.88%E -5.12%K -39.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 15:40
TABtouch🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.125%E -0.023%K -0.028%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.70%E -5.88%K -47.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 15:40
Grosvenor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.125%E -0.023%K -0.028%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.70%E -5.88%K -47.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 15:40
Winamax (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -0.125%E -0.023%K -0.028%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -9.16%E -8.25%K -83.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-18 15:40
Unibet (NL)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -1.94%E -0.359%K -0.441%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.88%E -5.12%K -39.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 15:40
Unibet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -1.94%E -0.359%K -0.441%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.88%E -5.12%K -39.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 15:40
BetRivers🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -1.94%E -0.359%K -0.441%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -6.70%E -5.88%K -47.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 15:40
LiveScore Bet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -1.94%E -0.359%K -0.441%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -7.52%E -6.65%K -57.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 15:40
Winamax (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.92%EV -1.94%E -0.359%K -0.441%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.08%EV -9.98%E -9.07%K -99.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-18 15:40
Fliff🎯5.35I 18.69%NM 17.18%EV -2.85%E -0.532%K -0.655%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.82%EV -9.16%E -8.25%K -83.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-18 15:40
LeoVegas🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -3.76%E -0.709%K -0.874%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -8.34%E -7.44%K -69.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-18 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -4.66%E -0.889%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -8.34%E -7.44%K -69.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-18 15:40
betPARX🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.57%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.06%E -4.37%K -31.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 15:39
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -5.57%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -8.34%E -7.44%K -69.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-18 15:40
Virgin Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -7.39%E -1.45%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -6.70%E -5.88%K -47.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-18 15:40
Bally Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -7.39%E -1.45%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -6.70%E -5.88%K -47.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-18 15:40
Betclic (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -7.39%E -1.45%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -8.34%E -7.44%K -69.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-18 15:39
PMU (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.74%EV -7.39%E -1.45%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 82.26%EV -9.98%E -9.07%K -99.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-18 15:40
1xBet🎯5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -8.30%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -3.43%E -2.90%K -19.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-18 15:30
Pinnacle🎯5.03I 19.88%NM 19.39%EV -8.66%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.61%EV -0.973%E -0.804%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-18 15:31
Bovada🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -9.20%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.43%E -2.90%K -19.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 15:29
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -9.20%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.43%E -2.90%K -19.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 15:30
Dabble (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.20%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.25%E -3.63%K -24.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 15:39
BetUS🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.20%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.25%E -3.63%K -24.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 15:30
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.20%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.70%E -5.88%K -47.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-18 15:40
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.20%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.70%E -5.88%K -47.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-18 15:40
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.20%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.70%E -5.88%K -47.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-18 15:39
GTbets🎯4.91I 20.37%NM 19.11%EV -10.84%E -2.21%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.89%EV -5.06%E -4.37%K -31.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-18 15:29
Unibet (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -11.02%E -2.25%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.43%E -2.90%K -19.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 15:28
ReBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -11.02%E -2.25%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.43%E -2.90%K -19.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 15:29
Marathon Bet🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -11.93%E -2.46%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -3.43%E -2.90%K -19.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 15:29
PlayUp🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -11.93%E -2.46%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.25%E -3.63%K -24.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-18 15:39
BetOnline.ag🎯4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -12.29%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -1.79%E -1.49%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-18 15:30
LowVig.ag🎯4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -12.29%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -1.79%E -1.49%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-18 15:30
BetAnything🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -12.84%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -3.43%E -2.90%K -19.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:30
Coral🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -12.84%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -5.88%E -5.12%K -39.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-18 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -12.84%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -5.88%E -5.12%K -39.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-18 15:40
NetBet (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -12.84%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -5.88%E -5.12%K -39.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-18 15:30
Bet Victor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -13.74%E -2.89%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -4.25%E -3.63%K -24.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-18 15:39
Betsson🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -13.74%E -2.89%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -5.06%E -4.37%K -31.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-18 15:30
NordicBet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -13.74%E -2.89%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -5.06%E -4.37%K -31.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-18 15:30
SportsBet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -15.56%E -3.35%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -4.25%E -3.63%K -24.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 15:30
Bet Right🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -16.47%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -1.79%E -1.49%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 15:35
TAB🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -16.47%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -5.06%E -4.37%K -31.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-18 15:30
Betr (AU)🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -17.38%E -3.82%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -2.61%E -2.19%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-18 15:35
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -18.28%E -4.06%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -1.79%E -1.49%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:30
betfred_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -18.28%E -4.06%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -3.43%E -2.90%K -19.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 15:30
BetMGM🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -18.28%E -4.06%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -3.43%E -2.90%K -19.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 15:40
Neds🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -20.10%E -4.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -3.43%E -2.90%K -19.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-18 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -20.10%E -4.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -3.43%E -2.90%K -19.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-18 15:30
Caesars🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -20.10%E -4.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -3.43%E -2.90%K -19.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-18 15:30
Everygame🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -21.92%E -5.10%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -3.43%E -2.90%K -19.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-18 15:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-06-18 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-06-18 15:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-06-18 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-06-18 15:40
Matchbook6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%2.1%2026-06-18 15:40
Novig5.41I 18.48%NM 17.28%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.72%7.0%2026-06-18 15:41