L’École des cotes

Alexandra Eala v Elena Rybakina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-18 16:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alexandra Eala (Local)

Prévision 18.16%5.51cote équitable
EV +14.22%
Avantage +2.26%
Kelly +2.69%
Croissance +0.382%

avec la cote maximale 6.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.23%18.11%18.01%21.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.305.115.006.2923.26%19.58%20.00%15.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elena Rybakina (Visiteur)

Prévision 81.84%1.22cote équitable
EV -0.973%
Avantage -0.804%
Kelly -4.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
78.47%81.89%81.99%84.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.101.151.151.2190.91%86.67%86.96%82.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings6.29I 15.90%NM 15.23%EV +14.22%E +2.26%K +2.69%G +0.382%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.77%EV -7.52%E -6.65%K -57.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-18 15:40
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +8.95%E +1.49%K +1.79%G +0.160%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -8.34%E -7.44%K -69.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-18 15:40
PointsBet (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +8.95%E +1.49%K +1.79%G +0.160%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -9.16%E -8.25%K -83.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 15:40
Coolbet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +5.32%E +0.918%K +1.11%G +0.059%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.70%E -5.88%K -47.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 15:40
Unibet (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +4.41%E +0.768%K +0.929%G +0.041%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.70%E -5.88%K -47.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 15:40
Casumo5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +4.41%E +0.768%K +0.929%G +0.041%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.70%E -5.88%K -47.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 15:40
ATG (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +4.41%E +0.768%K +0.929%G +0.041%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.70%E -5.88%K -47.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 15:40
Svenska Spel5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +4.41%E +0.768%K +0.929%G +0.041%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.70%E -5.88%K -47.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 15:40
theScore Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +4.41%E +0.768%K +0.929%G +0.041%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -7.52%E -6.65%K -57.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 15:40
Fanatics5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV +3.51%E +0.615%K +0.746%G +0.026%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.70%EV -9.16%E -8.25%K -83.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-18 15:40
FanDuel5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.125%E -0.023%K -0.028%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.88%E -5.12%K -39.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 15:40
Hard Rock Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.125%E -0.023%K -0.028%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.88%E -5.12%K -39.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 15:40
TABtouch5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.125%E -0.023%K -0.028%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.70%E -5.88%K -47.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 15:40
Grosvenor5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.125%E -0.023%K -0.028%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.70%E -5.88%K -47.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 15:40
Winamax (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -0.125%E -0.023%K -0.028%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -9.16%E -8.25%K -83.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-18 15:40
Unibet (NL)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -1.94%E -0.359%K -0.441%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.88%E -5.12%K -39.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 15:40
Unibet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -1.94%E -0.359%K -0.441%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.88%E -5.12%K -39.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 15:40
BetRivers5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -1.94%E -0.359%K -0.441%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -6.70%E -5.88%K -47.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 15:40
LiveScore Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -1.94%E -0.359%K -0.441%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -7.52%E -6.65%K -57.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 15:40
Winamax (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.92%EV -1.94%E -0.359%K -0.441%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.08%EV -9.98%E -9.07%K -99.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-18 15:40
Fliff5.35I 18.69%NM 17.18%EV -2.85%E -0.532%K -0.655%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.82%EV -9.16%E -8.25%K -83.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-18 15:40
LeoVegas5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -3.76%E -0.709%K -0.874%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -8.34%E -7.44%K -69.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-18 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -4.66%E -0.889%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -8.34%E -7.44%K -69.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-18 15:40
betPARX5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.57%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.06%E -4.37%K -31.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 15:39
Tipico (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -5.57%E -1.07%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.28%EV -8.34%E -7.44%K -69.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-18 15:40
Virgin Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -7.39%E -1.45%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -6.70%E -5.88%K -47.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-18 15:40
Bally Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -7.39%E -1.45%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -6.70%E -5.88%K -47.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-18 15:40
Betclic (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -7.39%E -1.45%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -8.34%E -7.44%K -69.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-18 15:39
PMU (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.74%EV -7.39%E -1.45%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 82.26%EV -9.98%E -9.07%K -99.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-18 15:40
1xBet5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -8.30%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -3.43%E -2.90%K -19.04%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-18 15:30
Pinnacle5.03I 19.88%NM 19.39%EV -8.66%E -1.72%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.61%EV -0.973%E -0.804%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-18 15:31
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -9.20%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.43%E -2.90%K -19.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 15:29
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -9.20%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.43%E -2.90%K -19.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 15:30
Dabble (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.20%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.25%E -3.63%K -24.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 15:39
BetUS5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.20%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.25%E -3.63%K -24.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 15:30
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.20%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.70%E -5.88%K -47.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-18 15:40
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.20%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.70%E -5.88%K -47.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-18 15:40
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.20%E -1.84%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.70%E -5.88%K -47.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-18 15:39
GTbets4.91I 20.37%NM 19.11%EV -10.84%E -2.21%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.89%EV -5.06%E -4.37%K -31.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-18 15:29
Unibet (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -11.02%E -2.25%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.43%E -2.90%K -19.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 15:28
ReBet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -11.02%E -2.25%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -3.43%E -2.90%K -19.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 15:29
Marathon Bet4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -11.93%E -2.46%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -3.43%E -2.90%K -19.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 15:29
PlayUp4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -11.93%E -2.46%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.25%E -3.63%K -24.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-18 15:39
BetOnline.ag4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -12.29%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -1.79%E -1.49%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-18 15:30
LowVig.ag4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -12.29%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -1.79%E -1.49%K -8.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-18 15:30
BetAnything4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -12.84%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -3.43%E -2.90%K -19.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:30
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -12.84%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -5.88%E -5.12%K -39.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-18 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -12.84%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -5.88%E -5.12%K -39.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-18 15:40
NetBet (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -12.84%E -2.67%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -5.88%E -5.12%K -39.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-18 15:30
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -13.74%E -2.89%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -4.25%E -3.63%K -24.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-18 15:39
Betsson4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -13.74%E -2.89%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -5.06%E -4.37%K -31.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-18 15:30
NordicBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -13.74%E -2.89%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -5.06%E -4.37%K -31.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-18 15:30
SportsBet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -15.56%E -3.35%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -4.25%E -3.63%K -24.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 15:30
Bet Right4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -16.47%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -1.79%E -1.49%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 15:35
TAB4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -16.47%E -3.58%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -5.06%E -4.37%K -31.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-18 15:30
Betr (AU)4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -17.38%E -3.82%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -2.61%E -2.19%K -13.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-18 15:35
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -18.28%E -4.06%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -1.79%E -1.49%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-18 15:30
betfred_uk4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -18.28%E -4.06%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -3.43%E -2.90%K -19.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 15:30
BetMGM4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -18.28%E -4.06%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -3.43%E -2.90%K -19.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 15:40
Neds4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -20.10%E -4.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -3.43%E -2.90%K -19.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-18 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -20.10%E -4.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -3.43%E -2.90%K -19.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-18 15:30
Caesars4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -20.10%E -4.57%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -3.43%E -2.90%K -19.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-18 15:30
Everygame4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -21.92%E -5.10%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -3.43%E -2.90%K -19.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-18 15:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97%0.8%2026-06-18 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-06-18 15:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-06-18 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-06-18 15:40
Matchbook6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32%1.17I 85.47%NM 83.68%2.1%2026-06-18 15:40
Novig5.41I 18.48%NM 17.28%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.72%7.0%2026-06-18 15:41