Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Xiyu Wang v Yuliia Starodubtseva

Kickoff: 2026-05-29 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Xiyu Wang (Local)

Prediction 37.33%2.68fair odd
EV +4.16%
Edge +1.49%
Kelly +2.33%
Growth +0.097%

assuming max odds 2.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.97%37.46%37.36%39.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.522.502.7942.55%39.63%40.00%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visit)

Prediction 62.67%1.60fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -2.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.10%62.54%62.64%65.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.521.521.5768.49%65.77%65.79%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Xiyu Wang (Local): 37.33%; Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visit): 62.67%. For Xiyu Wang (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.79, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.16%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.97%EV +4.16%E +1.49%K +2.33%G +0.097%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.03%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-29 08:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -1.06%E -0.401%K -0.644%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -4.75%E -3.12%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-29 07:10
TAB🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -1.06%E -0.401%K -0.644%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -8.51%E -5.83%K -18.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 08:48
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.93%E -1.13%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.87%E -1.85%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-29 08:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.93%E -1.13%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.12%E -2.69%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-29 07:29
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.93%E -1.13%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.75%E -3.12%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 07:29
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.93%E -1.13%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.38%E -3.56%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 07:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -2.93%E -1.13%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.63%E -4.45%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 07:09
SportsBet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -3.30%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 07:47
Betclic (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -4.05%E -1.58%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 08:46
NetBet (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -4.05%E -1.58%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -7.26%E -4.90%K -15.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-29 08:39
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.88%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.12%E -2.69%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 06:09
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.80%E -1.88%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.75%E -3.12%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 07:29
MyBookie.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.80%E -1.88%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.75%E -3.12%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 07:38
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.80%E -1.88%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 08:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.80%E -1.88%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 06:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.80%E -1.88%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 07:29
Everygame🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.80%E -1.88%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 08:49
BetMGM🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -5.17%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 06:09
DraftKings🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.38%EV -5.54%E -2.19%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.62%EV -5.38%E -3.56%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 06:09
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -6.29%E -2.51%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -3.50%E -2.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 08:49
Betsson🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.41%EV -6.29%E -2.51%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.59%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-29 07:29
NordicBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.41%EV -6.29%E -2.51%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.59%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-29 07:29
GTbets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.24%E -1.44%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 06:00
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.50%E -2.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 07:59
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.50%E -2.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 07:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.50%E -2.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 07:59
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.50%E -2.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 07:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.50%E -2.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 07:59
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.50%E -2.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 07:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.50%E -2.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 08:00
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.50%E -2.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 08:00
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.50%E -2.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 07:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.50%E -2.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 08:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.50%E -2.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 07:59
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.50%E -2.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 07:59
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.50%E -2.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 07:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.50%E -2.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 07:59
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.12%E -2.69%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 08:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.12%E -2.69%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 08:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.12%E -2.69%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 08:20
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.12%E -2.69%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 06:09
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.12%E -2.69%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 06:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.12%E -2.69%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 07:29
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.75%E -3.12%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 06:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.75%E -3.12%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 06:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.38%E -3.56%K -10.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 08:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.38%E -3.56%K -10.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 07:29
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 07:29
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 07:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.26%E -4.90%K -15.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 06:09
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.26%E -4.90%K -15.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 06:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -7.41%E -2.99%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -4.75%E -3.12%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 05:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -7.41%E -2.99%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -4.75%E -3.12%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 05:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -7.41%E -2.99%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -5.38%E -3.56%K -10.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-29 05:59
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.40%E -4.33%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 06:09
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -11.14%E -4.68%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.62%E -1.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 07:09
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -12.26%E -5.22%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -2.24%E -1.44%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 02:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-05-29 08:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-05-29 08:49
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-05-29 08:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%1.1%2026-05-29 08:49
Novig2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.0%2026-05-29 08:49
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.4%2026-05-29 08:49