L’École des cotes

Xiyu Wang v Yuliia Starodubtseva

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-29 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Xiyu Wang (Local)

Prévision 37.33%2.68cote équitable
EV +4.16%
Avantage +1.49%
Kelly +2.33%
Croissance +0.097%

avec la cote maximale 2.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.97%37.46%37.36%39.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.522.502.7942.55%39.63%40.00%35.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visiteur)

Prévision 62.67%1.60cote équitable
EV -1.62%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -2.83%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.10%62.54%62.64%65.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.461.521.521.5768.49%65.77%65.79%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.79I 35.84%NM 34.97%EV +4.16%E +1.49%K +2.33%G +0.097%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.03%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-29 08:49
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -1.06%E -0.401%K -0.644%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -4.75%E -3.12%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-29 07:10
TAB2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -1.06%E -0.401%K -0.644%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -8.51%E -5.83%K -18.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 08:48
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.93%E -1.13%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.87%E -1.85%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-29 08:49
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.93%E -1.13%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.12%E -2.69%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-29 07:29
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.93%E -1.13%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.75%E -3.12%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 07:29
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.93%E -1.13%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.38%E -3.56%K -10.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 07:30
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -2.93%E -1.13%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -6.63%E -4.45%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 07:09
SportsBet2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -3.30%E -1.28%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 07:47
Betclic (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 36.86%EV -4.05%E -1.58%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 08:46
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -4.05%E -1.58%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -7.26%E -4.90%K -15.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-29 08:39
Fanatics2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.80%E -1.88%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.12%E -2.69%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-29 06:09
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.80%E -1.88%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.75%E -3.12%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 07:29
MyBookie.ag2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.80%E -1.88%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.75%E -3.12%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 07:38
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.80%E -1.88%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 08:49
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.80%E -1.88%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 06:09
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.80%E -1.88%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 07:29
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.80%E -1.88%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 08:49
BetMGM2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -5.17%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 06:09
DraftKings2.53I 39.53%NM 37.38%EV -5.54%E -2.19%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.62%EV -5.38%E -3.56%K -10.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 06:09
1xBet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -6.29%E -2.51%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -3.50%E -2.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 08:49
Betsson2.51I 39.84%NM 37.41%EV -6.29%E -2.51%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.59%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-29 07:29
NordicBet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.41%EV -6.29%E -2.51%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.59%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-29 07:29
GTbets2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.24%E -1.44%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-29 06:00
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.50%E -2.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 07:59
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.50%E -2.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 07:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.50%E -2.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 07:59
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.50%E -2.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 07:59
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.50%E -2.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 07:59
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.50%E -2.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 07:59
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.50%E -2.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 08:00
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.50%E -2.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 08:00
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.50%E -2.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 07:59
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.50%E -2.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 08:00
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.50%E -2.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 07:59
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.50%E -2.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 07:59
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.50%E -2.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 07:59
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.50%E -2.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 07:59
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.12%E -2.69%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 08:19
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.12%E -2.69%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 08:20
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.12%E -2.69%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 08:20
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.12%E -2.69%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 06:09
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.12%E -2.69%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 06:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.12%E -2.69%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 07:29
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.75%E -3.12%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 06:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.75%E -3.12%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 06:09
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.38%E -3.56%K -10.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 08:49
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.38%E -3.56%K -10.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 07:29
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 07:29
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 07:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.26%E -4.90%K -15.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 06:09
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.66%E -2.67%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.26%E -4.90%K -15.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 06:09
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -7.41%E -2.99%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -4.75%E -3.12%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 05:59
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -7.41%E -2.99%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -4.75%E -3.12%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 05:59
PMU (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -7.41%E -2.99%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -5.38%E -3.56%K -10.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-29 05:59
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.40%E -4.33%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.00%E -4.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 06:09
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -11.14%E -4.68%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.62%E -1.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-29 07:09
Caesars2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -12.26%E -5.22%K -9.08%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -2.24%E -1.44%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-29 02:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-05-29 08:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-05-29 08:49
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-05-29 08:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%1.1%2026-05-29 08:49
Novig2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.0%2026-05-29 08:49
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.4%2026-05-29 08:49