Language:English
Tatjana Maria v Elise Mertens
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tatjana Maria (Local)
Prediction 9.00%11.11fair odd
EV +17.03%
Edge +1.31%
Kelly +1.42%
Growth +0.242%
assuming max odds 13.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.47%9.23%9.01%11.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.0010.1010.0013.0012.50%9.90%10.00%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elise Mertens (Visit)
Prediction 91.00%1.10fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -37.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
88.30%90.77%90.99%92.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.051.051.0798.04%95.25%95.24%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tatjana Maria (Local): 9.00%; Elise Mertens (Visit): 91.00%. For Tatjana Maria (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.11. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +17.03%E +1.31%K +1.42%G +0.242% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-25 10:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +12.53%E +1.00%K +1.09%G +0.136% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -5.36%E -5.16%K -134.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +8.03%E +0.669%K +0.730%G +0.059% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-25 00:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +8.03%E +0.669%K +0.730%G +0.059% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +8.03%E +0.669%K +0.730%G +0.059% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.36%E -5.16%K -134.06%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 00:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +8.03%E +0.669%K +0.730%G +0.059% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.27%E -6.09%K -209.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 11:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +8.03%E +0.669%K +0.730%G +0.059% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -7.18%E -7.04%K -359.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-22 21:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 11.63I 8.60%NM 8.28%EV +4.70%E +0.404%K +0.442%G +0.021% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.72%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +3.53%E +0.307%K +0.336%G +0.012% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.36%E -5.16%K -134.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 11.41I 8.76%NM 8.43%EV +2.72%E +0.238%K +0.261%G +0.007% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.57%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -0.975%E -0.089%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 02:18 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.975%E -0.089%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.36%E -5.16%K -134.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 11:18 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.975%E -0.089%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.36%E -5.16%K -134.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 11:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.975%E -0.089%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.36%E -5.16%K -134.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 00:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.975%E -0.089%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.36%E -5.16%K -134.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 10:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -0.975%E -0.089%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.27%E -6.09%K -209.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 13:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 10.70I 9.35%NM 9.01%EV -3.68%E -0.344%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.99%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -5.48%E -0.522%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.36%E -5.16%K -134.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 11:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -5.48%E -0.522%K -0.576%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.36%E -5.16%K -134.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -7.73%E -0.754%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.36%E -5.16%K -134.06%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -9.98%E -0.998%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 20:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.98%E -0.998%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.98%E -0.998%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 19:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.98%E -0.998%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.98%E -0.998%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.36%E -5.16%K -134.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.98%E -0.998%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.36%E -5.16%K -134.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.98%E -0.998%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.36%E -5.16%K -134.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.98%E -0.998%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.36%E -5.16%K -134.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 10:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.98%E -0.998%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.36%E -5.16%K -134.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -9.98%E -0.998%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.27%E -6.09%K -209.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 07:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.63%EV -10.43%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.37%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV -10.88%E -1.10%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-22 21:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -2.63%E -2.46%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 22:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 22:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 22:38 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 22:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 22:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 22:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 22:38 |
| betPARX🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 22:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 22:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 22:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-22 22:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 19:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -16.73%E -1.81%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 11:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.64I 11.57%NM 10.84%EV -22.22%E -2.57%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.16%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.64I 11.57%NM 10.84%EV -22.22%E -2.57%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.16%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -23.48%E -2.76%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-22 22:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -23.48%E -2.76%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-22 22:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -23.48%E -2.76%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-22 22:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -25.73%E -3.12%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -2.63%E -2.46%K -37.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -27.98%E -3.50%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-23 10:46 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -27.98%E -3.50%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 11:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40% | 1.2% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40% | 1.2% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40% | 1.2% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40% | 1.2% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Novig◎ | 11.63I 8.60%NM 8.43% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.57% | 2.1% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25% | 3.2% | 2026-05-25 11:20 |