La escuela de los momios

Tatjana Maria v Elise Mertens

Inicio: 2026-05-25 11:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tatjana Maria (Local)

Predicción 9.00%11.11momio equitativo
EV +17.03%
Ventaja +1.31%
Kelly +1.42%
Crecimiento +0.242%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 13.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.47%9.23%9.01%11.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.0010.1010.0013.0012.50%9.90%10.00%7.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Elise Mertens (Visitante)

Predicción 91.00%1.10momio equitativo
EV -2.63%
Ventaja -2.46%
Kelly -37.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
88.30%90.77%90.99%92.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.021.051.051.0798.04%95.25%95.24%93.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Coolbet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +17.03%E +1.31%K +1.42%G +0.242%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-25 10:00
Winamax (DE)12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +12.53%E +1.00%K +1.09%G +0.136%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -5.36%E -5.16%K -134.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 11:10
Paddy Power12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +8.03%E +0.669%K +0.730%G +0.059%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-25 00:49
Codere (IT)12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +8.03%E +0.669%K +0.730%G +0.059%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-25 09:20
FanDuel12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +8.03%E +0.669%K +0.730%G +0.059%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.36%E -5.16%K -134.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 00:49
Betclic (FR)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +8.03%E +0.669%K +0.730%G +0.059%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.27%E -6.09%K -209.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 11:09
Tipico (DE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +8.03%E +0.669%K +0.730%G +0.059%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -7.18%E -7.04%K -359.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-22 21:29
Pinnacle11.63I 8.60%NM 8.28%EV +4.70%E +0.404%K +0.442%G +0.021%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.72%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-25 11:00
Winamax (FR)11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +3.53%E +0.307%K +0.336%G +0.012%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.36%E -5.16%K -134.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 09:20
BetOnline.ag11.41I 8.76%NM 8.43%EV +2.72%E +0.238%K +0.261%G +0.007%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.57%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 11:20
Bovada11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -0.975%E -0.089%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 02:18
Marathon Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.975%E -0.089%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.36%E -5.16%K -134.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 11:18
MyBookie.ag11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.975%E -0.089%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.36%E -5.16%K -134.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 11:09
SportsBet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.975%E -0.089%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.36%E -5.16%K -134.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 00:49
William Hill11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.975%E -0.089%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.36%E -5.16%K -134.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 10:30
NetBet (FR)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -0.975%E -0.089%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.27%E -6.09%K -209.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 13:30
DraftKings10.70I 9.35%NM 9.01%EV -3.68%E -0.344%K -0.379%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.99%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-25 11:20
Unibet (FR)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -5.48%E -0.522%K -0.576%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.36%E -5.16%K -134.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 11:09
Fanatics10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -5.48%E -0.522%K -0.576%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.36%E -5.16%K -134.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 11:10
Betr (AU)10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -7.73%E -0.754%K -0.835%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.36%E -5.16%K -134.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 11:20
BoyleSports10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -9.98%E -0.998%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 20:00
Neds10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.98%E -0.998%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.98%E -0.998%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 19:39
Bet Right10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.98%E -0.998%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 11:20
888sport10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.98%E -0.998%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.36%E -5.16%K -134.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 11:20
PointsBet (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.98%E -0.998%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.36%E -5.16%K -134.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 11:20
Mr Green (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.98%E -0.998%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.36%E -5.16%K -134.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 11:20
Everygame10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.98%E -0.998%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.36%E -5.16%K -134.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 10:40
888sport (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.98%E -0.998%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.36%E -5.16%K -134.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 11:20
Betway10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -9.98%E -0.998%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.27%E -6.09%K -209.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 07:30
1xBet9.95I 10.05%NM 9.63%EV -10.43%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.37%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 11:20
GTbets9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV -10.88%E -1.10%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-22 21:29
PlayUp9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -2.63%E -2.46%K -37.61%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 11:20
Unibet (SE)9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 22:39
Unibet (NL)9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 22:39
BetRivers9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 22:38
Grosvenor9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 22:39
Casumo9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 22:40
LeoVegas9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 22:40
Unibet9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 22:39
TABtouch9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 22:39
Bally Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 22:38
betPARX9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 22:39
Hard Rock Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 22:39
ATG (SE)9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 22:39
Svenska Spel9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 22:39
Coral9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -14.48%E -1.52%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 19:39
BetMGM9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -16.73%E -1.81%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 11:19
NordicBet8.64I 11.57%NM 10.84%EV -22.22%E -2.57%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.16%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 11:20
Betsson8.64I 11.57%NM 10.84%EV -22.22%E -2.57%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.16%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 11:20
Virgin Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -23.48%E -2.76%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 22:39
LiveScore Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -23.48%E -2.76%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 22:40
PMU (FR)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -23.48%E -2.76%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 22:40
theScore Bet8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -25.73%E -3.12%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -2.63%E -2.46%K -37.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 11:20
Caesars8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -27.98%E -3.50%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -3.54%E -3.34%K -59.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 10:46
Bet Victor8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -27.98%E -3.50%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -4.45%E -4.24%K -89.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 11:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40%1.2%2026-05-25 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40%1.2%2026-05-25 11:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40%1.2%2026-05-25 11:20
Matchbook13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40%1.2%2026-05-25 11:20
Novig11.63I 8.60%NM 8.43%1.07I 93.46%NM 91.57%2.1%2026-05-25 11:20
Smarkets12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25%3.2%2026-05-25 11:20