Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maya Joint v Anastasia Potapova

Kickoff: 2026-05-25 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maya Joint (Local)

Prediction 5.60%17.86fair odd
EV +465.56%
Edge +4.61%
Kelly +4.66%
Growth +21.67%

assuming max odds 101.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
0.98%6.85%4.88%16.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.6022.2116.00101.0017.86%4.50%6.25%0.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anastasia Potapova (Visit)

Prediction 94.40%1.06fair odd
EV +7.62%
Edge +6.68%
Kelly +54.40%
Growth +4.14%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.09%93.15%95.12%99.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.041.011.14100.00%95.95%99.01%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maya Joint (Local): 5.60%; Anastasia Potapova (Visit): 94.40%. For Maya Joint (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 17.86. 26 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 101.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +465.56%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯101.00I 0.99%NM 0.98%EV +465.56%E +4.61%K +4.66%G +21.67%1.00I 100.00%NM 99.02%EV -5.60%E -5.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.0%2026-05-25 13:50
Pinnacle🎯77.89I 1.28%NM 1.28%EV +336.15%E +4.32%K +4.37%G +14.70%1.01I 99.01%NM 98.72%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%0.3%2026-05-25 13:40
Coral🎯71.00I 1.41%NM 1.39%EV +297.57%E +4.19%K +4.25%G +12.65%1.00I 100.00%NM 98.61%EV -5.60%E -5.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.4%2026-05-25 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯71.00I 1.41%NM 1.39%EV +297.57%E +4.19%K +4.25%G +12.65%1.00I 100.00%NM 98.61%EV -5.60%E -5.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.4%2026-05-25 13:50
DraftKings🎯70.00I 1.43%NM 1.41%EV +291.97%E +4.17%K +4.23%G +12.35%1.00I 100.00%NM 98.59%EV -5.60%E -5.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.4%2026-05-25 13:50
Paddy Power🎯67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +275.17%E +4.11%K +4.17%G +11.47%1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -5.60%E -5.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.5%2026-05-25 13:49
theScore Bet🎯41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +129.58%E +3.16%K +3.24%G +4.20%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -5.60%E -5.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-25 13:27
BetMGM🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +90.39%E +2.66%K +2.74%G +2.48%1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-25 13:30
BoyleSports🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +90.39%E +2.66%K +2.74%G +2.48%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.60%E -5.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-25 13:30
Fanatics🎯31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV +73.59%E +2.37%K +2.45%G +1.81%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.88%EV -5.60%E -5.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-25 13:40
Bovada🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +62.39%E +2.15%K +2.23%G +1.39%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.60%E -5.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-25 13:29
Winamax (FR)🎯25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +39.99%E +1.60%K +1.67%G +0.666%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-25 13:47
Winamax (DE)🎯25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +39.99%E +1.60%K +1.67%G +0.666%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-25 13:47
Hard Rock Bet🎯23.50I 4.26%NM 4.12%EV +31.59%E +1.34%K +1.40%G +0.444%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.88%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-25 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +28.79%E +1.25%K +1.31%G +0.377%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-25 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +28.79%E +1.25%K +1.31%G +0.377%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-25 13:50
Unibet🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +28.79%E +1.25%K +1.31%G +0.377%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-25 13:49
betPARX🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +28.79%E +1.25%K +1.31%G +0.377%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-25 13:49
ATG (SE)🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +28.79%E +1.25%K +1.31%G +0.377%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-25 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +28.79%E +1.25%K +1.31%G +0.377%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-25 13:50
888sport🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +17.59%E +0.838%K +0.880%G +0.155%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.60%E -5.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 13:20
Caesars🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +17.59%E +0.838%K +0.880%G +0.155%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.60%E -5.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 13:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +17.59%E +0.838%K +0.880%G +0.155%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.60%E -5.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 13:20
888sport (SE)🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +17.59%E +0.838%K +0.880%G +0.155%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.60%E -5.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 13:20
Coolbet🎯20.00I 5.00%NM 4.76%EV +11.99%E +0.600%K +0.631%G +0.076%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.24%EV -5.60%E -5.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 13:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +6.39%E +0.336%K +0.355%G +0.023%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.60%E -5.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 13:47
Betway🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -4.81%E -0.283%K -0.300%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 13:30
Tipico (DE)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -10.41%E -0.650%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 13:16
NordicBet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -16.01%E -1.07%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 13:00
Bet Victor🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV -16.01%E -1.07%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 93.75%EV -5.60%E -5.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 13:48
Betsson🎯14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -18.81%E -1.30%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 13:47
Virgin Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -32.81%E -2.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 13:33
LiveScore Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -32.81%E -2.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 13:34
Grosvenor🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -32.81%E -2.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 13:34
Bally Bet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -32.81%E -2.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 13:10
TAB🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -38.40%E -3.49%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -3.71%E -3.64%K -185.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 13:09
Fliff🎯9.55I 10.47%NM 9.65%EV -46.52%E -4.87%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.35%EV -3.71%E -3.64%K -185.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 13:01
SportsBet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -60.80%E -8.69%K -10.13%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV +3.84%E +3.49%K +38.40%G +1.47%5.2%2026-05-25 12:36
Codere (IT)🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -61.92%E -9.11%K -10.68%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV +5.73%E +5.11%K +47.74%G +2.73%4.0%2026-05-25 12:30
BetOnline.ag🎯6.74I 14.84%NM 14.25%EV -62.26%E -9.24%K -10.85%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.75%EV +5.73%E +5.11%K +47.74%G +2.73%4.1%2026-05-25 12:40
LowVig.ag🎯6.74I 14.84%NM 14.25%EV -62.26%E -9.24%K -10.85%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.75%EV +5.73%E +5.11%K +47.74%G +2.73%4.1%2026-05-25 12:40
MyBookie.ag🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -63.60%E -9.79%K -11.56%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV +5.73%E +5.11%K +47.74%G +2.73%4.7%2026-05-25 12:35
Marathon Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -63.60%E -9.79%K -11.56%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV +4.78%E +4.31%K +43.50%G +2.08%5.5%2026-05-25 12:43
Betr (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -63.60%E -9.79%K -11.56%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV +2.90%E +2.66%K +32.18%G +0.932%7.1%2026-05-25 12:44
Betclic (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -63.60%E -9.79%K -11.56%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV +1.95%E +1.81%K +24.41%G +0.477%8.0%2026-05-25 12:45
NetBet (FR)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -64.16%E -10.03%K -11.88%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV +3.84%E +3.49%K +38.40%G +1.47%6.5%2026-05-25 12:39
Unibet (FR)🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -64.72%E -10.27%K -12.21%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV +5.73%E +5.11%K +47.74%G +2.73%5.2%2026-05-25 12:34
Neds🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -65.00%E -10.40%K -12.38%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV +5.73%E +5.11%K +47.74%G +2.73%5.3%2026-05-25 12:38
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -65.00%E -10.40%K -12.38%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV +5.73%E +5.11%K +47.74%G +2.73%5.3%2026-05-25 12:39
Bet Right🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -65.00%E -10.40%K -12.38%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV +5.73%E +5.11%K +47.74%G +2.73%5.3%2026-05-25 12:39
1xBet🎯6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -66.12%E -10.93%K -13.09%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV +7.62%E +6.68%K +54.40%G +4.14%4.2%2026-05-25 12:40
PlayUp🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -66.40%E -11.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV +6.67%E +5.90%K +51.33%G +3.42%5.2%2026-05-25 12:40
Everygame🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -66.40%E -11.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV +5.73%E +5.11%K +47.74%G +2.73%6.0%2026-05-25 12:38
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -66.40%E -11.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV +5.73%E +5.11%K +47.74%G +2.73%6.0%2026-05-25 12:39
BetRivers🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -68.64%E -12.26%K -14.92%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV +7.62%E +6.68%K +54.40%G +4.14%5.6%2026-05-25 12:36
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)65.00I 1.54%NM 1.53%1.01I 99.01%NM 98.47%0.5%2026-05-25 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%1.0%2026-05-25 13:40
Novig55.56I 1.80%NM 1.77%1.00I 100.00%NM 98.23%1.8%2026-05-25 13:50
Smarkets50.00I 2.00%NM 1.96%1.00I 100.00%NM 98.04%2.0%2026-05-25 13:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)30.00I 3.33%NM 3.26%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.74%2.3%2026-05-25 13:50
Matchbook12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%7.0%2026-05-25 13:34