L’École des cotes

Maya Joint v Anastasia Potapova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-25 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Maya Joint (Local)

Prévision 5.60%17.86cote équitable
EV +465.56%
Avantage +4.61%
Kelly +4.66%
Croissance +21.67%

avec la cote maximale 101.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
0.98%6.85%4.88%16.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.6022.2116.00101.0017.86%4.50%6.25%0.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Anastasia Potapova (Visiteur)

Prévision 94.40%1.06cote équitable
EV +7.62%
Avantage +6.68%
Kelly +54.40%
Croissance +4.14%

avec la cote maximale 1.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
83.09%93.15%95.12%99.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.001.041.011.14100.00%95.95%99.01%87.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
FanDuel101.00I 0.99%NM 0.98%EV +465.56%E +4.61%K +4.66%G +21.67%1.00I 100.00%NM 99.02%EV -5.60%E -5.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.0%2026-05-25 13:50
Pinnacle77.89I 1.28%NM 1.28%EV +336.15%E +4.32%K +4.37%G +14.70%1.01I 99.01%NM 98.72%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%0.3%2026-05-25 13:40
Coral71.00I 1.41%NM 1.39%EV +297.57%E +4.19%K +4.25%G +12.65%1.00I 100.00%NM 98.61%EV -5.60%E -5.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.4%2026-05-25 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)71.00I 1.41%NM 1.39%EV +297.57%E +4.19%K +4.25%G +12.65%1.00I 100.00%NM 98.61%EV -5.60%E -5.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.4%2026-05-25 13:50
DraftKings70.00I 1.43%NM 1.41%EV +291.97%E +4.17%K +4.23%G +12.35%1.00I 100.00%NM 98.59%EV -5.60%E -5.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.4%2026-05-25 13:50
Paddy Power67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +275.17%E +4.11%K +4.17%G +11.47%1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -5.60%E -5.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.5%2026-05-25 13:49
theScore Bet41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +129.58%E +3.16%K +3.24%G +4.20%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -5.60%E -5.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-25 13:27
BetMGM34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +90.39%E +2.66%K +2.74%G +2.48%1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-25 13:30
BoyleSports34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +90.39%E +2.66%K +2.74%G +2.48%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.60%E -5.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-25 13:30
Fanatics31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV +73.59%E +2.37%K +2.45%G +1.81%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.88%EV -5.60%E -5.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-25 13:40
Bovada29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +62.39%E +2.15%K +2.23%G +1.39%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.60%E -5.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-25 13:29
Winamax (FR)25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +39.99%E +1.60%K +1.67%G +0.666%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-25 13:47
Winamax (DE)25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +39.99%E +1.60%K +1.67%G +0.666%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-25 13:47
Hard Rock Bet23.50I 4.26%NM 4.12%EV +31.59%E +1.34%K +1.40%G +0.444%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.88%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-25 13:50
Unibet (SE)23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +28.79%E +1.25%K +1.31%G +0.377%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-25 13:50
Unibet (NL)23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +28.79%E +1.25%K +1.31%G +0.377%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-25 13:50
Unibet23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +28.79%E +1.25%K +1.31%G +0.377%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-25 13:49
betPARX23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +28.79%E +1.25%K +1.31%G +0.377%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-25 13:49
ATG (SE)23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +28.79%E +1.25%K +1.31%G +0.377%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-25 13:50
Svenska Spel23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +28.79%E +1.25%K +1.31%G +0.377%1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-25 13:50
888sport21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +17.59%E +0.838%K +0.880%G +0.155%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.60%E -5.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 13:20
Caesars21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +17.59%E +0.838%K +0.880%G +0.155%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.60%E -5.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 13:49
Mr Green (SE)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +17.59%E +0.838%K +0.880%G +0.155%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.60%E -5.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 13:20
888sport (SE)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +17.59%E +0.838%K +0.880%G +0.155%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.60%E -5.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 13:20
Coolbet20.00I 5.00%NM 4.76%EV +11.99%E +0.600%K +0.631%G +0.076%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.24%EV -5.60%E -5.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 13:29
PointsBet (AU)19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +6.39%E +0.336%K +0.355%G +0.023%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.60%E -5.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 13:47
Betway17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -4.81%E -0.283%K -0.300%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 13:30
Tipico (DE)16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -10.41%E -0.650%K -0.694%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 13:16
NordicBet15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -16.01%E -1.07%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 13:00
Bet Victor15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV -16.01%E -1.07%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 93.75%EV -5.60%E -5.60%K +0.000%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 13:48
Betsson14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -18.81%E -1.30%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 13:47
Virgin Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -32.81%E -2.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 13:33
LiveScore Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -32.81%E -2.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 13:34
Grosvenor12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -32.81%E -2.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 13:34
Bally Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -32.81%E -2.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -4.66%E -4.61%K -465.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 13:10
TAB11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -38.40%E -3.49%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -3.71%E -3.64%K -185.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 13:09
Fliff9.55I 10.47%NM 9.65%EV -46.52%E -4.87%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.35%EV -3.71%E -3.64%K -185.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 13:01
SportsBet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -60.80%E -8.69%K -10.13%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV +3.84%E +3.49%K +38.40%G +1.47%5.2%2026-05-25 12:36
Codere (IT)6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%EV -61.92%E -9.11%K -10.68%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%EV +5.73%E +5.11%K +47.74%G +2.73%4.0%2026-05-25 12:30
BetOnline.ag6.74I 14.84%NM 14.25%EV -62.26%E -9.24%K -10.85%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.75%EV +5.73%E +5.11%K +47.74%G +2.73%4.1%2026-05-25 12:40
LowVig.ag6.74I 14.84%NM 14.25%EV -62.26%E -9.24%K -10.85%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.75%EV +5.73%E +5.11%K +47.74%G +2.73%4.1%2026-05-25 12:40
MyBookie.ag6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -63.60%E -9.79%K -11.56%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV +5.73%E +5.11%K +47.74%G +2.73%4.7%2026-05-25 12:35
Marathon Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -63.60%E -9.79%K -11.56%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV +4.78%E +4.31%K +43.50%G +2.08%5.5%2026-05-25 12:43
Betr (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -63.60%E -9.79%K -11.56%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV +2.90%E +2.66%K +32.18%G +0.932%7.1%2026-05-25 12:44
Betclic (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -63.60%E -9.79%K -11.56%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV +1.95%E +1.81%K +24.41%G +0.477%8.0%2026-05-25 12:45
NetBet (FR)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -64.16%E -10.03%K -11.88%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV +3.84%E +3.49%K +38.40%G +1.47%6.5%2026-05-25 12:39
Unibet (FR)6.30I 15.87%NM 15.09%EV -64.72%E -10.27%K -12.21%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV +5.73%E +5.11%K +47.74%G +2.73%5.2%2026-05-25 12:34
Neds6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -65.00%E -10.40%K -12.38%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV +5.73%E +5.11%K +47.74%G +2.73%5.3%2026-05-25 12:38
Ladbrokes (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -65.00%E -10.40%K -12.38%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV +5.73%E +5.11%K +47.74%G +2.73%5.3%2026-05-25 12:39
Bet Right6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -65.00%E -10.40%K -12.38%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV +5.73%E +5.11%K +47.74%G +2.73%5.3%2026-05-25 12:39
1xBet6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -66.12%E -10.93%K -13.09%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV +7.62%E +6.68%K +54.40%G +4.14%4.2%2026-05-25 12:40
PlayUp6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -66.40%E -11.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV +6.67%E +5.90%K +51.33%G +3.42%5.2%2026-05-25 12:40
Everygame6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -66.40%E -11.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV +5.73%E +5.11%K +47.74%G +2.73%6.0%2026-05-25 12:38
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -66.40%E -11.07%K -13.28%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV +5.73%E +5.11%K +47.74%G +2.73%6.0%2026-05-25 12:39
BetRivers5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -68.64%E -12.26%K -14.92%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV +7.62%E +6.68%K +54.40%G +4.14%5.6%2026-05-25 12:36
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)65.00I 1.54%NM 1.53%1.01I 99.01%NM 98.47%0.5%2026-05-25 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%1.0%2026-05-25 13:40
Novig55.56I 1.80%NM 1.77%1.00I 100.00%NM 98.23%1.8%2026-05-25 13:50
Smarkets50.00I 2.00%NM 1.96%1.00I 100.00%NM 98.04%2.0%2026-05-25 13:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)30.00I 3.33%NM 3.26%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.74%2.3%2026-05-25 13:50
Matchbook12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%7.0%2026-05-25 13:34